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2017, Macroeconomic Dynamics
This paper considers the political economy of financial development in an overlapping generations model that incorporates credit market imperfections, and shows that income inequality is a determinant of financial and economic development. Individuals have an opportunity to start an investment project at a fixed cost, but their income to finance the cost is unequal. The government proposes a policy financed by taxation that mitigates credit market imperfections, the implementation of which is determined through majority voting. The policy benefits middle-income individuals who can start the investment only after the implementation of the policy. The policy is, however, against the interest of the rich who wish to block such new entry, and that of the poor who wish to avoid the tax burden. Whether the policy obtains majority support depends on income inequality. High income inequality makes the policy hard to implement, which causes financial and economic underdevelopment.
Economics Bulletin, 2009
Aghion, P. and P. Bolton (1997, "A Theory of Trickle-Down Growth and Development," Review of Economic Studies, 59, 151-172) provide a model analyzing the effect of capital accumulation on income inequality. We integrate two additional features to a modified version of this model. The first one is a costly financial contract enforcement which represents the second type of credit market imperfection in addition to moral hazard. The second one is enabling wealthy agents to undertake larger investment projects relatively to other agents. I show that inequality increases in a first stage of development and, contrarily to Aghion and Bolton (1997), remains constant or increases in a second stage (depending on the deposit interest rate ceiling).
2009
Aghion, P. and P. Bolton (1997, "A Theory of Trickle-Down Growth and Development," Review of Economic Studies, 59, pages 151-72) provide a model analyzing the effect of capital accumulation on income inequality. We integrate three additional features to a modified version of this model. The first one is a costly financial contract enforcement which represents the second type of credit market imperfection in addition to the moral hazard problem. The second one is the possibility for wealthy agents to undertake a larger project. Our results show that inequality increases in a first stage of development and, contrarily to , remains constant or increases in a second stage (depending on the deposit interest rate ceiling). We also show that a reduction of the enforcement cost reduces the long-term inequality level when it exists.
2013
The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of financial and economic development on crosscountry income inequality using a panel data set from 50 low-income developing counties over a long period 1970-2008. The results show that financial development helps in reducing inequalities, however a non-monotonic relationship between financial development and inequality does not hold. The study finds a non-monotonic relationship between inequality and level of economic development, thus this study supports Kuznets inverted-U hypothesis. The government emerges as a major player in reducing income inequalities as its role is significant in all models. Policy makers should primarily focus on achieving the higher levels of economic development to reduce increasing inequalities. Since financial development, reduces inequalities irrespective of its level, policy makers need to focus more on improvements in financial reforms.
2016
We study a simple model where entrepreneurs require capital for investment. They have heterogenous wealth and face lending constraints. Agents with little wealth cannot fund their projects, those with intermediate wealth can fund inefficiently sized projects. Only wealthy entrepreneurs attain the efficient firm size. We examine the effects of redistribution. These depend on the aggregate wealth of the economy; in low wealth countries, redistribution reduces credit penetration, efficiency and GDP, while the results are reversed in a wealthy economy. This effect depends on the quality of financial institutions: better institutions reduce the country wealth necessary for redistribution to have positive effects. We add labor as a factor to study the political economy effects of worker protection in bankruptcy and of improvements in credit market legislation. JEL: G30, O15, O16. Key words: Keywords: Wealth distribution, firm size, credit market imperfections, bankruptcy
2005
Much attention has recently been given to whether market reforms reduce or increase inequality. Inequality often reflects unequal access to productive opportunities and recent evidence has highlighted the presence of onerous barriers to entry, especially in developing countries. This paper focuses on the relationships between inequality and finance. In principle, a better financial system can help overcome barriers, and thereby increase economic growth and reduce inequality. Indeed, a more developed, that is deeper, financial sector has been shown to aid economic growth. Financial reform will only reduce inequality, however, if it improves access for more individuals with growth opportunities. Reforms thus need to broaden, not just deepen financial systems. At the same, as recent theoretical and empirical work has shown, ex ante inequality can hinder welfare enhancing reforms. Concentrated economic and political powers will likely block financial (and other) reforms, or manipulate their design and/or implementation, so that the benefits reach fewer individuals. Also, by design or implementation, financial reforms can lead risks to be allocated unfairly and costs to be socialized, especially around financial crises, further worsening inequality. Furthermore, reforms that do not provide gains for many may be followed by a political backlash that may make even valuable financial sector reforms not sustainable. We analyze these various channels from inequality to financial sector reform and provide (case) evidence on them. We then address the question, how, given initial wealth and power distributions, financial (and other) reforms could be designed such as to improve access and prevent perverse outcomes. We conclude, among others, that more gradual reform allowing the buildup of various types of oversight institutions is necessary for countries with high inequality.
