TL neuro

February 9, 2026

A new preprint examines 6-methyl-nicotine levels in oral pouches

Filed under: Tobacco/Nicotine, Vape inhalation — Tags: , , — mtaffe @ 3:36 pm

As I mentioned in a prior post, the tobacco / nicotine industry has adopted the analog strategy to stay ahead of government regulation and oversight. This involves, at present, substituting 6-methyl-nicotine (6-MN) for nicotine in a host of products including e-cigarette liquids and oral pouches. This strategy is not dissimilar to the strategy in the illicit drug markets, first in the 1980s when amphetamine analogs proliferated and then renewed ~2008 with a diversity of cathinone analogs (“bathsalts”) and cannabinoid receptor agonist drugs (“Spice”) appearing in various places including over the counter in convenience stores and head shops.

The oral nicotine pouch is similar to the Bandits familiar to my generation, which amounted to small amounts of tobacco (and additives) in a small material pouch similar to a teabag. This could then be held between cheek and gum less disgustingly than “chewing” tobacco or smokeless tobacco (e.g., Skoal, Copenhagen) products to deliver a buccal (gums) dose of nicotine.

The newest evolution of these products apparently eschews tobacco and simply puts nicotine (and now 6-MN) onto some sort of carrier material, along with various flavorants.

Jabba and colleagues have posted a pre-print on medrx Health Risk Assessment for an Unregulated Neurotoxic Nicotine Analogue in Oral Pouch Products (doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.11.13.25340208 ) which analyzes the 6-MN content of several oral pouch products. They obtained 25 total flavored variants of three brands, Aroma King, MG and Hippotine and confirmed 6-MN content from about 3.28 mg to 14.48 mg per pouch. They assert this compares with 2-8 mg of nicotine in typical oral pouch products, and provide reference data on the nicotine content of two Zyn brand nicotine pouches (3.32 and 5.66 mg).

Interestingly, the manuscript reports that for the six products which listed a 6-MN content, the analyzed content per pouch was lower. On the order of under 40% of the advertised content. This matches up with this group’s prior report that the amount of 6-MN in commercial e-cigarette liquids was often lower than the packages advertised. Accumulation of these sorts of analyses can give an imprecise, but market-based, indication of the relative potency of the analog compared with nicotine.

The other thing about this manuscript is that a comment has been posted on the pre-print. This is supposed to be one of the advantages of posting pre-prints, i.e., the authors have a chance to address questions, comments and concerns before submitting it to peer review. Likewise, the reader has access to analysis. In this case, the commenter takes issue with a Risk Assessment, and in particular a Hazard Quotient, calculated by the authors. The comment reads:

The HQ calculations for heart rate increase are scientifically invalid. Heart rate increase from nicotinic agonists is the intended pharmacological effect, not an adverse outcome. The authors use an ARfD based on heart rate increases, but HQ methodology is designed to assess adverse health effects. Pharmacological receptor activation that produces the desired stimulant effect cannot be characterized as a toxicological hazard. By this logic, caffeine would have unacceptable HQs for increased alertness.Valid cardiovascular risk assessment requires identifying doses causing actual adverse outcomes like sustained tachycardia leading to arrhythmias, hypertensive crises, or cardiovascular events in vulnerable populations. The physiological response that constitutes the purpose of product use is not a safety threshold exceedance.

This read a little weird to me. I am almost certain that nobody uses nicotine for the primary outcome that it increases their heart rate. All appearances suggest people use nicotine for cognitive effects. For making them feel more alert, more focused. To suppress their appetite and to stave off tiredness. Of course, once they are addicted they use nicotine to avoid the unpleasant feelings associated with withdrawal. I have never run across any suggestion that the primary purpose or intent is to experience an increase in heart rate. This commenter then illustrates the tangled logic, by pointing out the desired effects of caffeine are alertness. Yes.

Now they do have a point that an elevation of heart rate may be an unintended effect that is not necessarily a health concern. And the obvious, albeit unstated, issue that the consumer may perform some sort of risk/benefit tradeoff and conclude that an elevated heart rate is worth whatever benefit they get from ingesting caffeine, nicotine, or the nicotine analog 6-MN.

The commenter then ends with

The conclusions about exceeding safety thresholds rest on this fundamental mischaracterization of pharmacology as toxicity. This undermines legitimate regulatory concerns about unregulated nicotine analogues. Meaningful risk assessment requires identification of true adverse cardiovascular outcomes, not normal receptor-mediated responses.

