Academia.edu no longer supports Internet Explorer.
To browse Academia.edu and the wider internet faster and more securely, please take a few seconds to upgrade your browser.
2002, Twin research : the official journal of the International Society for Twin Studies
In many studies the twinning rate, being strongly dependent on maternal age (and parity), has been standardised according to the maternal age distribution. The direct method requires very informative twinning data for the target population. The indirect method is used when the data for the target population is not sufficiently informative or when the target population is small. We have earlier introduced an alternative indirect technique for standardising the twinning rate. Our technique requires even less of the twinning data. Besides maternal age, parity is an influential factor, and should, if possible, be taken into account. In this study we present the traditional standardisation methods based on both maternal age and parity, we propose a new direct standardisation method and we develop our standardisation methods so that they take into account both maternal age and parity. We apply these standardisation methods to data from Finland, 1953-1964, from St. Petersburg, Russia, 1882...
Twin Research and Human Genetics, 2005
M aternal age is the most important nongenetic factor influencing the twinning rate. Every study of the effect of other factors should consider the age distribution of the mothers. Besides standardizing techniques, the age-specific twinning rates are analyzed. Especially, the slope of the regression line is considered when the age-specific twinning rates are regressed against maternal age. How well the maximum age-specific twinning rate measures the variation in the maternal age effect is also studied. The two measures, which are strongly correlated, give consistent results. The proposed methods are applied to data from Finland (1866 to 2003) and Denmark (1855 to 2000). Comparisons with Sweden (1861 to 2000) and Norway (1855 to 2003) are also made. In general, marked decreasing trends in the twinning rates are discernible up to the middle of the 20th century. In Sweden the decline starts around the beginning of the 20th century and is stronger than in Denmark and Norway. The decrease in the twinning rate for Finland, which up to World War II was rather isolated, sets in around the middle of the 20th century and is not as strong as in other Nordic countries. After the minima around 1980, strong increasing trends are noted. This is mainly caused by the influence of the artificial reproduction technologies and particularly the use of fertility-enhancing drugs on the commonly noted dependence between maternal age and the twinning rate. Similar temporal trends can be observed in the slopes of the regression line and in the maximum age-specific twinning rates.
Acta geneticae medicae et gemellologiae, 1987
Linear regression models are used to explain the variations in the twinning rates. Data sets from different countries are analysed and maternal age, parity and maritai status are the main regressors. The model building technique is also used in order to study the secular decline in the twinning rate. Linear regression technique makes it possible to compare the effect of different factors but the method requires sufficiently disaggregated data.
Twin research : the official journal of the International Society for Twin Studies, 2004
Every statistical model is based on explicitly or implicitly formulated assumptions. In this study we address new techniques of calculation of variances and confidence intervals, analyse some statistical methods applied to modelling twinning rates, and investigate whether the improvements give more reliable results. For an observed relative frequency, the commonly used variance formula holds exactly with the assumptions that the repetitions are independent and that the probability of success is constant. The probability of a twin maternity depends not only on genetic predisposition, but also on several demographic factors, particularly ethnicity, maternal age and parity. Therefore, the assumption of constancy is questionable. The effect of grouping on the analysis of regression models for twinning rates is also considered. Our results indicate that grouping influences the efficiency of the estimates but not the estimates themselves. Recently, confidence intervals for proportions of ...
Twin research, 2003
Twin Research and Human Genetics, 2007
American Journal of Epidemiology, 2000
This study used data from the Swedish Medical Birth Registry between 1982 and 1995 to address the question of whether there is higher mortality in twins in relation to singletons of the same gestational age and to examine the optimal gestational age range for twins. A "varying-coefficient approach" was adopted to estimate the gestational age-specific relative and absolute risks of mortality in twins and singletons, adjusting for size at birth and risk factors of short gestational duration. The models showed that twins born between 29 and 37 weeks of gestation had lower mortality than did singletons of the same gestational age. Twins born at older gestational age had higher mortality than did their singleton counterparts, because longer gestational duration was more advantageous to singletons than to twins. Without adjustment for size at birth, there was an upturn of mortality in twins born after 38 weeks. It is postulated that twins have better health than singletons initially, but they could not enjoy the benefit of a longer gestational duration as much as singletons could. The optimal gestational age for twins appeared to be 37-39 weeks according to neonatal and infant mortality.
Twin Research and Human Genetics, 2006
Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 1987
A study was made of seasonality in twin birth rate in Denmark between 1977 and We studied all twin births (N = 45 550) in all deliveries (N= 3 679 932) during that period. Statistical analysis using a simple harmonic sinusoidal model provided no evidence for seasonality. However, sequential polynomial analysis disclosed a significant fit to a fifth order polymomial curve with peaks in twin birth rates in May-June and December, along with troughs in February and September. A falling trend in twinning rate broke offin Denmark around 1970, and from 1970 to 1984 an increasing trend was found. The results are discussed in terms of possible environmental influences on twinning.
