Book Recommendations 2020

So, I read 64 books in 2020, and of all the new-to-me books, I’d especially recommend two:

“Exhalation: Stories,” by Ted Chiang, is an anthology of philosophical science fiction. The most fantastic tale is a time-travel story set in medieval Baghdad, but most of the stories reflect on how technology mediates a person’s understanding of themselves, reflecting on memory, identity, family, determinism and choice. Like “Black Mirror” but not horrible?

Thousand-Year-Old Vampire,” by Tim Hutchings, is a book-length writing exercise or game that prompts you to write the necrography of a centuries-old undead monster struggling to hold on to ancient memories despite time’s ceaseless erosion. My first vampire was a Byzantine soldier from 10th-century Bithynia who fought the Bulgars with Basil II, wandered medieval Persia, tagged along with the Ottomans for the Siege of Vienna, and was finally burned at the stake in 18th-century Innsbruck. My second vampire was the daughter of a Sabine woman who lived among the Etruscans and Carthaginians for five centuries before her destruction in Sicily during the First Punic War.

2016 book recommendations

I managed to read more than 100 books in 2016, though about half of them were graphic novels, novellas, and other short books. Some of them were really great! The ones I’d most recommend are: “Stories of Your Life and Others,” by Ted Chiang. It’s a beautifully written philosophical science fiction anthology, less interested in exploring the impact of technology than using speculation to explore philosophical questions suspensefully. There’s a Babylonian story of the Tower of Babel, a story where angelic visitations are commonplace but people are still as puzzled as ever. The title story is better than “Arrival” IMO. Also “Chasing the Scream: The First and Last Days of the War on Drugs,” by Johann Hari.

Books: “Why Nations Fail”

Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson’s Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty is in many ways a liberal response to Jared Diamond’s biogeographical explanations for unequal economic development in Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies, but along the way they provide biting criticism of the Washington consensus and truisms of development policy. Contra the Washington Consensus, for example, they make the point that (despite the virtuous circle of inclusive political and economic institutions) economic growth should not be expected to lead to political liberalization, since inclusive political institutions are fundamental to economic development, not the consequence of it. Their book is heavily rooted in economics and political economy while remaining a very accessible read, although some of the importance of private property rights, free markets, technological innovation, and creative destruction may escape readers who do not have a solid foundation in economics. The book offers a broad historical overview of development in dozens of modern historical societies. Occasionally, Acemoglu and Robinson apply their theory to some prehistoric societies, where the results are overly speculative and unconvincing—Jared Diamond may be more convincing in the premodern era, whereas Acemoglu and Robinson shine when explaining contemporary inequality. This is a fine explanation of contemporary differences in economic circumstances, although at times it seems overly broad.

Central to our theory is the link between inclusive economic and political institutions and prosperity. Inclusive economic institutions that enforce property rights, create a level playing field, and encourage investments in new technologies and skills are more conducive to economic growth than extractive economic institutions that are structured to extract resources from the many by the few and that fail to protect property rights or provide incentives for economic activity. Inclusive economic institutions are in turn supported by, and support, inclusive political institutions, that is, those that distribute political power widely in a pluralistic manner and are able to achieve some amount of political centralization so as to establish law and order, the foundations of secure property rights, and an inclusive market economy. Similarly, extractive economic institutions are synergistically linked to extractive political institutions, which concentrate power in the hands of a few, who will then have incentives to maintain and develop extractive economic institutions for their benefit and use the resources they obtain to cement their hold on political power.

…Extractive institutions that have achieved at least a minimal degree of political centralization are often able to generate some amount of growth. What is crucial, however, is that growth under extractive institutions will not be sustained, for two key reasons. First, sustained economic growth requires innovation, and innovation cannot be decoupled from creative destruction, which replaces the old with the new in the economic realm and also destabilizes established power relations in politics. Because elites dominating extractive institutions fear creative destruction, they will resist it, and any growth that germinates under extractive institutions will ultimately be short lived. Second, the ability of those who dominate extractive institutions to benefit greatly at the expense of the rest of society implies that political power under extractive institutions is highly coveted, making many groups and individuals fight to obtain it. As a consequence, there will be powerful forces pushing societies under extractive institutions toward political stability.

