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1994, RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2014
This paper surveys the contributions of David Cass, Tjalling Koopmans, and Edmond Malinvaud over the decades during which modern optimal growth theory was developed. By utilizing material ranging from dissertations, drafts, and working papers through conference presentations, discussions, and published papers, we show that both Malinvaud and Cass had significant impacts on the evolution of Koopman's thought, and the development of his part of what is known as “the Cass–Koopmans model.” Based on our findings, we conclude that the modern optimal growth model should include the contributions of Malinvaud, and be retitled “the Cass–Malinvaud–Koopmans” model accordingly.
2010
This paper is prepared for the forthcoming publication of Frisch’s 1930 Yale lecture notes, A Dynamic Approach to Economic Theory: The Yale Lectures of Ragnar Frisch (details at: http://www.routledgeeconomics.com/books/A-Dynamic-Approach-to-Economic-Theory-isbn9780415564090). As the lecture series was given just as the Econometric Society was founded in 1930. We provide as background, a blow-by-blow story of how the Econometric Society got founded with emphasis on Frisch’s role. We then outline how the Yale lecture notes came into being, closely connected to Frisch’s econometric work at the time. We comment upon the lectures, relating them to Frisch’s later works and, more important, to subsequent developments in economics and econometrics.
International journal of business, 2017
We have first demonstrated that Debreu’s view regarding the publication of The Theory of Games and Economic Behavior by von Neumann and Morgenstern in 1944 as the birth of modern mathematical economics is not convincing. In this paper, we have proposed the hypothesis that the coordinated research programs in the 1930’s, initiated by the Econometric Society and the Cowles Commission for Research in Economics with the objective of unifying economic theory, mathematics and statistics, can be regarded as the beginning of modern mathematical economics as well as econometrics. We have argued that this unification has failed to satisfactorily bridge the gap between mathematical economics and the real world economic issues. However, contrary to Marshall's view that mathematics is not an engine of inquiry in economics but is only a shorthand language, we have established in this paper that the application of mathematics in modern mathematical economics can, under certain conditions, pr...
There is a large potential for improving individual risk management through new risk management contracts and associated newindex-settled derivatives. However, there are some difficult problems in designing contracts so that they will be used effectively. Individuals have idiosyncratic individual risks that can be hedged only at some real resource cost due to moral hazard. Individuals seem to exhibit behavior indicative of lack of appreciation of the principles of risk management. These problems are discussed, and some potential new risk management contracts that would make improvements in the management of major income risks are proposed. Despite a proliferation of derivative contracts around the world in recent decades, most of the risks that people face are still not being effectively hedged. Consider, for example, the risk to personal income that the representative individual in a country has. We can obtain an impression of the potential magnitude of this risk by looking a...
2015
This paper focuses on the use of interest rates as a tool for hedging against the default risk of heterogeneous hedge funds (HFs) in a leveraged market. We assume that the banks study the HFs survival statistics in order to compute default risk and hence the correct interest rate. The emergent non-trivial (heavy-tailed) statistics observed on the aggregate level, prevents the accurate estimation of risk in a leveraged market with heterogeneous agents. Moreover, we show that heterogeneity leads to the clustering of default events and constitutes thus a source of systemic risk.
Journal of Political Economy
took over as department chair, in which position he was to provide effective leadership for the next 15 years. 2 Key personnel decisions in this transition were made in February. The outcome for the department could have been quite different if certain actual offers were accepted or if other alternatives had been pursued. Thus, before any offer was made to Milton Friedman, offers were approved by the department not only to George Stigler but to John Hicks and Albert Hart. Moreover although often not appreciated, Friedrich Hayek was also proposed for a faculty position in the department that same February. There was also considerable enthusiasm for recruiting Paul Samuelson as well as Lionel Robbins; at various points both actually were approved for offers from the department. Suppose that in fall of 1946, the new additions to the department had included John Hicks, Lionel Robbins, Friedrich Hayek, and Paul Samuelson rather than Friedman and Roy Blough, the actual new hires. The direction of the department would almost surely have been dramatically different in ensuing decades. Both Reder (1982, 10) and Stigler (1988, 150-51) emphasize Friedman's leadership role in the formation of a Chicago School of Economics. Reder notes that Friedman assumed leadership of the faction of the department previously associated with Frank Knight and that his debating skills and substantive arguments "set the tone and public image of Chicago economics Papers. I would also like to thank Stanley Engerman for his assistance in locating items in the correspondence of W.Allen Wallis. 1 Emmett (2002, p.xix) in the introduction to his edited collection of articles by Chicago economists notes that his compilation appropriately ends with items published before 1945 because that year marks a key transition.
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 1990
Transportation Science, 2019
2012
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and behavioral finance (BF) form the blame-hope axis of the ongoing soul-searching exercise in economics, which frequently refers to the 'Chicago School' and the ideological division between 'freshwater' and 'saltwater' universities. Citation analysis for 1965-2010 shows that these simple geographical anecdotes do not apply, as saltwater economists heavily cited the seminal EMH papers from the beginning, and vice versa. BF lags behind EMH in terms of the quantity, dynamics, scope, and international reach of citations. BF is far from stealing a march on the EMH, and the latter is still used as the benchmark.
Journal of Interdisciplinary Economics, 2023
In 1959, Ragnar Frisch prompted Georg Rasch to formalise a separability theorem that continues today to serve as the basis of a wide range of theoretical and applied developments in psychological and social measurement. Previously unnoted are the influences on Rasch exerted by Frisch's concerns for data autonomy, model identification and necessary and sufficient conditions. Although Rasch acknowledged Frisch's prompting towards a separability theorem, he did not acknowledge any substantive, intellectual debt to him, nor to Irving Fisher, but only to Ronald Fisher. Rasch appears to have developed a special interest in sufficiency and identified models when studying with Frisch in 1935, and in 1947, when Rasch accompanied Tjalling Koopmans to the University of Chicago and the Cowles Commission for Research in Economics. I. Fisher's separation theorem continues to be relevant in econometrics, and interest in Rasch's separability theorem is growing as the measurement models based on it are adopted in metrological theory and practice. The extensive interrelations between measurement science, metrological standards and economics suggest paths towards lower transaction costs and more efficient markets for individualised exchanges of human, social and natural capital. Equally, if not more, surprising are the implications for a poetic art of complex, harmonised relationships played out via creative improvisations expressed using instruments tuned to shared scales.
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