I don’t agree this is a “fundamental mischaracterization”. Intended and unintended pharmacological effects of various drugs can certainly be construed as toxicity. Information on the 6-MN content of oral products helps navigate regulatory concerns. The value of this calculated Hazard Quotient is perhaps up to the observer, but it doesn’t “undermine” anything. The rest of this, “meaningful” assessment of risk, “true” adverse outcomes… well that is in the eye of the beholder as well. What is important is to provide data where possible and to provide interpretation….and critique. So this is all part of the system working, in my view.

Now, as loathe as I usually am to play ad hominem games, I did do a quick google on the name left on the comment. There were a couple of links to that name which indicated their job is a Toxicologist at Altria.

Altria, of course, is the corporation that owns brands such as Philip Morris USA, U.S. Smokeless Tobacco Company and NJOY. Everyone should recognize Phillip Morris as a very large tobacco products company, indeed the creation of the Altria company was a re-brand of Phillip Morris Companies Inc. NJOY is a pod-style e-cigarette brand. U.S. Smokeless Tobacco Company is a big player in so-called moist oral tobacco products such as Copenhagen and Skoal. The Phillip Morris International brand was spun off at some point, and they are the sellers of Zyn oral pouches. Altria received FDA approval to market their nicotine oral pouch products in December 2025.

Suffice it to say, there is a long tradition of tobacco companies hiring supposed scientists and toxicologists to defend their selling of products which are adverse to health. When it comes to tobacco products, they have been playing this game for over 50 years and for the most part have been found to be disingenuous at best, and out and out fraudsters who conceal data that counters their claims to harmlessness at the worst.

This illustrates why we need to generate data, and lots of it. One or two or a dozen papers are not sufficient, particularly when each of them will get criticisms from industry employees who are highly motivated to downplay harms. This includes a need for study of the novel delivery products such as oral pouches and e-cigarettes as well as the chemicals that are in those devices such as flavorants (apple, cotton candy), so-called cooling agents (menthol, WS-3, WS-23) and nicotine analogs such as 6-methyl-nicotine.

Information is needed for individuals making decisions about which products to use or not use, for parents attempting to keep their adolescents from being addicted to nicotine and for public policy makers who may or may not pass laws and support regulations.

January 8, 2026

E-cigarette vaping remains high in adolescent populations

Filed under: E-cigarettes, Tobacco/Nicotine, Vapor Inhalation — Tags: , , , , — mtaffe @ 2:03 pm

The Monitoring the Future survey of drug use trends only added vaping to its questionnaires for the 2014 dataset. I remarked after the initial data were reported in 2015 that single year point estimates were unlikely to tell us much about epidemiological prevalence of nicotine ingestion via this new method.

There were some changes in the survey questions, or at least in the data reporting, to narrow down on whether E-cigarettes were being used to ingest nicotine or some other substance such as “only flavors” or cannabis extracts. But we now have data from 2017 onward that reflect the percentages of various populations that use E-cigarettes for nicotine. Here, I am presenting the percent of respondents in the 12th grade that say they have used an E-cigarette to ingest nicotine at least once in the past 30 days. This is contrasted with the longer trends for prevalence of cigarette use in the past 30 day, again, in 12th graders.

It could not be clearer that E-cigarettes have undone decades of progress in reducing nicotine inhalation in the most critical adolescent populations. In 2019 the E-cigarette prevalence peaked at 25.5% of 12th graders, an incidence that had not been observed for smoking since 2004. Sure, the rate of decline for E-cigarettes past 2020 was steeper, but there were still 15.7% vaping nicotine in 2025. This approximates cigarette smoking rates from 2013-2014. While I am presenting the 30-day prevalence, these patterns are matched by the data for daily smoking in the past 30 days, i.e., in 2025 only 0.8% of 12th graders smoked daily whereas 20% 5.5% (corrected 2/12/2026) vaped nicotine daily.

These data show pretty clearly that the E-cigarettes did not merely replace smoking in the teen populations that are at risk for smoking. That decline in cigarette smoking looks very linear, and uninterrupted, through the onset of the E-cigarette era. The numbers here are independent and there are very likely many cigarette smokers who also vape nicotine at least occasionally. So there are more adolescents who were, and are, exposed to nicotine thanks to E-cigarettes.

