It’s a righteous novel, and I’m a KSR fan of longstanding,
so I expected to like Ministry of the Future. And I did, if only up to a point. Beyond that point I ... didn't, really. Nonetheless, I’d suggest, or I would if it didn’t just look perversely
contradictory, that the very reason I didn’t much like The Ministry of the Future
is actually an index of its success: its ambition, its throughline and above
all its—well, it’s ministry.
It’s a fat book (nearly 600pp) that is thin on
plot. We get: pipette-doses of Mary’s story (she’s the head of the titular
ministry, based in Zurich) and of Frank’s story, a US medic working in a clinic
near Lucknow. Frank is caught in the book’s most vividly written scene, its
opening chapter—an unprecedented heatwave that collapses all the infrastructure
of human existence and kills 20 million people across a wide swathe of northern
India: Frank survives but is severely PTSDd. There are a few other mini-narratives. But that's not most of the book, by bulk. Instead the text laminates slices of this narrativizing with thicker layers
of non-narrative stuff. There are many, many lecturettes about climate
science and economics and blockchain and stuff, sometimes just laid out in prose, sometimes disposed into jaunty little pseudo-Socratic dialogue exchanges. Some chapters are wholly given over to short prose riddles: ‘I zing and I ping and I bring and I bling. Freed to
self in the heart of the sun I banged around in there for a million years … I
am not strange, I am simple’ and so on. Fret not, KSR ends these riddling insets
with the solution: ‘What am I? I am a photon’ [p236]. Or DNA. Or ‘the market’.
Or, on one occasion, ‘I am blockchain. I am encryption. I am code. Now put me
to work’ [p.177]—this isn’t the first of KSR’s novels to have a hard-on for
blockchain, one feature of his later oeuvre I find it hard to wrap my head
around, frankly.
As ever with Robinson, there’s a great deal of interesting stuff in amongst all this, and it would surely be superfluous to object to the KSR Infopump, deployed in this novel as it has been in so many of his books to draw liquid Info from under the sliding glaciers of ignorance and misinformation in order to spray it over the frozen surface to refreeze informatively in plain sight. Some of his ideas are either naïve or brilliant in their simplicity or perhaps both—viz., when the next financial collapse (which will, of course inevitably come) sends the banks cap-in-hand begging again to national governments for handouts, bail them out in return for shares, and so at-a-stroke nationalise them. Voilá! Others are simple-sounding but, if you think about them for a moment, likely hard actually to do.
So, as per my strained simile a few lines earlier: since thousands of gigantic glaciers are sliding with increased rapidity towards the sea (to melt, and so lift sea-levels to drown our coasts, displace billions and crash our precarious modes of living) why don’t we—stop them? They’re sliding because global warming has melted a hovercraft-cushion of water beneath them. So let's drill down, and pump that water away, and then the glaciers will stick on frictionful rock and grit and cease their sliding. Indeed, the sheer weight of these titanic blocks of ice will push the water trapped berneath them a long way up any drillhole: 87% of the way up, KSR thinks, which only leaves us needing a small pump action to bring it the rest of the way up. But the amounts of water we’re talking about (a cube of water four kilometers across) would require millions of pumps, and those pumps are likely to get clogged with silt and goop, and would themselves require energy and problems mount upon problems. In this novel KSR explores the difficulties this solution is liable to encounter pretty well, actually. Less so with other ideas, which do rather strain readerly credulity. So: pro-environmental terrorists are able to do prodigies of damage to carbon-polluting technologies and industries (planes, factories, cattle farming) with ease, thereby dissuading people from continuing with them, and all without massively destabilising international relations, causing World War 3 or even catching that many casualties. Really? There are various kinds of handwavey new tech: satellites beaming microwaves from space, for one, picking up the slack in fossil fuel energy production; an old idea in SF I know, but a bit Father Christmas for all that. New tech for scrubbing carbon from the atmosphere is similarly waved, handily. A secret black ops branch of the Ministry captures Davos, the entire town, plus all the high-rank attendees of its celebrated annual economic forum: holds everyone hostage for a month, forcing them to cook for themselves and attend reeducation lectures and then just ... lets them go. There seems surprisingly little retribution for this improbable and peculiar act.
