Papers by AHMED ALBU-SHABEEB
This paper provides an empirical evidence of the variance decomposition
This paper examines a 238 cointegrated stationary observation for the United Arab Emirates (UAE)
... more This paper examines a 238 cointegrated stationary observation for the United Arab Emirates (UAE)
over the period 1978-2011. It employs a restricted Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, and the
estimation method is based on seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) model for a complete system
of equations. The empirical results reveal that the agriculture sector has a negative interrelationship
with FDI and GDP. While the industrial sector achieved a positive linkage with agriculture, export
and service sectors. Furthermore, the FDI inflows have led to reduced levels of imports.
This paper examines correlated variables of energy resources and growth, and their contribution i... more This paper examines correlated variables of energy resources and growth, and their contribution in aggregate energy
consumption. Its main objective is to identify the efficacy of energy, as well as to find out to which extent an economy is based
on energy in order to extrapolate whether it is highly linked to energy-based industries or not. For this purpose, an empirical
model is regressed for the logarithmic annual stationary data of selected OIC countries over the period 1991-2010. The results
reveal that the GDP growth in Saudi Arabia has led to reduced levels of aggregate energy consumption, and does not for the
UAE in the short-run. Moreover, the economies of Malaysia and Libya are highly linked to energy use especially natural gas in
the long-run. And vice versa for Algeria and Indonesia in which the crude oil and natural gas production are not statistically
significant.
This paper addresses the intra-regional trade of the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (G... more This paper addresses the intra-regional trade of the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), namely, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar and Kuwait. We have found that the intra-regional trade is still at a modest level, where the trade intensity index showed negative signals except the UAE, and Saudi Arabia. The study concludes that the unified economic policy of the GCC countries has not achieved its target in terms of increasing the level of intra trade which implies a high reliance on oil export revenues.
This paper addresses the intra-regional trade of the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (G... more This paper addresses the intra-regional trade of the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), namely, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar and Kuwait. We have found that the intra-regional trade is still at a modest level, where the trade intensity index showed negative signals except the UAE, and Saudi Arabia. In addition, the study used a basic gravity model, and added six foreign countries -Malaysia, Turkey, Iran, the UK, Australia and Brazil. It confirms that the size of GDP has a significant role in determining the foreign trade. Moreover, the variable of transportation cost rate is not a concern for Saudi's foreign trade despite the increase in its level, where Saudi Arabia as a hub economy tends to trade with countries like Turkey, the UK, and Brazil more than with its nearby countries, especially Oman, and Qatar. The study concludes that the unified economic policy of the GCC countries has not achieved its target in terms of increasing the level of non-oil industries. Furthermore, the transportation cost rate variable is not an important factor to determine the trade of GCC countries. JEL classification numbers: F12, F15, C23
This study investigates a long-run dynamic relationship of GDP, crude oil export and FDI inflows ... more This study investigates a long-run dynamic relationship of GDP, crude oil export and FDI inflows in GCC countries; The United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar and Kuwait. The methodology adopted is based on Error Correction Model (VECM) which involves 195 stationary balanced observations over the period 1998-2008. Two major objectives were tested, which are: impulse response function and variance decomposition method. The empirical analysis shows that a shock of FDI inflows will cause a parallel negative influence on the oil export and GDP, and FDI inflows are highly linked to GDP compared to oil export.
The Gulf Cooperation Council countries are among the top 25 countries in terms of their contribut... more The Gulf Cooperation Council countries are among the top 25 countries in terms of their contribution to increasing the level of carbon dioxide emissions more than the average world. Furthermore, these countries emit from 45% to 50% of the total emissions of Arab countries, because of the significant role of extractive sectors, as major sources of income in these economies. This study examines the most important factors pertaining to the increasing carbon dioxide emissions in GCC countries over the period 1998-2008. In this paper, the research objective is to determine how much the FDI inflows, economic growth, and commodity imports influenced the increasing level of emissions during the period of study, and which variable has most effect? For this purpose, an empirical model will be estimated in order to obtain the impact of the said variables of the six member countries -United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, and Kuwait. The model of carbon dioxide emissions as a function of FDI inflows, per capita GDP growth rate, and commodity imports will be examined simultaneously within the panel data technique using ordinary least squares OLS.
http://www. ifw-members.ifw-kiel.de/publications
This study examines five independent variables pertaining to the economic growth in GCC countries... more This study examines five independent variables pertaining to the economic growth in GCC countries; the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar and Kuwait. For this purpose, an empirical model is estimated by using a panel data approach. However, we found that the role of FDI is positive in UAE and negative in Saudi Arabia, while it has no effect on the rest of the GCC countries. In addition, the study confirms the continued importance of oil exports, except for Bahrain. Furthermore, the non-oil coefficient did not affect economic growth, and the commodity imports have a positive impact except for the UAE.