Human Reproduction, 2011
background: The natural dizygotic (DZ) twinning rate has been proposed as a reliable and useful measure of human fecundity, if adjusted for maternal age at twin birth. The aim of this study was to analyze age-adjusted trends in natural DZ twinning rates over the past 40 years using data from the 'East Flanders Prospective Twin Survey (EFPTS)'.
Twin Research and Human Genetics, 2016
Strong geographical variations have been noted in the twinning rate (TWR). In general, the rate is high among people of African origin, intermediate among Europeans, and low among most Asiatic populations. In Europe, there tends to be a south–north cline, with a progressive increase in the TWR from south to north and a minimum around the Basque provinces. The highest TWRs in Europe have been found among the Nordic populations. Furthermore, within larger populations, small isolated subpopulations have been identified to have extreme, mainly high, TWRs. In the study of the temporal variation of the TWR in Norway, we consider the period from 1900 to 2014. The regional variation of the TWR in Norway is analyzed for the different counties for two periods, 1916–1926 and 1960–1988. Heterogeneity between the regional TWRs in Norway during 1916–1926 was found, but the goodness of fit for the alternative spatial models was only slight. The optimal regression model for the TWR in Norway has th...
Acta geneticae medicae et gemellologiae, 1995
Twin Research and Human Genetics, 2005
Twin research, 1999
There have been few secular analyses of the seasonal variation in human twinning and the results are conflicting. One reason for this is that the seasonal pattern of twinning varies in different populations and at different periods. Another reason is that the statistical methods used are different. The changing pattern of seasonal variation in twinning rates and total maternities in Denmark was traced for three periods (1855-69, 1870-94, and 1937-84). Two alternative methods of analysis are considered. The method of Walter and Elwood and a trigonometric regression model give closely similar results. The seasonal distribution of twin maternities for the periods in the 19th century showed highly significant departures. For both twin and general maternities, the main peaks can be seen from March to June and a local peak in September. During the springsummer season the twinning rates were higher than the total birth rates, indicating a stronger seasonal variation for the twin maternities than for the general maternities. For 1937-84, there was a similar, but less accentuated, pattern. Studies of other populations are compared with the Danish results. The more accentuated seasonal variation of twinning in the past indicate that some factors in the past affected women during summer-autumn and around Christmas time, making them more fecund and particularly to be more prone to polyovulation and/or more able to complete a gestation with multiple embryos.
Twin Research and Human Genetics, 2013
The French mathematician Bertillon reasoned that the number of dizygotic (DZ) pairs would equal twice the number of twin pairs of unlike sexes. The remaining twin pairs in a sample would presumably be monozygotic (MZ). Weinberg restated this idea and the calculation has come to be known as Weinberg's differential rule (WDR). The keystone of WDR is that DZ twin pairs should be equally likely to be of the same or the opposite sex. Although the probability of a male birth is greater than .5, the reliability of WDR's assumptions has never been conclusively verified or rejected. Let the probability for an opposite-sex (OS) twin maternity be p O , for a same-sex (SS) twin maternity p S and, consequently, the probability for other maternities 1 − p S − p O . The parameter estimatesp O andp S are relative frequencies. Applying WDR, the MZ rate is m = p S − p O and the DZ rate is d = 2 p O , but the estimatesm andd are not relative frequencies.
Twin Research and Human Genetics, 2019
Twinning is rare among humans, but there is much variability among populations. Several studies show that certain demographic and socioeconomic factors, such as maternal age, mother's educational level and income, influence twinning rate. There is no background of analytical studies of twins in Uruguay. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that has focused on describing and analyzing Uruguayan twinning rates over a period of 17 years (1999-2015). The birth data were collected from the website of Uruguay's Ministry of Public Health. Economic data were obtained from Uruguay's Instituto Nacional de Estadísti's website for the period 2001-2013, since these variables are defined specifically for that period of time. The statistical software R (The R Project for Statistical Computing) was used. The twinning rate varied from 8.51 to 13 in the studied period. Montevideo has the highest median and the smallest variability in comparison with the other departments. In Uruguay (1999-2015), the highest twinning rate (28.94%) was observed in women aged 45 and older. The analysis also showed a relationship between twin birth rates and the mother's educational level. In three regions of the country (West, Center and East), twin births show a random pattern but in the other two (North and Metropolitan), there is an increasing trend in the number of twins over time. In conclusion, this study recognizes social, economic and demographic factors that influence in the rate of twin births in Uruguay.