2002
We explore the consequences of liberalized credit markets for growth and inequality in a lifecycle economy with physical and human capital accumulation, populated by households of different abilities, and calibrated to match the longrun economic performance of a panel of emerging countries. Relatively modest improvements in extending credit to the ablest households appear to have large economic consequences: upfront costs (slower initial growth, higher income inequality) followed by delayed benefits (faster long-run growth). Reform also lowers lifecycle utility for a substantial majority of currently active households. Premature liberalization in the least developed countries (low TFP or capital intensity) may redirect economic growth towards a poverty trap.
Policy Research Working Papers, 2008
Development Southern Africa
Theoretical and empirical research has shown that a sound and effective financial system is critical for economic development and growth. The financial system, however, is also subject to boom and bust cycles and fragility, with negative repercussions for the real economy. Further, the political structure of societies, often pre-determined by historic experience, is critical for the structure and development of the financial system. This paper is a critical survey of three related strands of literature -the finance and growth literature, the literature on financial fragility, and the politics and finance literature. literature that has explored the causes and socioeconomic costs of financial fragility, including systemic banking crises. Historic analyses and case studies have given way to more systemic cross-country explorations of idiosyncratic and systemic banking distress and their determinants.
Review of Development …, 2005
In an overlapping generations economy households (lenders) fund risky investment projects of …rms (borrowers) by drawing up loan contracts on the basis of asymmetric information. An optimal contract entails either the issue of only debt or the issue of both debt and equity according to whether a household faces a single or a double moral hazard problem as a result of its own decision about whether or not to undertake costly information acquisition. The equilibrium choice of contract depends on the state of the economy which, in turn, depends on the contracting regime. Based on this analysis, the paper provides a theory of the joint determination of real and …nancial development with the ability to explain both the endogenous emergence of stock markets and the complementarity between debt …nance and equity …nance.
Journal of economic growth, 2007
Financial development disproportionately boosts incomes of the poorest quintile and reduces income inequality. About 40% of the long-run impact of financial development on the income growth of the poorest quintile is the result of reductions in income inequality, while 60% is due to the impact of financial development on aggregate economic growth. Furthermore, financial development is associated with a drop in the fraction of the population living on less than $1 a day, a result which holds when conditioning on average growth. These findings emphasize the importance of the financial system for the poor.
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2012
Financial development is good for long term growth. So why doesn't every country pursue policies that render full financial development? In this paper, building on a profuse political economy literature, we build a theoretical model that shows that the intensity of opposition by incumbents depends on both their degree of credit dependency and the role of governments in credit markets. We provide empirical evidence for this claim. The results suggest that lower opposition to financial development leads to an effective increase in credit markets' development only in those countries that have high government capabilities. Moreover, improvements in government capabilities have a significant impact on credit market development only in those countries where credit dependency is high (thus, opposition is low). We thus contribute to this rich literature by providing a unified account of credit market development that includes two of its main determinants, traditionally considered in isolation.
Journal of the Knowledge Economy
The aim of this paper is to test the relationship between financial development (FD), political institutions (PI), income inequalities (II), and poverty. We tested this relationship using different estimation methods and two separate samples. The first sample consists of a panel of 93 democratic countries and the second includes a panel of 31 autocratic countries. Results indicate that, unlike in autocratic countries, FD and democratic institutions, taken separately, help to bridge the gap between the rich and the poor by reducing poverty in democratic countries. To the contrary of autocratic countries, the interaction between FD and PI, strangely enough, does not reduce II and poverty in democratic countries. Analysis of the sub-democratic group yields opposite results, particularly in low-, mid-, and upper-mid-income countries compared with high-income countries.