The synergies between extractive economic and political institutions create a vicious circle, where extractive institutions, once in place, tend to persist. Similarly, there is a virtuous circle associated [with inclusive economic and political institutions].

These vicious circles motivate the iron law of oligarchy, and can be avoided when broad-based diverse coalitions come to power at critical junctures and enable new groups to prosper.

Why Nations Fail also skirts around a few issues. First, there appears to be a tradeoff with political centralization: too little and the state cannot provide basic safety or property rights; too much and it is easy for a narrow elite to seize the entire state. But it appears that a state can be both too centralized and too small: unable to secure the nation’s entire territory while at the same time being easy to monopolize.

Also, much of what extractive economic and political institutions do is labor exploitation. These institutions are constantly trying to erode the social position of labor, to make extraction easier and cheaper. In some cases, they are exploiting cheap labor to extract agricultural or mineral goods, but in other cases, they are simply expropriating resources from the population itself.

The most memorable moments of the book were the profiles of diverse individual states, and it is astonishing to see historical leaders as diverse as the Roman emperor Tiberius and England’s Queen Elizabeth punishing or executing people who dared to dream up a technological innovation, in the fear that it might put people out of work and thus cause social instability:

During the reign of the emperor Tiberius, a man invented unbreakable glass and went to the emperor anticipating that he would get a great reward. He demonstrated his invention, and Tiberius asked him if he had told anyone else about it. When the man replied no, Tiberius had the man dragged away and killed, ‘lest gold be reduced to the value of mud.’

[William] Lee became obsessed with making a machine that would free people from endless hand-knitting. …Finally, in 1589, his ‘stocking frame’ knitting machine was ready. He traveled to London with excitement to seek an interview with Elizabeth I to show her how useful the machine would be and to ask her for a patent that would stop other people from copying the design. …[the Queen’s Privy Council member Henry] Carey arranged for Queen Elizabeth to come see the machine, but her reaction was devastating. She refused to grant Lee a patent, instead observing, ‘Thou aimest high, Master Lee. Consider thou what the invention could do to my poor subjects. It would assuredly bring to them ruin by depriving them of employment, thus making them beggars.” …Elizabeth’s successor…James I also refused, on the same grounds as Elizabeth. Both feared that the mechanization of stocking production would be politically devastating. It would throw people out of work, create unemployment and political instability, and threaten royal power. The stocking frame was an innovation that promised huge productivity increases, but it also promised creative destruction.

A reading list of the Appendix N literature

At the back of the Advanced Dungeons & Dragons Dungeon Master’s Guide (first edition), Gary Gygax famously included Appendix N: a short list of suggested fantasy and science fiction books.

This list is not actually so short.

Gygax listed 21 specific novels, another 12 novel series (comprising about 55 books by 9 authors), and 9 individual authors listed without specific works cited. These works have had a rather varied publication history—the “Harold Shea” stories were issued in a single volume in 1989 (which is how I treat them here), while Robert E. Howard and H.P. Lovecraft published short fiction that has been widely anthologized in a variety of editions. Jack Vance’s Dyring Earth novels are probably best read today in the Tales of the Dying Earth omnibus. Other of these are desperately out of print, although some have come back into print in eBook editions (at writing time, Gardener Fox’s Kothar series has a Kindle anthology, but the Kyrick series does not). Others are currently available in different formats—the Harold Shea anthology has long been out of print, but is available as an audiobook from Audible.com, while public domain works are available on Project Gutenberg and Librivox. I have also generally excluded books in series that were published after about 1977 or 1978.

