SCOPUS Sept 2016 Socio-Economic Planning of the Economy.pdf

Indian Journal of Science and Technology, 2016

Objectives: The economic impact on improving the quality of the strategic management system operation by increasing the quality, reliability and validity of the results obtained is the basis of socioeconomic planning and economic design. Methods: The comparative analysis of the expert-analytical support of strategic management, socioeconomic planning and economic design in the Russian Federation and a number of foreign countries, carried out in this article, let us conclude that the system of expert-analytical support in general meets the level of the leading developed countries. Findings: One of the main scientific tasks in this area is to improve the mechanisms and algorithms of the current support of strategic management in the Russian Federation, as well as to minimize and overcome the negative trends in the economy. The article considers the principles and selection algorithm for research and expert-analytical support that should be used in the further development of national foresight projects. The authors have formulated recommendations for improving the overall efficiency of the system of strategic management, socioeconomic planning and economic design which allow creating conditions for a more active involvement of System Expert Societies (SES) to solving strategic problems of the economy. The main differences of the proposed algorithm from the current practice are as follows: A competitive and transparent nature; the possibility to form analytical teams on the principle of efficiency; ensuring the required level of quality of the final outcomes before the competition (since the required level of quality is determined by the SES status of participants that all contestants have). Application/Improvements: It is necessary to create a national system of expertanalytical communities, whose planning and forecasting results should be accounted for in the strategic management system, socioeconomic planning and economic design at the national and regional levels.

Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2023

The article proposes a conceptual approach to the formation of a scientific and methodological complex that ensures the implementation of state policy in the field of strategic planning. The place of the complex in the system of strategic planning and its structure are determined. The conditions and factors for increasing its effectiveness are investigated. An analysis of the provisions of the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation, On the Approval of the Fundamentals of State Policy in the Sphere of Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation, dated November 8, 2021, no. 633 is made. Its role in a new stage in the development of strategic planning in Russia as a targeted and long-term state policy necessary in the conditions of rapidly changing global economic and geopolitical trends is analyzed. Attention is focused on the necessity and importance of risk analysis in the system of strategic forecasting and planning. A model of knowledge mapping in the process of organizing work on the scientific and methodological support of strategic planning is given.

Quality, Innovation, Prosperity, 2022

Purpose: This study introduces managerial techniques applied for the first time in the high-level strategic public policy decision-making process in Slovakia with an aim to assess the strategic decision-making of groups of experts in a methodologically supported environment. It compares groups of internal analysts and external specialists and should demonstrate the extent to which these two groups are able to process problems analytically and suppress intuition. Methodology/Approach: Multi-criteria decision methods are used when deciding on complex problems. One of the most popular and most frequently used is the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Application of this method enables measurement of preference consistency, and its relationship with cognitive reflection. Findings: Consistency of judgement was very similar in both groups. The prioritisation of measures resulted in a similar set of priorities determined by both groups. The assumed relationship of consistency and cognitive reflection score and/or overconfidence was not detected, and decision makers proved to be well calibrated. Research Limitation/Implication: The main limitation of our research was the small sample size of decision makers, which complied with the requirements of the decision method, but was not sufficient to confirm the statistical validity. Originality/Value of paper: The introduction of the multi-criteria decision method into decision-making for public policy strategies combines practical policy exercises with scientific research on high-stakes decisions and enables to carry out participatory decision-making process with relevant stakeholders.

Modern History in Case of the Social Sciences and Humanities, 2021

The authors analyze foreign experience and Russian practice of strategic planning,considering it as one of the main tools for increasing the level of efficiency of thenational economy. The authors propose to create a new or give appropriate powers to theexisting federal executive body, which will develop, coordinate, control and monitor theimplementation of strategic plans, including the strategy of spatial development ofRussia.

To have the most efficient system of strategic planning and development management, it is crucial to have one overarching strategy, as opposed to having many unrelated and mismatching strategies especially if we must coordinate national with regional policies. Therefore, it is necessary to establish appropriate management mechanisms and to strengthen the management component by establishing an efficient framework for monitoring and evaluation of results. If we set up a system that will enable the monitoring of changes, we will be able to adjust future course in line with our possibilities and needs. Furthermore, it is necessary to establish links with the state budget and other sources of funding, especially EU funds and other international financial instruments, and to finally shift the focus from planning to implementation. Taking into consideration the experiences of programming strategic and program documents that represent the basis for using the European structural and investment funds, this paper 1) analyzes regional policy and strategic solutions in the light of the theory of economic sciences and 2) identifies key challenges which are important for establishing a coordinated action for achieving crucial regional development goals.

Kybernetes, 2002

The expert system for the selection of strategic planning technique was developed with a view of assisting an executive in selecting a strategic planning tool based on constraints such as: time, skill, ®nance, computer, expert advice, form and content of input, and form and content of output required to be generated. The expert system runs on IBM PC/AT or compatible, which is the minimum system requirement, and contains approximately 115 rules in the rule base. The expert system was developed in Turbo Prolog TM . The premises which help in concluding a particular strategic planning tool are stored in separate ®le called STRATEGY.DAT' and can be consulted at the end of the session by the user. This ®le saves current session's premises which concluded the particular strategic planning tool. The system, after recommending a tool, outputs a list of planning phases where the implementation of such a strategic planning tool will succeed. It runs on a backward chaining inference mechanism which is a feature of Turbo Prolog TM .

2014

The article describes the development of a tool for strategic analysis for performance management of the university. The theoretical approach and practical tool for the development of inter-related mathematic models is considered, the tool allows projecting long-term dynamics of integral university performance key indicators which are the base for evaluation of the university as part of the Ministry of Education of Russia "monitoring of the educational institutions of higher education effectiveness". The implementation of suggested approach as an information system would allow higher educational institutions to carry self-assessment including activity and place evaluation in the ranking, and to correct the development trajectory; to perform scientifically-based administrative decisions on advancing any institution-competitor.

The article discusses key issues of the origin, development and essence of modern foresight. There is explained three main program of foresight. In scientific –technical programming is the foresight a new event or not, how is it possible to positioning the foresight in strategic planning , is its methodology used at regional level or not, in the paper there are also given the stages of formation of foresight, the parallelization is given between forecast and foresight and it is justified that the participants of foresight create real possibilities not only for forecast, also they discuss the future possible alternatives and develop strategies to implement more promising projects. Methodological issues of foresight are also studied, in particular, normative and exploratory approaches, a wide range of methods used for foresight: Creativity, Expertise and Forecast, Analysis, Interaction –Delphi – Methods of Survey establishment on quality information.

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2017

A key element of any government's Science, Technology and Innovation policy is stable analytical infrastructure to support strategic decision making. Experience from many countries shows that substantial policy decision making requires collecting and analysing a broad range of information to develop proactive and futureoriented policies. Accordingly, infrastructure providing this information as well as evidence for policy-making must possess the capabilities for collecting, assessing, and processing information. However, information in this context is highly specific and subject related information, which is frequently embodied within expert knowledge holders. Therefore, information management in this light imposes special challenges on infrastructure. The present study discusses some methodological approaches and practical studies to set up a network of STI Foresight network in Russia, integrated into the national Foresight and planning system. We outline the principles for goal setting, network architecture, creating a network of experts, selecting key information products, and methodological support. Russia's STI Foresight network, built on principles presented here, has been fully operational since 2011 and provides expertise on a large scale for a variety of governmental and industry organizations.