AI Pulse Score on every market

Prediction Market
Intelligence

Live odds from Polymarket, Manifold and more. Our AI scores every market and highlights where the crowd may be wrong.

57,198 live markets

57,146 AI scored

1,194 edge opportunities

2 platforms

Updated every 15 min

Top Edge Markets

Where AI disagrees with current market pricing

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Will the official Farcaster client (formerly Warpcast) permanently cease as a social media platform by Dec 31, 2026?

NOAI: 39.75%-11 pts

Market shows a near-even split on the future of Farcaster by 2026.

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?

YESAI: 63.75%-11 pts

High probability for a machine learning run exceeding 10^26 FLOP in China by 2027.

Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?

AI: 49.95%-11 pts

Market leans towards India building a military base in the southwest Indian Ocean by 2026.

Will another Iranian official be killed

Manifold $371Today

YESAI: 78.36%-11 pts

High probability of another Iranian official being killed according to market data.

Will gas prices continue to get higher because of the war

Manifold $213Today

YESAI: 76.87%-11 pts

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?

YESAI: 70.62%-11 pts

High probability for exceeding 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027.

High Confidence Calls

Markets where the AI model has strong conviction

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Polymarket $32.5M1d left

NOAI: 12.5%+2 pts

Low probability for US forces entering Iran by March 31, with market favoring a NO outcome

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Polymarket $30.9M

NOAI: 12.1%+3 pts

The market strongly favors that Trump will not acquire Greenland before 2027.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Polymarket $22.3M

NOAI: 22.5%+3 pts

The market indicates a low probability of the Iranian regime falling by June 30.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Polymarket $20.3M

NOAI: 19.5%+3 pts

The market strongly favors a NO on US confirmation of alien existence by 2027.

Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?

Polymarket $16.8M

NOAI: 15.6%+3.5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of Zoom being acquired before 2027.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket $16.5M

NOAI: 22.85%-1.5 pts

Gavin Newsom has a low probability of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Polymarket $14.7M

NOAI: 11.85%+2 pts

Low probability of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan by 2026.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Polymarket $14M1d left

YESAI: 76.25%-3 pts

Market indicates a high probability of crude oil reaching $100 by March's end.

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Polymarket $13.3M

NOAI: 20.1%Fair

The market indicates a low probability for the Avalanche to win the 2026 Stanley Cup.

Most Traded Markets

Highest volume markets across all platforms

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Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Polymarket $51.5M

NOAI: 3.85%Fair

The market strongly favors that Jesus Christ will not return before 2027.

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Polymarket $32.5M1d left

NOAI: 12.5%+2 pts

Low probability for US forces entering Iran by March 31, with market favoring a NO outcome

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Polymarket $30.9M

NOAI: 12.1%+3 pts

The market strongly favors that Trump will not acquire Greenland before 2027.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Polymarket $22.3M

NOAI: 22.5%+3 pts

The market indicates a low probability of the Iranian regime falling by June 30.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Polymarket $20.3M

NOAI: 19.5%+3 pts

The market strongly favors a NO on US confirmation of alien existence by 2027.

Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?

Polymarket $16.8M

NOAI: 15.6%+3.5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of Zoom being acquired before 2027.

Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?

Polymarket $16.8M

NOAI: 19.6%+5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of Snapchat being acquired before 2027.

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Polymarket $16.8M

NOAI: 36%+5 pts

Market indicates a low probability of PayPal being acquired before 2027.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket $16.5M

NOAI: 22.85%-1.5 pts

Gavin Newsom has a low probability of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

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How it works

The intelligence layer for prediction markets

We pull live markets from the world's biggest prediction platforms, score every one with our AI model, and surface where the crowd might be wrong.

01

Sync

Every 15 minutes we pull fresh prices, volume and liquidity from Polymarket and Manifold.

02

Score

Our model adjusts each market's probability using category bias, liquidity depth, and market clarity.

03

Analyse

GPT writes a short analysis for each market — but never invents the numbers. The model does that.

04

Surface

Markets with the most edge and confidence rise to the top. The interesting stuff finds you.

⚡ The Pulse Score — 4 metrics per market

AI Probability

Our adjusted YES estimate — not a raw market copy. Tuned for category bias and liquidity.

Edge Score

Gap between AI probability and market price. +10 = YES looks 10pts underpriced.

Confidence

How certain the model is. Driven by volume, liquidity, and how clearly the question is worded.

Reliability

How trustworthy this market is as a signal. Based on platform track record and depth.

Learn more about how it works →