Novels specifically cited:

  • Three Hearts and Three Lions, by Poul Anderson
  • The High Crusade, by Poul Anderson
  • The Broken Sword, by Poul Anderson
  • The Face in the Frost, by John Bellairs
  • Lest Darkness Fall, by L. Sprague de Camp
  • The Fallible Fiend, by L. Sprague de Camp
  • Carnelian Cube, by L. Sprague de Camp & Fletcher Pratt
  • Hiero’s Journey, by Sterling Lanier
  • Creep, Shadow, Creep, by A. Merritt
  • The Moon Pool, by A. Merritt
  • Dwellers in the Mirage, by A. Merritt
  • Stormbringer, by Michael Moorcock
  • Stealer of Souls, by Michael Moorcock
  • Swords Against Darkness III, ed. by Andrew J. Offutt
  • Blue Star, et al., by Fletcher Pratt
  • Changeling Earth, et al., by Fred Saberhagen
  • The Shadow People, by Margaret St. Clair
  • Sign of the Labrys, by Margaret St. Clair
  • The Hobbit, by J.R.R. Tolkien
  • The Eyes of the Overworld, by Jack Vance
  • The Dying Earth, by Jack Vance
  • Jack of Shadows, by Roger Zelazny

Novel series:

  • At the Earth’s Core, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1914) (“Pellucidar” series #1)
  • Pellucidar, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1915) (“Pellucidar” series #2)
  • Tanar of Pellucidar, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1929) (“Pellucidar” series #3)
  • Tarzan at the Earth’s Core, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1929) (“Pellucidar” series #4)
  • Back to the Stone Age, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1937) (“Pellucidar” series #5)
  • Land of Terror, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1944) (“Pellucidar” series #6)
  • Savage Pellucidar, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1963) (“Pellucidar” series #7)
  • A Princess of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #1)
  • The Gods of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #2)
  • The Warlord of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #3)
  • Thuvia, Maid of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #4)
  • The Chessmen of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #5)
  • The Master Mind of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #6)
  • A Fighting Man of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #7)
  • Swords of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #8)
  • Synthetic Men of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #9)
  • Llana of Gathol, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #10)
  • John Carter of Mars, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (“Barsoom” series #11)
  • Pirates of Venus, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1934) (“Venus” series #1)
  • Lost on Venus, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1935) (“Venus” series #2)
  • Carson of Venus, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1939) (“Venus” series #3)
  • Escape on Venus, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1946) (“Venus” series #4)
  • The Wizard of Venus, by Edgar Rice Burroughs (1964) (“Venus” series #5)
  • The Warrior of World’s End, by Lin Carter (1974) (“World’s End” series #1)
  • The Enchantress of World’s End, by Lin Carter (1975) (“World’s End” series #2)
  • The Immortal of World’s End, by Lin Carter (1976) (“World’s End” series #3)
  • The Barbarian of World’s End, by Lin Carter (1977) (“World’s End” series #4)
  • The Pirate of World’s End, by Lin Carter (1978) (“World’s End” series #5)
  • Giant of World’s End, by Lin Carter (1969) (“World’s End” series #6)
  • The Complete Compleat Enchanter, by L. Sprague de Camp and Fletcher Pratt (1989) (“Harold Shea” series)
    The Maker of Universes_, Philip José Farmer (1965) (“World of Tiers” series #1)
  • The Gates of Creation, Philip José Farmer (1966) (“World of Tiers” series #2)
  • A Private Cosmos, Philip José Farmer (1968) (“World of Tiers” series #3)
  • Behind the Walls of Terra, Philip José Farmer (1970) (“World of Tiers” series #4)
  • The Lavalite World, Philip José Farmer (1977) (“World of Tiers” series #5)
  • Kothar—Barbarian Swordsman, by Gardner Fox (1969) (“Kothar” series #1)
  • Kothar of the Magic Sword!, by Gardner Fox (1969) (“Kothar” series #2)
  • Kothar and the Demon Queen, by Gardner Fox (1969) (“Kothar” series #3)
  • Kothar and the Conjurer’s Curse, by Gardner Fox (1970) (“Kothar” series #4)
  • Kothar and the Wizard Slayer, by Gardner Fox (1970) (“Kothar” series #5)
  • Kyrik: Warlock Warrior, by Gardner Fox (1975) (“Kyrik” series #1)
  • Kyrik Fights the Demon World, by Gardner Fox (1975) (“Kyrik” series #2)
  • Kyrik and the Wizard’s Sword, by Gardner Fox (1976) (“Kyrik” series #3)
  • Kyrik and the Lost Queen, by Gardner Fox (1976) (“Kyrik” series #4)
  • “Conan” series, by Robert E. Howard (17 original stories)
  • Swords and Deviltry, by Fritz Leiber (1970) (“Fafhrd & the Grey Mouser” series #1)
  • Swords Against Death, by Fritz Leiber (1970) (“Fafhrd & the Grey Mouser” series #2)
  • Swords in the Mist, by Fritz Leiber (1968) (“Fafhrd & the Grey Mouser” series #3)
  • Swords Against Wizardry, by Fritz Leiber (1968) (“Fafhrd & the Grey Mouser” series #4)
  • The Swords of Lankhmar, by Fritz Leiber (1968) (“Fafhrd & the Grey Mouser” series #5)
  • Swords and Ice Magic, by Fritz Leiber (1977) (“Fafhrd & the Grey Mouser” series #6)
  • The Jewel in the Skull, by Michael Moorcock (Hawkmoon/”History of the Runestaff” series #1)
  • The Mad God’s Amulet, by Michael Moorcock (Hawkmoon/”History of the Runestaff” series #2)
  • The Sword of the Dawn, by Michael Moorcock (Hawkmoon/”History of the Runestaff” series #3)
  • The Runestaff, by Michael Moorcock (Hawkmoon/”History of the Runestaff” series #4)
  • The Fellowship of the Ring, by J.R.R. Tolkien (“Lord of the Rings” trilogy #1)
  • The Two Towers, by J.R.R. Tolkien (“Lord of the Rings” trilogy #2)
  • The Return of the King, by J.R.R. Tolkien (“Lord of the Rings” trilogy #3)
  • Nine Princes in Amber, by Roger Zelazny (1970) (“Amber” series #1)
  • The Guns of Avalon, by Roger Zelazny (1972) (“Amber” series #2)
  • Sign of the Unicorn, by Roger Zelazny (1975) (“Amber” series #3)
  • The Hand of Oberon, by Roger Zelazny (1976) (“Amber” series #4)
  • The Courts of Chaos, by Roger Zelazny (1978) (“Amber” series #5)

