2022 IEEE International Symposium on Technologies for Homeland Security (HST)
Guidelines, directives, and policy statements are usually presented in "linear" text form-word af... more Guidelines, directives, and policy statements are usually presented in "linear" text form-word after word, page after page. However necessary, this practice impedes full understanding, obscures feedback dynamics, hides mutual dependencies and cascading effects and the like-even when augmented with tables and diagrams. The net result is often a checklist response as an end in itself. All this creates barriers to intended realization of guidelines and undermines potential effectiveness. We present a solution strategy using text as "data", transforming text into a structured model, and generate network views of the text(s), that we then can use for vulnerability mapping, risk assessments, and control point analysis. For proof of concept, we draw on NIST conceptual model and analysis of guidelines for smart grid cybersecurity, more than 600 pages of text.
The interaction between population and politics is seldom acknowledged and impossible to define a... more The interaction between population and politics is seldom acknowledged and impossible to define accurately but the increasing politicization of demographic issues makes necessary an analysis of the relationship between them. Population variables become politically destabilizing influences only be exacerbating prevailing stresses (multiplier effect) and affecting resources available. Choices of policy interventions are made on the basis of political not demographic criteria. Studies in political demography are few but empirical evidence shows some of the political implications of such demographic factors as the pressure of added numbers rapid entry of numbers into the labor force high proportion of youth in the society population density rapid urbanization and others. The politicization of population issues surfaced at the World Population Conference in Bucharest 1974 where pro- and antiintervention views were clearly informed less by demographic trends than by political objectives a...
In Chapter 2, we reviewed the design and implementation of GSSD, a knowledge e-networking system ... more In Chapter 2, we reviewed the design and implementation of GSSD, a knowledge e-networking system focusing on transitions toward sustainable development. Central to this effort are defining the knowledge-objectives, delineating the logic for knowledge e-networking, identifying critical ebarriers and designing solution strategies to help reduce structural impediments to knowledge access.
The potential loss of state stability in various parts of the world is a source of threat to U.S.... more The potential loss of state stability in various parts of the world is a source of threat to U.S. national security. Every case is unique, but there are common processes. Accordingly, we develop a system dynamics model of state stability by representing the nature and dynamics of 'loads' generated by insurgency activities, on the one hand, and by articulating the core features of state resilience and its 'capacity' to withstand these 'loads', on the other. The problem is to determine and 'predict' when threats to stability override the resilience of the state and, more important, to anticipate propensities for 'tipping points', namely conditions under which small changes in anti-regime activity can generate major disruptions. On this basis, we then identify appropriate actionable mitigation factors to decrease the likelihood of 'tipping' and enhance prospects for stability.
The National Research Council has noted that "[A]lthough there are many private and public databa... more The National Research Council has noted that "[A]lthough there are many private and public databases that contain information potentially relevant to counterterrorism programs, they lack the necessary context definitions (i.e., metadata) and access tools to enable interoperation with other databases and the extraction of meaningful and timely information." In this paper we present examples of these problems and a technology developed at MIT, called context mediation, which provides a novel approach for addressing these problems. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION…………………………..….… 1 2. THE CHALLENGES OF CONTEXT IN THE TERRORISM DOMAIN…………………….....… 2 3. CHALLENGES FOR INTEGRATING INFORMATION WITH MULTIPLE CONTEXT: A DETAILEDEXAMPLE……………………….. 3 4. A BETTER WAY: THE CONTEXT INTERCHANGE APPROACH……………..…... 6 5. STATUS OF PROJECT AND ONGOING RESEARCH…………………………….…...…… 7 6. CONCLUSIONS……………………….…….…..
In its Preface, The 9/11 Commission Report states: "We learned that the institutions charted with... more In its Preface, The 9/11 Commission Report states: "We learned that the institutions charted with protecting …national security did not understand how grave this threat can be, and did not adjust their policies, plans, and practices to deter or defeat it" (2004: xvi). Given current realities and uncertainties "better preparedness" can be achieved by identifying, controlling and managing the elusive linkages and situational factors that impact state stability and fuel state decay and destruction-and hence create new threats to the nation's security. We propose to focus on the use of system dynamics modeling techniques to help understand, measure and model the complex dynamics shaping state stability, initially for two regions. We will specifically consider the impacts of unanticipated disruptions, such as a tsunami and its aftermath, on the dynamics of the two regions. For each region, we will deliver a detailed country model, including 3-5 futures predictions in the 6-12 month range along with an analysis of conditions and casual links between predicted futures plus corresponding mitigated options.