Human Reproduction, 2003
BACKGROUND: In the wide-ranging debate about the potential monitors of population fertility, twinning rate has been considered a candidate. In the developed countries, a decline in spontaneous twinning rate began around 1950 and continued until the late 1970s. The decrease in mean maternal age at delivery and the number of children per family have been considered as possible reasons for the decrease. The rise in twinning rates, which began in the 1980s, is probably due to the spread of assisted reproduction, at least for older mothers. METHODS: The temporal trend in twinning rate and the relationship with maternal age at delivery and birth order in the Italian population were analysed. RESULTS: The recent increase in twinning rate can be mainly attributed to the recourse to assisted reproduction techniques, as demonstrated by the twinning frequency among older primiparae. The twinning rate recently observed in young mothers approximates to the value of the 1950s, which is assumed to represent a`natural' fertility condition. CONCLUSIONS: On the assumption that twinning is an indicator of fertility, and hence of population ®tness, the present data seem to suggest that natural fertility has been slightly increasing in the Italian population.
Twin Research and Human Genetics, 2009
Dizygotic twinning rates have changed over time, which has been seen as a sign of a decline in fecundity. Since a woman's birthweight has been shown to be a marker of her fecundity, maternal birthweight may correlate with subsequent twinning rates. In the Danish National Birth Cohort (1996–2002), we examined if maternal birthweight, and whether she was born at term or preterm, correlated with her probability of multiple birth. For 20,719 live born infants, we had self-reported information about maternal birthweight, collected during the first wave of the 7-year follow-up, and information on multiple births from record linkage. The association between maternal birthweight and multiple births was investigated by use of logistic regression and presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Compared to women born at term with a birthweight of 3001–4000 g, women with a birthweight > 4500 g appeared to have higher chance of multiple birth while women with a bir...
Twin Research, 1998
The East Fl ander s Pr ospecti ve Tw i n Sur vey (EFPTS), star ted i n 1964, i s uni que among the 17 major Eur opean tw i n r egi ster s because i t i s popul ati on based, the tw i ns (and hi gher or der bi r ths) ar e ascer tai ned at bi r th, basi c per i natal data ar e col l ected, chor i on type i s establ i shed and, w hen appropriate, genetic markers including DNA fingerprints, are determined. The total number of sets i s 5089 tw i n, 158 tr i pl et and 14 of hi gher or der. Zygosi ty has been di agnosed on the basi s of sex, pl acental str uctur e and geneti c mar k er s i n mor e than 95% of pai r s. The EFPTS i s the onl y l ar ge r egi ster that i ncl udes pl acental data and al l ow s di ffer enti ati on of thr ee subtypes of monozygoti c tw i ns based on the ti me of the i ni ti al zygoti c di vi si on: the di chor i oni c-di amni oni c pai r s (ear l y), the monochor i oni c-di amni oni c pai r s (i nter medi ate), and the monochor i oni c-monoamni oni c pai r s (l ate). M ethodol ogy and basi c r esul ts i n tw i ns ar e consi der ed i n thi s ar ti cl e; detai l ed studi es will be r epor ted l ater. The sex pr opor ti on i n di zygoti c (DZ) tw i ns i s the same as i n si ngl etons, w her eas monozygotic (MZ) twins number more girls than boys. The difference in perinatal mortality between DZ and MZ twins is limited to the monochorionic MZ subgroup. Birth weight is highest in DZ twins and diminishes stepwise in MZ dichorionic and MZ monochorionic twins. Duration of pr egnancy fol l ow s the same tr end but i s l i mi ted to a few days. I atr ogeni c pr egnanci es ar e i ncr easi ng to the poi nt of r epr esenti ng al most 50% of the tw i n bi r ths i n 1997.
Acta geneticae medicae et gemellologiae, 1988
Twinning rates were studied in Swedes, Àland Islanders, Finns, Germana, and Dutch during years of starvation when death rates were two to three times higher than average. In contrast to the situation among some animals, this study suggests that nutrition above a certain threshold is unimportant for human reproduction, including twinning. The twinning rates for these different populations display marked temporal differences, but low values in the twinning rate are not consistently associated with periods of epidemics, famine, or similar nutritional stress. After years of privation and/or separation of spouses, a rapid "catch-up effect" can often be seen in the twinning rates, as well as marriage and birth rates. Psychoendocrine factors and interparental immunological conditions that may be involved in this phenomenon are discussed.
Loading Preview
Sorry, preview is currently unavailable. You can download the paper by clicking the button above.