Individual authors:

  • Leigh Brackett
  • Frederic Brown
  • August Derleth
  • Lord Dunsany
  • H.P. Lovecraft
  • Andre Norton
  • Stanley Weinbaum
  • Manly Wade Wellman
  • Jack Williamson

It’s hard to narrow down the last category: Stanley Weinbaum wrote for only about 18 months before his death, and his work fits in an anthology or two. Jack Williamson, on the other hand, wrote dozens of books, mostly science fiction, and Leigh Brackett is better known for planetary romance than fantasy per se.

Some of the fantasy I’ve read, and would recommend, of these individual authors includes:

  • Who Fears the Devil?, by Manly Wade Wellman
  • Darker Than You Think, by Jack Williamson
  • The Gods of Pegana, by Lord Dunsany
  • Time and the Gods, by Lord Dunsany
  • “The Doom that Cane to Sarnath”, “The Terrible Old Man”, “Celephaïs”, “The Cats of Ulthar”, “The Rats in the Walls”, “The Call of Cthulhu”, “The Colour Out of Space”, “The Dunwich Horror”, “The Nameless City”, “The Thing on the Doorstep”, “The Haunter of the Dark”, “History of the Necronomicon”, by H.P. Lovecraft
  • The Dream-Quest of Unknown Kadath, by H.P. Lovecraft
  • At the Mountains of Madness, by H.P. Lovecraft
  • The Shadow Over Innsmouth, by H.P. Lovecraft

In any case, that’s approaching 100 books—quite a reading list!