But my main takeaway has less to do with the content of this novel, and more to do with its style and form. This is how characters talk to one another:
“Okay!” said Mary. “What should we be telling national governments to do now?”
Bob said: “Set increasingly stronger standards for carbon emissions across the six biggest emitting sectors, and pretty soon you’re in carbon-negative territory and working your way back to 350.”
“The six biggest emitters being?”
“Industry, transport, land use, buildings, transportation and cross-sector.”
“And how do you get reductions in those six sectors?”
Eleven policies would get it done, they all told her. Carbon pricing, industry efficient standards, land use policies, industrial process emissions regulations, complementary power sector policies, renewable portfolio standards, building codes and appliance standards, fuel economy standards, better urban transport, vehicle electrification and feebates, which was to say carbon taxes passed back through to consumers. [p.251]
Got that? Not an um or an er in sight, which perhaps indicates that the answers to climate change are so well-known that any knowledgeable person can rattle them straight off when prompted, or else indicates that KSR isn’t really interested in, like, reproducing the uh way people actually people actually talk. The question, I suppose, is whether calling Mary’s interlocutor as-you-know- ‘Bob’ is enough to leaven this lump of pure dumpery. I don't know. Dumping can be informative but dreary. A little nod, a tiny wink. Does it suffice? Maybe. But there are many, massy lumps like this in the book as a whole, fatbergs clogging the throughline sewers of the story. Or perhaps I mean to say: there are many, massy fascinating insights into a very real and extremely pressing contemporary situation. It depends on how you look at it.
Either way, KSR really leans into his approach. Chapter 67 begins with the sentence: ‘taxes are interesting’, as if daring the reader to demur. Having set Frank’s story going with one of the most extraordinary and memorable opening chapters I’ve read in years, Robinson then pootles him around in a ‘will-he won’t-he commit to becoming a terrorist’ storyline for a couple hundred pages, and then parks him in a Swiss prison for a couple hundred more—bold! Or perhaps bonkers. One plank of this novel’s plan for addressing climate change is the dismantling of capitalism, in part to be effected by turning all the banks into co-ops. ‘The profits,’ KSR assures us, ‘don’t get shifted out as shares to shareholders, but are rather divided three ways, with a third distributed among the employee-owners, a third devoted to [environmental] capital improvements and a third given to charities chosen by the employees.’ He goes on with various other minutiae of the new arrangements: ‘the wage ratio between management’s top salary and the minimum level of pay is set at three to one … open admission … the sovereignty of capital … participatory management … inter-cooperation’—it goes on and on. Finally KSR breaks off with: ‘This list is worth studying in detail, but not here’ [p.273]. If you say so, Stan.
The negative way of spinning all this would be to say that this novel can be a dry read, sometimes positively drought-dry. There are stretches here which are, baldly stated, an effort for the reader to push through. But the positive way to spin it would be to see it as a novel not just about climate change, but about the kind of stories we tell ourselves about disasters like climate change. Those stories are, clearly, not helping at present. Take ‘eucatastrophe’, Tolkien’s term for a thrilling story in which disaster impends, becomes more and more inevitable and then is averted at the very last moment. It’s a real workhorse of storytelling nowadays, is the eucatastrophe, especially in cinema. There is a threat to the whole world! Let’s imagine that as a singular, external thing: an asteroid on collision course, a huge invading alien spaceship. Then let’s draw out the approaching disaster and make it seem like it could never be overcome. Finally, bam: rabbit from hat, the hero saves the day at the last minute.
The Ministry for the Future is,
in effect, saying: that’s a bad story—not bad in entertainment terms but bad in
verisimilitude terms. It is saying: we are actually, right now, indeed facing a threat
to the whole world, but it’s not a single thing it’s a complex and deeply-embedded
function of human interrelation and social praxis. It’s not exterior to us, it is
us. And it won’t be solved by a single heroic flourish in the nick of time. It
will be solved by a congeries of difficult, drawn-out, collective labour, much
of which is so inimical to ‘popular narrative’ that we dismiss it as boring. It’s
not boring, though: it’s literally life-and-death. And so one part of our large, human task will be: to reconfigure the kinds of stories we are telling ourselves
about disaster and how to avert it.