With the increasing interconnection of computer networks and sophistication of cyber attacks, it ... more With the increasing interconnection of computer networks and sophistication of cyber attacks, it is important to understand the dynamics of such situations, especially in regards to cyber international relations. The Explorations in Cyber International Relations (ECIR) Data Dashboard Project is an initiative to gather worldwide cybersecurity data publicly provided by nation-level Computer Emergency Response Teams (CERTs) and to provide a set of tools to analyze the cybersecurity data. The unique contributions of this paper are: (1) an evaluation of the current state of the diverse nation-level CERT cybersecurity data sources, (2) a description of the Data Dashboard tool developed and some interesting analyses from using our tool, and (3) a summary of some challenges with the CERT data availability and usability uncovered in our research.
A recent National Research Council study found that: "Although there are many private and public ... more A recent National Research Council study found that: "Although there are many private and public databases that contain information potentially relevant to counter terrorism programs, they lack the necessary context definitions (i.e., metadata) and access tools to enable interoperation with other databases and the extraction of meaningful and timely information" [NRC02, p.304, emphasis added] That sentence succinctly describes the objectives of this project. Improved access and use of information are essential to better identify and anticipate threats, protect against and respond to threats, and enhance national and homeland security (NHS), as well as other national priority areas, such as Economic Prosperity and a Vibrant Civil Society (ECS) and Advances in Science and Engineering (ASE). This project focuses on the creation and contributions of a Laboratory for Information Globalization and Harmonization Technologies (LIGHT) with two interrelated goals: (1) Theory and Technologies: To research, design, develop, test, and implement theory and technologies for improving the reliability, quality, and responsiveness of automated mechanisms for reasoning and resolving semantic differences that hinder the rapid and effective integration (int) of systems and data (dmc) across multiple autonomous sources, and the use of that information by public and private agencies involved in national and homeland security and the other national priority areas involving complex and interdependent social systems (soc). This work builds on our research on the COntext INterchange (COIN) project, which focused on the integration of diverse distributed heterogeneous information sources using ontologies, databases, context mediation algorithms, and wrapper technologies to overcome information representational conflicts. The COIN approach makes it substantially easier and more transparent for individual receivers (e.g., applications, users) to access and exploit distributed sources. Receivers specify their desired context to reduce ambiguities in the interpretation of information coming from heterogeneous sources. This approach significantly reduces the overhead involved in the integration of multiple sources, improves data quality, increases the speed of integration, and simplifies maintenance in an environment of changing source and receiver context-which will lead to an effective and novel distributed information grid infrastructure. This research also builds on our Global System for Sustainable Development (GSSD), an Internet platform for information generation, provision, and integration of multiple domains, regions, languages, and epistemologies relevant to international relations and national security. (2) National Priority Studies: To experiment with and test the developed theory and technologies on practical problems of data integration in national priority areas. Particular focus will be on national and homeland security, including data sources about conflict and war, modes of instability and threat, international and regional demographic, economic, and military statistics, money flows, and contextualizing terrorism defense and response. Although LIGHT will leverage the results of our successful prior research projects, this will be the first research effort to simultaneously and effectively address ontological and temporal information conflicts as well as dramatically enhance information quality. Addressing problems of national priorities in such rapidly changing complex environments requires extraction of observations from disparate sources, using different interpretations, at different points in times, for different purposes, with different biases, and for a wide range of different uses and users. This research will focus on integrating information both over individual domains and across multiple domains. Another innovation is the concept and implementation of Collaborative Domain Spaces (CDS), within which applications in a common domain can share, analyze, modify, and develop information. Applications also can span multiple domains via Linked CDSs. The PIs have considerable experience with these research areas and the organization and management of such large scale international and diverse research projects. The PIs come from three different Schools at MIT: Management, Engineering, and Humanities, Arts & Social Sciences. The faculty and graduate students come from about a dozen nationalities and diverse ethnic, racial, and religious backgrounds. The currently identified external collaborators come from over 20 different organizations and many different countries, industrial as well as developing. Specific efforts are proposed to engage even more women, underrepresented minorities, and persons with