Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

21%

chance

$15m Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

17%

chance

$6m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

51%

chance

$1m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 13

10%

January 16

27%

January 13

10%

January 16

27%

$10m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

32%

chance

$7m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

22%

Los Angeles R

21%

Seattle

22%

Los Angeles R

21%

$669m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

8%

May 14

12%

March 31

8%

May 14

12%

$165k Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

10%

chance

$5k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

39%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

33%

António José Seguro (IND)

39%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

33%

$98m Vol.

US strike on Mexico by...? card icon

US strike on Mexico by...?

January 31

6%

March 31

21%

January 31

6%

March 31

21%

$766k Vol.

ICE shooter charged by March 31? card icon

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

30%

chance

$229k Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

27%

chance

$2m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

42%

Kevin Hassett

41%

Kevin Warsh

42%

Kevin Hassett

41%

$170m Vol.

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? card icon

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

70%

chance

$276k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

99%

>$5m

98%

>$4m

99%

>$5m

98%

$4m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

$257m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

20%

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

20%

$181m Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

50%

María Corina Machado

20%

Delcy Rodríguez

50%

María Corina Machado

20%

$3m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

26%

chance

$2m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

45%

chance

$6m Vol.

Nets

100%

Grizzlies

0%

$4m Vol.

•NBA•Jan 11, 8:30 PM

English Premier League Winner card icon

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal

76%

Man City

20%

Arsenal

76%

Man City

20%

$165m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 6 - January 13, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 6 - January 13, 2026?

500-519

<1%

520-539

2%

500-519

<1%

520-539

2%

$10m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in January? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in January?

↑ 105,000

14%

↑ 100,000

35%

↑ 105,000

14%

↑ 100,000

35%

$23m Vol.

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