Conference Presentations by AHMED ALBU-SHABEEB
The Gulf Cooperation Council countries are among the top 25 countries in terms of their contribut... more The Gulf Cooperation Council countries are among the top 25 countries in terms of their contribution to increasing the level of carbon dioxide emissions more than the average world. Furthermore, these countries emit from 45% to 50% of the total emissions of Arab countries, because of the significant role of extractive sectors, as major sources of income in these economies. This study examines the most important factors pertaining to the increasing carbon dioxide emissions in GCC countries over the period 1998-2008. In this paper, the research objective is to determine how much the FDI inflows, economic growth, and commodity imports influenced the increasing level of emissions during the period of study, and which variable has most effect? For this purpose, an empirical model will be estimated in order to obtain the impact of the said variables of the six member countries -United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, and Kuwait. The model of carbon dioxide emissions as a function of FDI inflows, per capita GDP growth rate, and commodity imports will be examined simultaneously within the panel data technique using ordinary least squares OLS.
This study seeks to analayse the major factors of air pollution in GCC countries over the period ... more This study seeks to analayse the major factors of air pollution in GCC countries over the period 1998-2008. In this paper, the research objective is to show the role of increasing level of carbon dioxide emissions of these countries. As well as, the main components of the GDP and their relation to the level of air pollution in order to find out whether GCC countries are subject to Environmental Kuznets Curve assumption or not ?. Furthermore, extrapolating that GCC countries have followed a strict environment policy or non-strict ?. However, the methodology of this paper is based on a qualitative approach, where we will analyse annual data of carbon dioxide emissions, and the relative importance of the main commodity sectors for the period 1998-2008. 4
Uploads
Papers by AHMED ALBU-SHABEEB
over the period 1978-2011. It employs a restricted Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, and the
estimation method is based on seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) model for a complete system
of equations. The empirical results reveal that the agriculture sector has a negative interrelationship
with FDI and GDP. While the industrial sector achieved a positive linkage with agriculture, export
and service sectors. Furthermore, the FDI inflows have led to reduced levels of imports.
consumption. Its main objective is to identify the efficacy of energy, as well as to find out to which extent an economy is based
on energy in order to extrapolate whether it is highly linked to energy-based industries or not. For this purpose, an empirical
model is regressed for the logarithmic annual stationary data of selected OIC countries over the period 1991-2010. The results
reveal that the GDP growth in Saudi Arabia has led to reduced levels of aggregate energy consumption, and does not for the
UAE in the short-run. Moreover, the economies of Malaysia and Libya are highly linked to energy use especially natural gas in
the long-run. And vice versa for Algeria and Indonesia in which the crude oil and natural gas production are not statistically
significant.
Conference Presentations by AHMED ALBU-SHABEEB
over the period 1978-2011. It employs a restricted Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, and the
estimation method is based on seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) model for a complete system
of equations. The empirical results reveal that the agriculture sector has a negative interrelationship
with FDI and GDP. While the industrial sector achieved a positive linkage with agriculture, export
and service sectors. Furthermore, the FDI inflows have led to reduced levels of imports.
consumption. Its main objective is to identify the efficacy of energy, as well as to find out to which extent an economy is based
on energy in order to extrapolate whether it is highly linked to energy-based industries or not. For this purpose, an empirical
model is regressed for the logarithmic annual stationary data of selected OIC countries over the period 1991-2010. The results
reveal that the GDP growth in Saudi Arabia has led to reduced levels of aggregate energy consumption, and does not for the
UAE in the short-run. Moreover, the economies of Malaysia and Libya are highly linked to energy use especially natural gas in
the long-run. And vice versa for Algeria and Indonesia in which the crude oil and natural gas production are not statistically
significant.