disabilities. The anticipated results apply to any complex domain that relies on heterogeneous distributed data to address and resolve compelling problems. This initiative is supported by international collaborators from (a) scientific and research institutions, (b) business and industry, and (c) national and international agencies. Research products include: a System for Harmonized Information Processing (SHIP), a software platform, and diverse applications in research and education which are anticipated to significantly impact the way complex organizations, and society in general, understand and manage critical challenges in NHS, ECS, and ASE. space, audiovisual equipment, networking, refreshments, and appropriate office supplies. These meetings and workshops will be web cast to reach the largest possible audience and minimize travel expenses. Summary of Planned Meetings Collaborators' Meetings Quarterly Up to 12 participants Steering Committee Meetings Twice per year Up to 10 participants Workshops Once per year Up to 30 participants Symposia One in year 2 and one in year 4 Up to 100 participants Leveraging of these budgeted resources The requested budget resources will be significantly leveraged in several ways: (1) much of the critical initial basic research, especially for the COIN and GSSD platforms, have been previously funded from NSF, DARPA, and industry sources, (2) the LIGHT collaborators are committing significant internal resources that will greatly assist this effort as well to facilitate the dissemination of results and impact of this research, (3) relevant and unique resources at MIT, such as MIT's OpenCourseWare and LINC technologies and distribution resources, will be utilized; as well as (4) recent experience and ongoing participation in national and international policy-related exercises-such as the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) Committee initiative on Terrorism, DARPA-National Academy of Sciences Committee on Understanding Terrorism in order to Deter Terrorism, and the United Nations-Information and Communication Taskforce (UN-ICT) background work in preparations for World Summit on Information Technology (WSIS). Note: An overhead rate of 60% is applied to all direct costs except major equipment and tuition.
Although there are many technology challenges and approaches to attaining cybersecurity, human ac... more Although there are many technology challenges and approaches to attaining cybersecurity, human actions (or inactions) also often pose large risks. There are many reasons, but one problem is whether we all "see the world" the same way. That is, what does "cybersecurity" actually meanas well as the many related concepts, such as "cyberthreat," "cybercrime," etc. Although dictionaries, glossaries, and other sources tell you what words/phrases are supposed to mean (somewhat complicated by the fact that they often contradict each other), they do not tell you how people are actually using them. If we are to have an effective solution, it is important that all the parties understand each otheror, at least, understand that there are different perspectives. For the purpose of this paper and to demonstrate our methodology, we consider the case of the words, "cyberspace" and "cyber space." When we started, we assumed that "cyberspace" and "cyber space" were essentially the same word with just a minor variation in punctuation (i.e., the space, or lack thereof, between "cyber" and "space") and that the choice of the punctuation was a rather random occurrence. With that assumption in mind, we would expect that the usage of these words (as determined by the taxonomies that would be constructed by our algorithms) would be basically the same. As it turned out, they were quite different, both in overall shape and groupings within the taxonomy. Since the overall field of cybersecurity is so new, understanding the field and how people think about it (as evidenced by their actual usage of terminology, and how usage changes over time) is an important goal. Our approach helps to illuminate these understandings.
The convergence of three distinct but interconnected trendsunrelenting globalization, growing wor... more The convergence of three distinct but interconnected trendsunrelenting globalization, growing worldwide electronic connectivity, and increasing knowledge intensity of economic activityis creating powerful new opportunities and challenges for global politics. This rapidly changing environment has information demands that surpass existing capabilities for information access, interpretation, and overall use, thus hindering our abilities to address emergent and complex global challenges, such as terrorism and other security threats. This reality has serious implications for two diverse domains of scholarship: international relations (IR) in political science and information technology (IT). Unless IT advances remain 'one step ahead' of emergent realities and complexities, strategies for better understanding and responding to critical global challenges will be severely impeded. For example, more so now than ever, the U.S. Office of Counter-Terrorism and the newly-created Office of Homeland Security rely on intelligence information from all over the world to develop strategic responses to security threats. However, relevant information is stored in various regions throughout the world and by diverse agencies in different media, formats, and contexts. Intelligent integration of information is fundamental to developing policies to anticipate and strengthen protection against terrorist threats or attacks in the United States. This Project's activities, and relationships with its collaborators, will be coordinated through a newly formed joint Laboratory for Information Globalization and Harmonization Technologies (LIGHT). LIGHT will address information needs in the IR domain, focusing on the conflict realm, which deals with emergent risks, threats, and uncertainties of potentially global scale and scope related to: (a) crises, (b) conflicts and war; and (c) anticipation, monitoring and early warning. The goals of this initiative are to: (1) improve understanding of the types of IR information needs for decision making and institutional performance under varying degrees of risk and uncertainty; (2) design and implement the System for Harmonized Information Processing, to facilitate access to and correct interpretation of essential information that is critical to policy and research in the IR realm, as well as to other similarly complex domains, and (3) advance developments in the use of information technologies to facilitate such interdisciplinary research and to contribute to new education approaches, tools, and methods. Increasingly, addressing problems central to national and global interests in complex domains such as IR requires the use of technologies that easily combine observations from disparate sources, using different interpretations, for different purposes, and by a wide range of users. Critical advances in IT capabilities must span multiple domains (e.g., economic, political, geographic, commercial, and demographic), diverse contexts (i.e., meanings, languages, assumptions), and a multiplicity of contending agents (i.e., states, governments, corporations, international institutions). The technology-related research will focus on acquiring and enhancing information to serve user requirements both over individual
With the increasing interconnection of computer networks and sophistication of cyber attacks, it ... more With the increasing interconnection of computer networks and sophistication of cyber attacks, it is important to understand the dynamics of such situations, especially in regards to cyber international relations. The Explorations in Cyber International Relations (ECIR) Data Dashboard Project is an initiative to gather worldwide cybersecurity data publicly provided by nation-level Computer Emergency Response Teams (CERTs) and to provide a set of tools to analyze the cybersecurity data. The unique contributions of this paper are: (1) an evaluation of the current state of the diverse nation-level CERT cybersecurity data sources, (2) a description of the Data Dashboard tool developed and some interesting analyses from using our tool, and (3) a summary of some challenges with the CERT data availability and usability uncovered in our research.
Information Technology for Development, Oct 1, 2005
With the rapid diffusion of the Internet worldwide, there has been considerable interest in the e... more With the rapid diffusion of the Internet worldwide, there has been considerable interest in the e-potentials of developing countries giving rise to a first generation of e-readiness studies. Moreover, e-readiness means different things to different people, in different contexts, and for different purposes. Despite strong merits, this first generation of e-readiness studies assumed a fixed, one-size-fits-all set of requirements, regardless of the characteristics of individual countries, the investment context, or Sherif Kamel was the accepting Associate Editor for this paper.
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is an oil-rich country located in the eastern part of the Arabian ... more The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is an oil-rich country located in the eastern part of the Arabian Peninsula. Abu Dhabi is the largest emirate in the country, and Abu Dhabi is the capital of the UAE. The country has the one of the highest per capita rates of CO 2 emission and water consumption in the world. Most of the water consumed is produced in desalination plants, which are energy intensive. The leadership of the country has made the bold decision to establish a renewable energy (RE) sector to diversify its energy sources and the economy as a whole. The Masdar Initiative was established to promote this objective. The government has established its first RE policy; the goal is to have 7% of power come from RE sources and technologies by 2020. This paper highlights the different RE projects of the Masdar Initiative, with particular emphasis on the power sector, and examines the new concentrated solar power (CSP) plants developed as part of the initiative.
In this chapter, the political system and prevalent rentier economy of the Gulf Cooperation Counc... more In this chapter, the political system and prevalent rentier economy of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states will be analyzed in order to assess those states' transition to a sustainable energy future. There are two important pillars, namely demand and supply, for a sustainable energy transition to take place in the GCC. First, cheap utility prices (water, oil, and electricity) have been a part of "rentier agreement" between the ruler and the citizens. This has partially led to excessive demand and waste of energy in those states. We analyze recent trends of change in utility prices and dynamics of energy consumption in these states. Second, sustainable energy transition needs the introduction of sustainable energy production forms. This will require a change in decade-old energy infrastructure of the GCC states which could be very challenging due to idiosyncratic economic, industrial, and political structures of these states. The chapter follows with the prevailing political and economic system of the GCC states. Energy consumption dynamics and recent change in utility prices are analyzed in the second section. Development of sustainable energy forms in the GCC is discussed in the third section, which is followed by a conclusion.