Finance Research Letters, 2019
In a panel of 121 developed and developing economies, financial development promotes income equality in upper-middle income countries and inequality in low-and high-income countries. Finance impacts on income inequality through both the financial institutions and financial markets channels, though the impact of the financial institutions channel is relatively larger.
Empirical Economics, 2015
We analyze the link between financial development and income inequality for a broad unbalanced dataset of up to 138 developed and developing countries over the years 1960 to 2008. Using credit-to-GDP as a measure of financial development, our results reject theoretical models predicting a negative impact of financial development on income inequality measured by the Gini coefficient. Controlling for country fixed effects and GDP per capita, we find that financial development has a positive effect on income inequality. These results are robust to different measures of financial development, econometric specifications, and control variables. JEL-Code: O150, O160.
In developing countries, achieving high economic growth rates with fair income distribution is one of the economic targets in these countries. The effect of financial development on income inequality is examined and discussed in the literature with many empirical practices in line with these objectives. The purpose of the study is to test the relationship between income inequality and financial development. Cross-sectional dependence, homogeneity, panel co-integration and panel co-integration estimators were used in the study. The findings of the study confirm that financial development has no significant effect on income inequality for the panel group. However, Brazil, Russia, Greece and Turkey to the conclusion that financial development reduces income inequality has been reached. It is concluded that financial development increases income inequality in
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2014
This paper investigates the role of unobservable wealth differences on credit market equilibrium, given there is also asymmetric information concerning effort preferences and choices. In equilibrium, poor but able entrepreneurs may subsidise the rich and incompetent or be excluded. As a result, investment may exceed or fall short of the optimal level. Low inequality may deliver conditions for perfect screening and an efficient level of investment. The equilibrium with cross subsidisation is consistent with otherwise puzzling empirical observations.
The World Bank Economic Review, 2012
We study the impact of political intervention on a financial system that consists of banks and financial markets and develops over time. In this financial system, banks and markets exhibit three forms of interaction: they compete, they complement each other, and they co-evolve. Co-evolution is generated by two new ingredients of financial system architecture relative to the existing theories: securitization and risk-sensitive bank capital. We show that securitization propagates banking advances to the financial market, permitting market evolution to be driven by bank evolution, and market advances are transmitted to banks through bank capital. We then examine how politicians determine the nature of political intervention designed to expand credit availability. We find that political intervention in banking exhibits a U-shaped pattern, where it is most notable in the early stage of financial system development (through bank capital subsidy in exchange for state ownership of banks) and in the advanced stage (through direct lending regulation). Despite expanding credit access, political intervention results in an increase in financial system risk and does not contribute to financial system evolution. Numerous policy implications are drawn out. There is strong evidence that the development of the financial system -consisting of banks and financial markets -positively affects real-sector growth through the efficient mobilization and allocation of capital. This point was recognized at least as far back as Shaw's (1955, 1956) discussions of the relationship between financial system development and growth in the real sector. note, "Conventional theories of income, interest, and money have given insufficient attention to important reciprocal relationships * Fenghua Song (
Institutions, Development, and Economic Growth, 2006
We explore the consequences of liberalized credit markets for growth and inequality in a lifecycle economy with physical and human capital accumulation, populated by households of different abilities, and calibrated to match the longrun economic performance of a panel of emerging countries. Relatively modest improvements in extending credit to the ablest households appear to have large economic consequences: upfront costs (slower initial growth, higher income inequality) followed by delayed benefits (faster long-run growth). Reform also lowers lifecycle utility for a substantial majority of currently active households. Premature liberalization in the least developed countries (low TFP or capital intensity) may redirect economic growth towards a poverty trap.
Journal of Comparative Economics, 2007
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