It will take us years if not decades to fully understand the harms of vaping nicotine, particularly as compared with cigarette use. While combusted tobacco products involve many toxicants that are not in E-cigaretes, nicotine is the addicting substance. It is the thing that reinforces continued use of these inhalation products and makes it so difficult for users to cease their consumption. It is, in and of itself, a health risk, particularly for cardiovascular concerns.

Analysis of smoking epidemiological data emphasizes the benefits of reducing 12th grade nicotine use.

Note that the ~30% prevalence of past-30-day cigarette use for 12th graders in the 1980s was down from highs of about 39% circa 1976-1977, which I am not showing here. The important point is that there has been a long and steady decline for roughly 25 years (following that 5-19 year trend of slightly increased rates of cigarette smoking starting around 1993). Only 3.4% of high school seniors smoked cigarettes within the past 30 days in 2025.

This is a very good thing, given the demonstrated harms of lifetime cigarette smoking and the sad reality that the vast majority of life-long smokers initiate their use during adolescence. The US Surgeon General’s 50 years of progress report on smoking emphasizes that 88% of adult smokers started prior to age 18 and almost all first smoked before age 26.

The sustained decrease in 12th grade cigarette use, above, is very likely related to cohort trends of daily cigarette use in older adults.

Here I am graphing the daily cigarette use trends (again, from the MTF datasets) for cohorts who are currently ages 30-65 by five year intervals for these same adult ages. Looking at the 29-30 year (MTF does two year averages up to 30 and then every five years thereafter) data at the far left, there is an orderly relationship of declining smoking rates with the highest for those who are currently 65 when they were 30 and the lowest for the current 30-year olds. For reference, the current 65 year olds were 18 in 1978, when past-30-day cigarette use was 37% in 12th grade students (38.8% in 1976, 38.4% in 1977). Interestingly, that mid-1990s increase in 12th grade smoking prevalence did not cause that cohort (currently ~45-50 years of age) to have more smokers than the current 55 year old cohort. At best we can observe that perhaps the 45 and 50 year old cohorts are closer to the 55 year old cohort than would be predicted from the other cohort intervals at, say, 30-35 years of age.

Patrick, M. E., Miech, R. A., Johnston, L. D., & O’Malley, P. M. (2025). Monitoring the Future Panel Study annual report: National data on substance use among adults ages 19 to 65, 1976–2024. Monitoring the Future Monograph Series. Ann Arbor, MI: Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan. https://dx.doi.org/10.7302/26783

The cohort analysis above shows that on the population level, daily smoking prevalence tends to decrease across age. No doubt this is due to many factors, including early mortality. There are many fewer years of data for vaping available, and MTF does not report daily vaping so far, but it tends to suggest increasing prevalence of vaping nicotine.

September 22, 2025

Delving into the analogue strategy in the e-cigarette market

tl;dr:

We’ve posted a new pre-print which describes some initial studies on the effects of 6-methyl nicotine (6-MN), an analogue of nicotine. This has been showing up in retail products such as oral pouches and e-cigarette liquids. Since tobacco-derived nicotine has been the major focus of health research for decades, there is very little information available on how 6-MN may act. We don’t know if it has different potency compared with nicotine, if it has mostly nicotine-like effects or if there are major differences.

This figure depicts vapor self-administration behavior of two sub-groups of middle aged female rats that have been involved in a long series of experiments involving e-cigarette type vapor exposure to nicotine. (See Gutierrez et al. 2024a and 2024b for a rough outline of the approach, although these animals received repeated exposure in early adulthood, not in adolescence.) These data are the average number of vapor deliveries obtained (via pressing a lever) in 30 minute sessions, depicted as group mean (bars are SEM) and individual behavior.

One sub-group self-administered 6-methyl nicotine vapor for seven sessions and then was switched to nicotine for seven sessions. The other sub-group experienced the drugs in the other order. Despite significant sub-group differences (assignment was based on similar self-administration of nicotine several weeks prior to this experiment and we’re not sure what caused the 3-4 low-preferrers to quit), it is pretty clear that the rats self-administer the same number of hits of nicotine and 6-MN when included in the vehicle at the same concentration. We had additional measures on the physiological effects of 6-MN in this pre-print that likewise suggested similarity with nicotine in terms of effect and potency. Our takeaway message from this initial foray is that the 6-MN analogue is very likely to be associated with all of the harms identified for nicotine.

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