The convergence of three distinct but interconnected trends-unrelenting globalization, growing wo... more The convergence of three distinct but interconnected trends-unrelenting globalization, growing worldwide electronic connectivity, and increasing knowledge intensity of economic activity-is creating powerful new opportunities and challenges for global politics. This rapidly changing environment has information demands that surpass existing capabilities for information access, interpretation, and overall use, thus hindering our abilities to address emergent and complex global challenges, such as terrorism and other security threats. This reality has serious implications for two diverse domains of scholarship: international relations (IR) in political science and information technology (IT). Unless IT advances remain 'one step ahead' of emergent realities and complexities, strategies for better understanding and responding to critical global challenges will be severely impeded. For example, more so now than ever, the U.S. Office of Counter-Terrorism and the newly-created Office of Homeland Security rely on intelligence information from all over the world to develop strategic responses to security threats. However, relevant information is stored in various regions throughout the world and by diverse agencies in different media, formats, and contexts. Intelligent integration of information is fundamental to developing policies to anticipate and strengthen protection against terrorist threats or attacks in the United States. This Project's activities, and relationships with its collaborators, will be coordinated through a newly formed joint Laboratory for Information Globalization and Harmonization Technologies (LIGHT). LIGHT will address information needs in the IR domain, focusing on the conflict realm, which deals with emergent risks, threats, and uncertainties of potentially global scale and scope related to: (a) crises, (b) conflicts and war; and (c) anticipation, monitoring and early warning. The goals of this initiative are to: (1) improve understanding of the types of IR information needs for decision making and institutional performance under varying degrees of risk and uncertainty; (2) design and implement the System for Harmonized Information Processing, to facilitate access to and correct interpretation of essential information that is critical to policy and research in the IR realm, as well as to other similarly complex domains, and (3) advance developments in the use of information technologies to facilitate such interdisciplinary research and to contribute to new education approaches, tools, and methods. Increasingly, addressing problems central to national and global interests in complex domains such as IR requires the use of technologies that easily combine observations from disparate sources, using different interpretations, for different purposes, and by a wide range of users. Critical advances in IT capabilities must span multiple domains (e.g., economic, political, geographic, commercial, and demographic), diverse contexts (i.e., meanings, languages, assumptions), and a multiplicity of contending agents (i.e., states, governments, corporations, international institutions). The technology-related research will focus on acquiring and enhancing information to serve user requirements both over individual
2022 IEEE International Symposium on Technologies for Homeland Security (HST)
Guidelines, directives, and policy statements are usually presented in "linear" text form-word af... more Guidelines, directives, and policy statements are usually presented in "linear" text form-word after word, page after page. However necessary, this practice impedes full understanding, obscures feedback dynamics, hides mutual dependencies and cascading effects and the like-even when augmented with tables and diagrams. The net result is often a checklist response as an end in itself. All this creates barriers to intended realization of guidelines and undermines potential effectiveness. We present a solution strategy using text as "data", transforming text into a structured model, and generate network views of the text(s), that we then can use for vulnerability mapping, risk assessments, and control point analysis. For proof of concept, we draw on NIST conceptual model and analysis of guidelines for smart grid cybersecurity, more than 600 pages of text.
The interaction between population and politics is seldom acknowledged and impossible to define a... more The interaction between population and politics is seldom acknowledged and impossible to define accurately but the increasing politicization of demographic issues makes necessary an analysis of the relationship between them. Population variables become politically destabilizing influences only be exacerbating prevailing stresses (multiplier effect) and affecting resources available. Choices of policy interventions are made on the basis of political not demographic criteria. Studies in political demography are few but empirical evidence shows some of the political implications of such demographic factors as the pressure of added numbers rapid entry of numbers into the labor force high proportion of youth in the society population density rapid urbanization and others. The politicization of population issues surfaced at the World Population Conference in Bucharest 1974 where pro- and antiintervention views were clearly informed less by demographic trends than by political objectives a...
In Chapter 2, we reviewed the design and implementation of GSSD, a knowledge e-networking system ... more In Chapter 2, we reviewed the design and implementation of GSSD, a knowledge e-networking system focusing on transitions toward sustainable development. Central to this effort are defining the knowledge-objectives, delineating the logic for knowledge e-networking, identifying critical ebarriers and designing solution strategies to help reduce structural impediments to knowledge access.
The potential loss of state stability in various parts of the world is a source of threat to U.S.... more The potential loss of state stability in various parts of the world is a source of threat to U.S. national security. Every case is unique, but there are common processes. Accordingly, we develop a system dynamics model of state stability by representing the nature and dynamics of 'loads' generated by insurgency activities, on the one hand, and by articulating the core features of state resilience and its 'capacity' to withstand these 'loads', on the other. The problem is to determine and 'predict' when threats to stability override the resilience of the state and, more important, to anticipate propensities for 'tipping points', namely conditions under which small changes in anti-regime activity can generate major disruptions. On this basis, we then identify appropriate actionable mitigation factors to decrease the likelihood of 'tipping' and enhance prospects for stability.
