California's early transition to electric vehicles: Observed health and air quality co-benefits
- PMID: 36739036
- PMCID: PMC10465173
- DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161761
California's early transition to electric vehicles: Observed health and air quality co-benefits
Abstract
The transition to electric vehicles is projected to have considerable public health co-benefits, but most evidence regarding air quality and health impacts comes from projections rather than real-world data. We evaluated whether population-level respiratory health and air quality co-benefits were already detectable at the relatively low levels of zero-emissions vehicles (ZEVs: battery electric, plug-in hybrid, hydrogen fuel cell vehicle) adoption in California, and evaluated the ZEV adoption gap in underserved communities. We conducted a zip code-level ecologic study relating changes in annual number of ZEVs (nZEV) per 1000 population from 2013 to 2019 to: (i) annual average monitored nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations and (ii) annual age-adjusted asthma-related emergency department (ED) visit rates, while considering educational attainment. The average nZEV increased from 1.4 per 1000 population in 2013 (standard deviation [SD]: 2.1) to 14.7 per 1000 in 2019 (SD: 14.7). ZEV adoption was considerably slower in zip codes with lower educational attainment (p < 0.0001). A within-zip code increase of 20 ZEVs per 1000 was associated with a - 0.41 ppb change in annual average NO2 (95 % confidence interval [CI]:-1.12, 0.29) in an adjusted model. A within-zip code increase of 20 ZEVs per 1000 population was associated with a 3.2 % decrease in annual age-adjusted rate of asthma-related ED visits (95 % CI:-5.4, -0.9). Findings were supported by a variety of sensitivity analyses. Observational data on the early phase ZEV transition in California provided a natural experiment, enabling us to document the first real-world associations between increasing nZEV and changes in air quality and health. Results suggest co-benefits of the early-phase transition to ZEVs but with an adoption gap among populations with lower socioeconomic status which threatens the equitable distribution of possible co-benefits.
Keywords: Air pollution; Asthma; Climate change; Respiratory health; Traffic-related pollution.
Copyright © 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Conflict of interest statement
Declaration of competing interest Erika Garcia reports stock in Tesla Inc., Rivian Automotive Inc., and Ford Motor Co., all outside the submitted work, a conflict of interest (COI) managed by the USC Health Science Campus Conflict of Interest Review Committee including independent review of data collection and analyses. Sandrah Eckel reports funding from the National Institutes of Health and a spouse who works in emissions testing for a major automobile manufacturer, a COI managed by the USC Health Science Campus Conflict of Interest Review Committee including independent review of data collection and analyses. All other authors declare they have no actual or potential competing interests.
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