Monthly Archives: September 2024

Book Review: On the Edge: The Future

Posted on September 27, 2024 by TheZvi

Previously: The Fundamentals, The Gamblers, The Business We have now arrived at the topics most central to this book, aka ‘The Future.’

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AI #83: The Mask Comes Off

Posted on September 26, 2024 by TheZvi

We interrupt Nate Silver week here at Don’t Worry About the Vase to bring you some rather big AI news: OpenAI and Sam Altman are planning on fully taking their masks off, discarding the nonprofit board’s nominal control and transitioning … Continue reading →

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Book Review: On the Edge: The Business

Posted on September 25, 2024 by TheZvi

Previously: The Fundamentals, The Gamblers Having previously handled the literal gamblers, we are ready to move on to those who Do Business using Riverian principles. Or at least while claiming to use Riverian principles, since Silicon Valley doesn’t fit into … Continue reading →

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Book Review: On the Edge: The Gamblers

Posted on September 24, 2024 by TheZvi

Previously: Book Review: On the Edge: The Fundamentals As I said in the Introduction, I loved this part of the book. Let’s get to it.

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Book Review: On the Edge: The Fundamentals

Posted on September 23, 2024 by TheZvi

The most likely person to write On the Edge was Nate Silver. Grok thinks the next most likely was Michael Lewis, followed by a number of other writers of popular books regarding people thinking different. I see why Grok would … Continue reading →

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AI #82: The Governor Ponders

Posted on September 19, 2024 by TheZvi

The big news of the week was of course OpenAI releasing their new model o1. If you read one post this week, read that one. Everything else is a relative sideshow. Meanwhile, we await Newsom’s decision on SB 1047. The … Continue reading →

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Monthly Roundup #22: September 2024

Posted on September 17, 2024 by TheZvi

It’s that time again for all the sufficiently interesting news that isn’t otherwise fit to print, also known as the Monthly Roundup. Bad News Beware the failure mode in strategy and decisions that implicitly assumes competence, or wishes away difficulties, … Continue reading →

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GPT-o1

Posted on September 16, 2024 by TheZvi

Terrible name (with a terrible reason, that this ‘resets the counter’ on AI capability to 1, and ‘o’ as in OpenAI when they previously used o for Omni, very confusing). Impressive new capabilities in many ways. Less impressive in many … Continue reading →

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AI #81: Alpha Proteo

Posted on September 12, 2024 by TheZvi

Following up on Alpha Fold, DeepMind has moved on to Alpha Proteo. We also got a rather simple prompt that can create a remarkably not-bad superforecaster for at least some classes of medium term events. We did not get a … Continue reading →

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AI #80: Never Have I Ever

Posted on September 10, 2024 by TheZvi

(This was supposed to be on Thursday but I forgot to cross-post) Will AI ever make art? Fully do your coding? Take all the jobs? Kill all the humans? Most of the time, the question comes down to a general … Continue reading →

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