The National Research Council has noted that "[A]lthough there are many private and public databa... more The National Research Council has noted that "[A]lthough there are many private and public databases that contain information potentially relevant to counterterrorism programs, they lack the necessary context definitions (i.e., metadata) and access tools to enable interoperation with other databases and the extraction of meaningful and timely information." In this paper we present examples of these problems and a technology developed at MIT, called context mediation, which provides a novel approach for addressing these problems. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION…………………………..….… 1 2. THE CHALLENGES OF CONTEXT IN THE TERRORISM DOMAIN…………………….....… 2 3. CHALLENGES FOR INTEGRATING INFORMATION WITH MULTIPLE CONTEXT: A DETAILEDEXAMPLE……………………….. 3 4. A BETTER WAY: THE CONTEXT INTERCHANGE APPROACH……………..…... 6 5. STATUS OF PROJECT AND ONGOING RESEARCH…………………………….…...…… 7 6. CONCLUSIONS……………………….…….…..
In its Preface, The 9/11 Commission Report states: "We learned that the institutions charted with... more In its Preface, The 9/11 Commission Report states: "We learned that the institutions charted with protecting …national security did not understand how grave this threat can be, and did not adjust their policies, plans, and practices to deter or defeat it" (2004: xvi). Given current realities and uncertainties "better preparedness" can be achieved by identifying, controlling and managing the elusive linkages and situational factors that impact state stability and fuel state decay and destruction-and hence create new threats to the nation's security. We propose to focus on the use of system dynamics modeling techniques to help understand, measure and model the complex dynamics shaping state stability, initially for two regions. We will specifically consider the impacts of unanticipated disruptions, such as a tsunami and its aftermath, on the dynamics of the two regions. For each region, we will deliver a detailed country model, including 3-5 futures predictions in the 6-12 month range along with an analysis of conditions and casual links between predicted futures plus corresponding mitigated options.
With the increasing interconnection of computer networks and sophistication of cyber attacks, it ... more With the increasing interconnection of computer networks and sophistication of cyber attacks, it is important to understand the dynamics of such situations, especially in regards to cyber international relations. The Explorations in Cyber International Relations (ECIR) Data Dashboard Project is an initiative to gather worldwide cybersecurity data publicly provided by nation-level Computer Emergency Response Teams (CERTs) and to provide a set of tools to analyze the cybersecurity data. The unique contributions of this paper are: (1) an evaluation of the current state of the diverse nation-level CERT cybersecurity data sources, (2) a description of the Data Dashboard tool developed and some interesting analyses from using our tool, and (3) a summary of some challenges with the CERT data availability and usability uncovered in our research.
A recent National Research Council study found that: "Although there are many private and public ... more A recent National Research Council study found that: "Although there are many private and public databases that contain information potentially relevant to counter terrorism programs, they lack the necessary context definitions (i.e., metadata) and access tools to enable interoperation with other databases and the extraction of meaningful and timely information" [NRC02, p.304, emphasis added] That sentence succinctly describes the objectives of this project. Improved access and use of information are essential to better identify and anticipate threats, protect against and respond to threats, and enhance national and homeland security (NHS), as well as other national priority areas, such as Economic Prosperity and a Vibrant Civil Society (ECS) and Advances in Science and Engineering (ASE). This project focuses on the creation and contributions of a Laboratory for Information Globalization and Harmonization Technologies (LIGHT) with two interrelated goals: (1) Theory and Technologies: To research, design, develop, test, and implement theory and technologies for improving the reliability, quality, and responsiveness of automated mechanisms for reasoning and resolving semantic differences that hinder the rapid and effective integration (int) of systems and data (dmc) across multiple autonomous sources, and the use of that information by public and private agencies involved in national and homeland security and the other national priority areas involving complex and interdependent social systems (soc). This work builds on our research on the COntext INterchange (COIN) project, which focused on the integration of diverse distributed heterogeneous information sources using ontologies, databases, context mediation algorithms, and wrapper technologies to overcome information representational conflicts. The COIN approach makes it substantially easier and more transparent for individual receivers (e.g., applications, users) to access and exploit distributed sources. Receivers specify their desired context to reduce ambiguities in the interpretation of information coming from heterogeneous sources. This approach significantly reduces the overhead involved in the integration of multiple sources, improves data quality, increases the speed of integration, and simplifies maintenance in an environment of changing source and receiver context-which will lead to an effective and novel distributed information grid infrastructure. This research also builds on our Global System for Sustainable Development (GSSD), an Internet platform for information generation, provision, and integration of multiple domains, regions, languages, and epistemologies relevant to international relations and national security. (2) National Priority Studies: To experiment with and