Mac text-to-speech for articles and audiobooks

At the command line, you can make your Mac speak with say. say can use different voices, read from a text file, and export the text-to-speech to an audio file.

say -v Fiona -f article.txt -o recording.aiff

In System Preferences > Dictation & Speech, you can [http://osxdaily.com/2012/06/04/add-voice-of-siri-to-mac-os-x/](add the voice of Siri), which is Samantha. Some of the voices, like Allison and Susan, sound even better than Samantha. Most of the non-American voices aren’t quite as good, but it can be interesting to have a different English accent, like Fiona’s Standard Scottish English. Cellos is, ironically, the voice in some Android phone commercials.

say -v Cellos "Droid"

On “Average Is Over”

I’ve long been a fan of Marginal Revolution, Tyler Cowan’s economics blog, although I’ve read it less diligently since the recent financial crisis has eased. Unfortunately, though, I found Cowan’s book “Average Is Over” to be disappointing. Partly, it’s too long. Partly, it’s unhelpful. But mostly it’s just too conjectural and ungrounded to be convincing prediction.

The book presents a wonderfully dismal account of the future, with the rewards of economic growth in the stagnating economy. Frequently, the book seems like a meditation on the state of computation in competitive chess, using contemporary chess as a metaphor for economic trends. Cowan marvels at the accomplishments of computer chess programs, and projects AI success at playing games to human interactions: reading such subconscious metabolic clues as skin temperature to better discern lying or romantic interest than can the misguided intuitions of humans. He imagines, for example, an AI that can prod a man to kiss his date an hour before he might based on his intuition alone.

Of course, chess classically zero-sum) is a very different kind of game than dating and other human relationships, which surely should be positive-sum. Making the right moves in chess should lead to winning, but putting the moves on a girl is only winning if both people are. An adult who is dating and trying to “score” is probably doing it wrong. If strong AI allows us to more easily manipulate each other into extracting short-term need fulfillment rather than building relationships that are rewarding in the long term, that would be an enormous failure of the technology for overall human welfare.

More critically, while anyone can tell you that you should do something, nobody can make it something that is, for you. Trusting people and loving people is not something that people rationally undertake to maximize their self-interest, but something that they feel. A computer, like a person, can offer insight into whether a person is lying or aroused, but it makes as little sense to take the advice of an AI as a person that you should trust someone or you should love someone.

Choosing a good partner is probably the area where it is most important to base decisions upon our feelings and impulses. Cowan supports his argument by citing evidence dating sites, where peoples’ stated preferences (say, a man between 21 and 26 years old) is slightly at odds with their eventual choices (a man 28 years old). But it doesn’t take an AI of superhuman intelligence to realize that people are often overselective on paper about potential mates: a merely human intelligence can see that, and it would be a fairly stupid matchmaker to take such criteria at face value. Of course, most AI is pretty stupid.

The flaws of this attitude can be summed up in the lead to chapter 6: “Love and romance is one area where human intuition is highly imperfect and sometimes even dangerous. Apart from extreme crimes of passion, we take a lot of wrong turns in our pursuit of a good partner, thanks to following our feelings and impulses.”

With love, our feelings are not just our means; they are our ends.

This isn’t necessarily a fatal problem with Cowan’s book, he’s much stronger talking about problems more analogous to chess, like GPS tracking. But the book is almost entirely conjectural, a litany of seemingly unsubstantiated “wills” and “mights”; Cowan has an appendix (rather than proper footnotes) giving a mix of newspaper articles, blog posts, and academic articles to support his arguments. But once you hit some argument that seem less plausible, the plausibility of the book as a whole seems less grounded. Cowan discounts the idea of a Technological Singularity (rightly I think), but mostly on the grounds of what he intuitively finds implausible. It seems that the author’s intuition is the main basis for most of his projections, which must surely be problematic for a book predicated on the fallibility of intuition.

