Papers by Fausto Marincioni
Istanbul Resilience Approach Against Earthquake
Geohazards and Disaster Risk Reduction
Food management in disasters: an Italian case study
Perception of the Self-Exposure to Geohazards in the Italian Coastal Population of the Adriatic Basin
Springer eBooks, 2023
The role of sustainable energy and climate action plans: Synergies with regional sustainable development strategies for a local 2030 agenda
Environmental Development
Community Resilience Against Flood: The Case of the LIFE PRIMES Project
Disaster and risk research: GADRI book series, Dec 1, 2022
Environmental and Climate Technologies
The 30 January 2020 the World Health Organization declared the beginning of a global pandemic eme... more The 30 January 2020 the World Health Organization declared the beginning of a global pandemic emergency. Italy was among the first European Countries to be severely impacted by the COVID-19 virus. This short communication describes the organisation of a project investigating different responses to the pandemics, studying the assessment of local and national Health Systems resilience to a biologic hazard such is a Coronavirus. Preliminary results highlighted a fragmented response to the epidemics across the Italian territory probably connected to different public health policies or local emergency management models. The implementation of a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis is provided to study which are the main important indicators to be considered in the pandemic management. The analysis highlights the successful and effective measures for pandemic planning considering different systems: health, economic, political, socio-psychological, demographic, and emergency.
Natural Hazards, 2018
A project to develop a flood hazard management plan along the east shore of Lago Maggiore was car... more A project to develop a flood hazard management plan along the east shore of Lago Maggiore was carried out. Several municipal territories along a coastal stretch have been analysed, identifying the rate of water rise and the limits of the submerged areas. This study discusses the overall methodological approach and presents the results for Porto Valtravaglia, as a significant case study. The first step was a detailed analysis of historical events to locate the most frequently damaged sites. Thousands of historical documents on past floods were collected, selected and validated, to map the most vulnerable sites. The second step was a morphological analysis of the studied coastal stretch. Multi-temporal aerial snapshots were used and field surveys were conducted to verify the reliability of the historical data and to identify the critical hydraulic conditions along the shore. The third step was a review of the general urban development plans of the 17 studied municipalities. Aerophotogrammetric and cadastral maps were used to evidence and define the eight classes of land use destinations. In addition, the floodable areas were divided into three vulnerability and exposure categories considering different peculiarities of social and working life. Finally, using GIS spatial analysis tools, these data were compiled into risk maps and wielded as the municipal emergency plans' baseline scenarios. For each studied municipality was hypothesised the alarm thresholds upon which were activated the flood emergency procedures.
Leaving Nothing to Chance: Reducing Flood Risk by Evaluating Simulation Exercises in Urban Contexts
Advances in 21st century human settlements, 2023
The Role of the Socio-Economic Context in the Spread of the First Wave of COVID-19 in the Marche Region (Central Italy)
SSRN Electronic Journal
The first wave of COVID-19 arrived in Italy in February 2020 severely hitting the northern region... more The first wave of COVID-19 arrived in Italy in February 2020 severely hitting the northern regions and delineating sharp differences across the country, from North to South. The Marche Region (central Italy) is a good example of such uneven distribution of contagion and casualties. This paper discusses the spatial diffusion of COVID-19 during the spring of 2020 in the five provinces of Marche and discusses it by means of descriptive and quantitative analysis of local socio-economic variables. Results show that the high impact of COVID-19 in Pesaro and Urbino, the northernmost province of Marche, might be reasonably attributable to higher mobility of local residents, especially northbound. Similarly, the larger contagion among the elderly in the center and norther provinces, is possibly due to a high number of hospices and seniors' residential facilities. Finally, the North-to-South diffusion of the virus can be explained by the Region's transportation infrastructures and urban layout along the coastal area.
Smoothing the corners of hierarchy: Integrating shared leadership to mitigate maritime disasters
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2021
Abstract Despite technological improvements, the number of maritime accidents is still high. The ... more Abstract Despite technological improvements, the number of maritime accidents is still high. The human element still plays an important role in maritime operations and leadership and communication issues are two key elements that can threaten safety, as happened in the Costa Concordia and El Faro disasters. In this paper we investigate the possibility of introducing shared leadership principles in the current vertical model, interviewing 11 seafarers belonging to two international maritime associations. We conducted Skype interviews and we qualitatively analyzed them using the software Atlas.ti. We describe six elements – organizational culture and ship's climate, error isolation, leadership, mentoring, multiculturalism and teamwork – that, combined together, can foster or inhibit safety. Results highlight the dual role of the captain as mentor and leader, suggesting the need to share responsibilities among crewmembers. Additionally, results emphasize the pivotal role that organizations have in defining the safety environment for preventing errors. Therefore, this study advances the proposition that the maritime system could implement the shared leadership model into the vertical hierarchy.
Food management in disasters: the case study of the earthquakes of 24 august 2016 in Central Italy
Access to safe food in the aftermath of a disaster is pivotal to ensure the survival and well-bei... more Access to safe food in the aftermath of a disaster is pivotal to ensure the survival and well-being of victims and rescuers. This study investigates food management in the case of the earthquakes of 24 August 2016 in Central Italy, assessing survivors’ ability to access food (food security) and the field kitchens practices to ensure hygiene and avoid food-borne disease outbreak (food safety). The study was carried out administering questionnaires one month after the events, to field kitchens users (population hit by the earthquake and volunteer workers) and operatives. Five field kitchens located in the municipalities of Accumoli and Amatrice, in the Lazio Region, and in the municipality of Arquata del Tronto in the Marche Region, were examined. Results suggest that the food quantity, quality and the waiting time at the dining area were overall satisfactory. Almost all interviewed population and volunteer workers declared easy access to proper and abundant meals. Field kitchens operatives claimed both access to fresh ingredients, in quantities far exceeding the needs of the served communities, and availability of the necessary resources (technical and human) to guarantee controlled and safe conditions during preparation and distribution of food. The results of this study are synthesized in a model describing the various aspects that need to be address in order to properly manage food services during a disaster.