test the developed theory and technologies on practical problems of data integration in national priority areas. Particular focus will be on national and homeland security, including data sources about conflict and war, modes of instability and threat, international and regional demographic, economic, and military statistics, money flows, and contextualizing terrorism defense and response. Although LIGHT will leverage the results of our successful prior research projects, this will be the first research effort to simultaneously and effectively address ontological and temporal information conflicts as well as dramatically enhance information quality. Addressing problems of national priorities in such rapidly changing complex environments requires extraction of observations from disparate sources, using different interpretations, at different points in times, for different purposes, with different biases, and for a wide range of different uses and users. This research will focus on integrating information both over individual domains and across multiple domains. Another innovation is the concept and implementation of Collaborative Domain Spaces (CDS), within which applications in a common domain can share, analyze, modify, and develop information. Applications also can span multiple domains via Linked CDSs. The PIs have considerable experience with these research areas and the organization and management of such large scale international and diverse research projects. The PIs come from three different Schools at MIT: Management, Engineering, and Humanities, Arts & Social Sciences. The faculty and graduate students come from about a dozen nationalities and diverse ethnic, racial, and religious backgrounds. The currently identified external collaborators come from over 20 different organizations and many different countries, industrial as well as developing. Specific efforts are proposed to engage even more women, underrepresented minorities, and persons with disabilities. The anticipated results apply to any complex domain that relies on heterogeneous distributed data to address and resolve compelling problems. This initiative is supported by international collaborators from (a) scientific and research institutions, (b) business and industry, and (c) national and international agencies. Research products include: a System for Harmonized Information Processing (SHIP), a software platform, and diverse applications in research and education which are anticipated to significantly impact the way complex organizations, and society in general, understand and manage critical challenges in NHS, ECS, and ASE. space, audiovisual equipment, networking, refreshments, and appropriate office supplies. These meetings and workshops will be web cast to reach the largest possible audience and minimize travel expenses. Summary of Planned Meetings Collaborators' Meetings Quarterly Up to 12 participants Steering Committee Meetings Twice per year Up to 10 participants Workshops Once per year Up to 30 participants Symposia One in year 2 and one in year 4 Up to 100 participants Leveraging of these budgeted resources The requested budget resources will be significantly leveraged in several ways: (1) much of the critical initial basic research, especially for the COIN and GSSD platforms, have been previously funded from NSF, DARPA, and industry sources, (2) the LIGHT collaborators are committing significant internal resources that will greatly assist this effort as well to facilitate the dissemination of results and impact of this research, (3) relevant and unique resources at MIT, such as MIT's OpenCourseWare and LINC technologies and distribution resources, will be utilized; as well as (4) recent experience and ongoing participation in national and international policy-related exercises-such as the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) Committee initiative on Terrorism, DARPA-National Academy of Sciences Committee on Understanding Terrorism in order to Deter Terrorism, and the United Nations-Information and Communication Taskforce (UN-ICT) background work in preparations for World Summit on Information Technology (WSIS). Note: An overhead rate of 60% is applied to all direct costs except major equipment and tuition.
Although there are many technology challenges and approaches to attaining cybersecurity, human ac... more Although there are many technology challenges and approaches to attaining cybersecurity, human actions (or inactions) also often pose large risks. There are many reasons, but one problem is whether we all "see the world" the same way. That is, what does "cybersecurity" actually meanas well as the many related concepts, such as "cyberthreat," "cybercrime," etc. Although dictionaries, glossaries, and other sources tell you what words/phrases are supposed to mean (somewhat complicated by the fact that they often contradict each other), they do not tell you how people are actually using them. If we are to have an effective solution, it is important that all the parties understand each otheror, at least, understand that there are different perspectives. For the purpose of this paper and to demonstrate our methodology, we consider the case of the words, "cyberspace" and "cyber space." When we started, we assumed that "cyberspace" and "cyber space" were essentially the same word with just a minor variation in punctuation (i.e., the space, or lack thereof, between "cyber" and "space") and that the choice of the punctuation was a rather random occurrence. With that assumption in mind, we would expect that the usage of these words (as determined by the taxonomies that would be constructed by our algorithms) would be basically the same. As it turned out, they were quite different, both in overall shape and groupings within the taxonomy. Since the overall field of cybersecurity is so new, understanding the field and how people think about it (as evidenced by their actual usage of terminology, and how usage changes over time) is an important goal. Our approach helps to illuminate these understandings.
