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Rationality and the Psychology of Inference

1983, Synthese

AI-generated Abstract

Recent advances in cognitive psychology have sparked interest among philosophers regarding scientific inference. The paper reviews studies on Wason's "4-card" selection task, highlighting that various inference strategies impact how individuals confirm or disconfirm hypotheses. The results indicate that strategy choices depend on contextual factors, complicating the interpretation of both psychological and scientific conclusions. Implications for understanding scientific rationality and the relationship between discovery and justification in science are also discussed.