Papers by Serena Favarin
Despite growing interest in organized crime’s infiltration of the legal economy, research to date... more Despite growing interest in organized crime’s infiltration of the legal economy, research to date has
paid little attention to the investments of criminal organizations in real estate. Using data on con-
fiscated assets in 8,092 Italian municipalities between 2000 and 2012, this paper aims to remedy
this lack of knowledge. Applying a risk–reward approach, based on the rational choice perspective,
the analysis highlights what drives Italian mafia groups’ investments in the real estate sector. The
results obtained support the validity of the rational choice perspective by showing how criminal
organizations weigh risks and rewards in their decisions to invest in real estate.
Global Crime, 2014
This article focuses on four different criminal markets: namely, those of counterfeiting, illegal... more This article focuses on four different criminal markets: namely, those of counterfeiting, illegal firearms trafficking, gambling and waste management.
European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research, 2013
The transition of countries from an autocratic to a democratic regime is a complex process charac... more The transition of countries from an autocratic to a democratic regime is a complex process characterized by big political, social and economic changes. This process is usually accompanied by an increase in violent crime rates which has been investigated by a large number of studies in the last decades. A special role in this analysis is played by the studies on the former communist countries, especially the ones that stress the relationship between post-communist regimes and the exponential rise of violent crime rates experienced in their transition. The majority of these studies have tried to explain the violent crime booms, but no research empirically tested if violent crime is willing to decrease as democracies consolidated. According to one of the most recent studies by Alvazzi del Frate and Mugellini, the Western Balkan region and a large number of "Non-Western" countries have recently experienced a drop in their homicide rates which has not been empirically analysed yet. This article aims at fulfilling this lack of knowledge by empirically analyzing seven countries of the Balkan region, Bulgaria and Romania. The main hypothesis is that, in terms of reduction of violent crime, there is a benefit in shifting from a transitional to a more democratic regime in postcommunist countries. Data on Polity score and homicide rate from 1995 to 2011 were collected to conduct a fixed effect panel data analysis on the level of democracy and violent crime in the Balkan region, Bulgaria and Romania confirming a negative association between the two variables.
Books reviews by Serena Favarin
European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research, 2013
Reports by Serena Favarin
Questa ricerca presenta un modello predittivo per i furti in abitazione che è il frutto di una co... more Questa ricerca presenta un modello predittivo per i furti in abitazione che è il frutto di una collaborazione tra Transcrime e il Ministero dell’Interno, Dipartimento della Pubblica Sicurezza. Nel rapporto si indica perché lo studio dei furti in abitazione è rilevante a livello europeo e italiano. Si
spiega, poi, come l’utilizzo di modelli previsionali possa aiutare a prevenire i furti in abitazione, con particolare attenzione alla metodologia utilizzata.
Infine, si testa e si applica positivamente un modello previsionale alle città di Milano, Roma e Bari, suggerendo ipotesi per la riduzione del fenomeno.
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Papers by Serena Favarin
paid little attention to the investments of criminal organizations in real estate. Using data on con-
fiscated assets in 8,092 Italian municipalities between 2000 and 2012, this paper aims to remedy
this lack of knowledge. Applying a risk–reward approach, based on the rational choice perspective,
the analysis highlights what drives Italian mafia groups’ investments in the real estate sector. The
results obtained support the validity of the rational choice perspective by showing how criminal
organizations weigh risks and rewards in their decisions to invest in real estate.
Books reviews by Serena Favarin
Reports by Serena Favarin
spiega, poi, come l’utilizzo di modelli previsionali possa aiutare a prevenire i furti in abitazione, con particolare attenzione alla metodologia utilizzata.
Infine, si testa e si applica positivamente un modello previsionale alle città di Milano, Roma e Bari, suggerendo ipotesi per la riduzione del fenomeno.
paid little attention to the investments of criminal organizations in real estate. Using data on con-
fiscated assets in 8,092 Italian municipalities between 2000 and 2012, this paper aims to remedy
this lack of knowledge. Applying a risk–reward approach, based on the rational choice perspective,
the analysis highlights what drives Italian mafia groups’ investments in the real estate sector. The
results obtained support the validity of the rational choice perspective by showing how criminal
organizations weigh risks and rewards in their decisions to invest in real estate.
spiega, poi, come l’utilizzo di modelli previsionali possa aiutare a prevenire i furti in abitazione, con particolare attenzione alla metodologia utilizzata.
Infine, si testa e si applica positivamente un modello previsionale alle città di Milano, Roma e Bari, suggerendo ipotesi per la riduzione del fenomeno.