Disasters, 2020
Full bibliographic details must be given when referring to, or quoting from full items including ... more Full bibliographic details must be given when referring to, or quoting from full items including the author's name, the title of the work, publication details where relevant (place, publisher, date), pagination, and for theses or dissertations the awarding institution, the degree type awarded, and the date of the award.
Landslides, 2015
Process-based models are widely used for rainfallinduced shallow landslide forecasting. Previous ... more Process-based models are widely used for rainfallinduced shallow landslide forecasting. Previous studies have successfully applied the U.S. Geological Survey's Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-Based Regional Slope-Stability (TRIGRS) model (Baum et al. 2002) to compute infiltration-driven changes in the hillslopes' factor of safety on small scales (i.e., tens of square kilometers). Soil data input for such models are difficult to obtain across larger regions. This work describes a novel methodology for the application of TRIGRS over broad areas with relatively uniform hydrogeological properties. The study area is a 550-km 2 region in Central Italy covered by post-orogenic Quaternary sediments. Due to the lack of field data, we assigned mechanical and hydrological property values through a statistical analysis based on literature review of soils matching the local lithologies. We calibrated the model using rainfall data from 25 historical rainfall events that triggered landslides. We compared the variation of pressure head and factor of safety with the landslide occurrence to identify the best fitting input conditions. Using calibrated inputs and a soil depth model, we ran TRIGRS for the study area. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, comparing the model's output with a shallow landslide inventory, shows that TRIGRS effectively simulated the instability conditions in the post-orogenic complex during historical rainfall scenarios. The implication of this work is that rainfall-induced landslides over large regions may be predicted by a deterministic model, even where data on geotechnical and hydraulic properties as well as temporal changes in topography or subsurface conditions are not available.
The role of information technologies in the integration and transfer of disaster knowledge
This study seeks to define the main factors and operational framework affecting the exchange of k... more This study seeks to define the main factors and operational framework affecting the exchange of knowledge by means of modern information technologies within the disaster management community. Despite the considerable advances made in the field of natural hazard and disaster management, exchanges and interaction between members of the community have not yet reached a sufficient level to foster a symbiotic growth of the discipline. The advancements brought by information technologies like satellite communications, computer networks, and various decision support systems, may have changed this trend. The analysis of the diffusion and application of such technologies in a diverse sample of 96 disaster-management agencies (selected in the states of Alabama, California, and Massachusetts, and in the Italian regions of Campania, Friuli Venezia Giulia, and Tuscany), confirmed the hypothesis that information technology can enhance the sharing of disaster knowledge, if attuned to the unique settings and professional culture of the local disaster-management community. Four basic factors appeared to be the key variables that affect the knowledge transfer process: (a) professional culture, (b) context, (c) technology, and (d) interaction
A rapid method for flood susceptibility mapping in two districts of Phatthalung Province (Thailand): present and projected conditions for 2050
Natural Hazards, 2015
This study discusses the application of a multiple logistic regression analysis in Khao Chai Son ... more This study discusses the application of a multiple logistic regression analysis in Khao Chai Son and Mueang Phatthalung districts (Phatthalung Province in southern Thailand), which were the two worst flooded districts in the 2011 inundation. The aim is to test an easy, rapid, and cost-effective method to asses flood susceptibility in a data-poor country. Climatic, topographic, and geological data have been overlaid with those of the flood events occurred in the study area from 2007 to 2011. Results showed a positive spatial correlation between the northeast monsoon precipitation and flooding. Moreover, using the rainfall projection of the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research the proposed model forecasts a sharp increase of flood susceptibility in the study area by the year 2050. Given the versatility of such model, local governments could easily use it to define the areas in their territories most exposed to flood hazard and timely implement risk reduction policies and practices.
Integrating digital information for marine science
Journal of Digital Information Management
Information technology and the internet
Encyclopedia of Earth Science
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Papers by Fausto Marincioni
survival and well-being of victims and rescuers. This study investigates food
management in the case of the earthquakes of 24 August 2016 in Central Italy,
assessing survivors’ ability to access food (food security) and the field
kitchens practices to ensure hygiene and avoid food-borne disease outbreak
(food safety). The study was carried out administering questionnaires one
month after the events, to field kitchens users (population hit by the
earthquake and volunteer workers) and operatives. Five field kitchens located
in the municipalities of Accumoli and Amatrice, in the Lazio Region, and in
the municipality of Arquata del Tronto in the Marche Region, were examined.
Results suggest that the food quantity, quality and the waiting time at the
dining area were overall satisfactory. Almost all interviewed population and
volunteer workers declared easy access to proper and abundant meals. Field
kitchens operatives claimed both access to fresh ingredients, in quantities far
exceeding the needs of the served communities, and availability of the
necessary resources (technical and human) to guarantee controlled and safe
conditions during preparation and distribution of food. The results of this
study are synthesized in a model describing the various aspects that need to
be address in order to properly manage food services during a disaster.