What is a “book”?

Back at the end of 2010, I started keeping a log of all the books I read over the course of the year. At the time, I was mostly reading used hardcovers bought cheaply from Amazon (at least partly to upgrade my library of aging and yellowing paperbacks), and listening to free LibriVox audiobooks on the iPod. Hardcovers and audiobooks are pretty clearly books, and hardcovers have the advantage of being easily shared with other people in the house.

2013 was the year that I finally started reading on an iPad. It’s been great, so much more convenient in so many ways. Reading books on a notebook computer is difficult, because it’s too easy to get distracted by the immense-but-ephemeral literature of the Web, while the opposite seems to be true on a tablet computer.

Yet the iPad can display many kinds of books, and specific book niches have different ecosystems. EPUB3, Amazon Kindle, and Apple iBooks are the most well-known ebook formats, but digital editions of art- and chart-heavy RPG and game rulebooks are more frequently distributed as PDFs at Paizo or DriveThruRPG. If a book is a book, and an audiobook of a book is a book, and an ebook of a book is a book, and a PDF of a book is a book, are not most sustained texts in these formats “books”? This is a much fuzzier definition of “book”. Say, is a series of instructional blog posts on a sustained topic, redistributed as a 50-page PDF, a book? I guess so.

This fuzziness troubled my attempts to recommend a favorite book from 2013, as I did for 2011 and 2012, because one of the candidates is Mike Duncan’s podcast The History of Rome. A podcast?

Podcasts with a group of hosts, like Conlangery, resemble radio shows more than books. But The History of Rome had the single author reading a prepared script, like a serialized book in audiobook form. And it was certainly a sustained work, unfolding over five years, a 675,000-word script, and 74 hours. For comparison, Edward Gibbon’s Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire becomes a 120-hour audiobook.

I expect “books” will get weirder before the end.

“Capital in the 21st Century”

I haven’t read much of Capital in the 21st Century except this short guide and this review. But I think it may be positive than an AEI economist would liken it to Tyler Cowan’s analysis of the aftermath of the “Great Stagnation”.

Here’s Milanovic’s summary of an important argument from the book:

Using very effectively literary examples from Jane Austen and Honoré de Balzac, Piketty shows that in capital-rich societies with high returns on capital as was Europe then, it often made no sense to work but to concentrate rather on finding a rich spouse or otherwise inheriting property . The trade-off between a brilliant career, based on study and work, and a much more lavish life style that could be afforded if one married a heiress is presented with unmatched clarity and brutality to the young Rastignac by the world-savvy Vautrin in Balzac’s Le père Goriot. This trade-off, called the Rastignac dilemma by Piketty (does it pay to work hard when one can inherit much more by marrying well?) , is all well known to the readers of English and French literatures of the 19th century. So obvious was the answer that the Rastignac dilemma is not even posed in most cases. No reader of Jane Austen is left in doubt that education is a pleasant activity mostly useful to enhance marriage prospects of young ladies and gentlemen (we are far from human capital here!), work is never to be undertaken (unless characters really get into serious trouble), and everybody’s social position is measured by the annual rent he (mostly he) commands.

This certainly reminds me of the growing attack on the humanities as fields of study, an attack that casts the humanities as a useless luxury for the unemployable. Or also, of the gig economy Sarah Kessler describes in Pixel & Dimed, in which such work is in fact costly, draining, scarce, while paying well below minimum wage: perhaps epitomized in the name of Amazon’s Mechanical Turk. The most amusing such freelance job I saw advertised recently was writing online dating profiles for sex workers.

The economy of the 21st century can’t be like the economy of the 19th century, of course, but the nature of the information economy don’t necessarily point to it being more egalitarian. If the railroad barons of the 21st century are racing to capture attention rather than transportation infrastructure, they’re still operating in an environment where network effects, as much as capital intensity, drive corporations to natural monopoly positions.

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