The convergence of three distinct but interconnected trendsunrelenting globalization, growing wor... more The convergence of three distinct but interconnected trendsunrelenting globalization, growing worldwide electronic connectivity, and increasing knowledge intensity of economic activityis creating powerful new opportunities and challenges for global politics. This rapidly changing environment has information demands that surpass existing capabilities for information access, interpretation, and overall use, thus hindering our abilities to address emergent and complex global challenges, such as terrorism and other security threats. This reality has serious implications for two diverse domains of scholarship: international relations (IR) in political science and information technology (IT). Unless IT advances remain 'one step ahead' of emergent realities and complexities, strategies for better understanding and responding to critical global challenges will be severely impeded. For example, more so now than ever, the U.S. Office of Counter-Terrorism and the newly-created Office of Homeland Security rely on intelligence information from all over the world to develop strategic responses to security threats. However, relevant information is stored in various regions throughout the world and by diverse agencies in different media, formats, and contexts. Intelligent integration of information is fundamental to developing policies to anticipate and strengthen protection against terrorist threats or attacks in the United States. This Project's activities, and relationships with its collaborators, will be coordinated through a newly formed joint Laboratory for Information Globalization and Harmonization Technologies (LIGHT). LIGHT will address information needs in the IR domain, focusing on the conflict realm, which deals with emergent risks, threats, and uncertainties of potentially global scale and scope related to: (a) crises, (b) conflicts and war; and (c) anticipation, monitoring and early warning. The goals of this initiative are to: (1) improve understanding of the types of IR information needs for decision making and institutional performance under varying degrees of risk and uncertainty; (2) design and implement the System for Harmonized Information Processing, to facilitate access to and correct interpretation of essential information that is critical to policy and research in the IR realm, as well as to other similarly complex domains, and (3) advance developments in the use of information technologies to facilitate such interdisciplinary research and to contribute to new education approaches, tools, and methods. Increasingly, addressing problems central to national and global interests in complex domains such as IR requires the use of technologies that easily combine observations from disparate sources, using different interpretations, for different purposes, and by a wide range of users. Critical advances in IT capabilities must span multiple domains (e.g., economic, political, geographic, commercial, and demographic), diverse contexts (i.e., meanings, languages, assumptions), and a multiplicity of contending agents (i.e., states, governments, corporations, international institutions). The technology-related research will focus on acquiring and enhancing information to serve user requirements both over individual
With the increasing interconnection of computer networks and sophistication of cyber attacks, it ... more With the increasing interconnection of computer networks and sophistication of cyber attacks, it is important to understand the dynamics of such situations, especially in regards to cyber international relations. The Explorations in Cyber International Relations (ECIR) Data Dashboard Project is an initiative to gather worldwide cybersecurity data publicly provided by nation-level Computer Emergency Response Teams (CERTs) and to provide a set of tools to analyze the cybersecurity data. The unique contributions of this paper are: (1) an evaluation of the current state of the diverse nation-level CERT cybersecurity data sources, (2) a description of the Data Dashboard tool developed and some interesting analyses from using our tool, and (3) a summary of some challenges with the CERT data availability and usability uncovered in our research.
Information Technology for Development, Oct 1, 2005
With the rapid diffusion of the Internet worldwide, there has been considerable interest in the e... more With the rapid diffusion of the Internet worldwide, there has been considerable interest in the e-potentials of developing countries giving rise to a first generation of e-readiness studies. Moreover, e-readiness means different things to different people, in different contexts, and for different purposes. Despite strong merits, this first generation of e-readiness studies assumed a fixed, one-size-fits-all set of requirements, regardless of the characteristics of individual countries, the investment context, or Sherif Kamel was the accepting Associate Editor for this paper.
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is an oil-rich country located in the eastern part of the Arabian ... more The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is an oil-rich country located in the eastern part of the Arabian Peninsula. Abu Dhabi is the largest emirate in the country, and Abu Dhabi is the capital of the UAE. The country has the one of the highest per capita rates of CO 2 emission and water consumption in the world. Most of the water consumed is produced in desalination plants, which are energy intensive. The leadership of the country has made the bold decision to establish a renewable energy (RE) sector to diversify its energy sources and the economy as a whole. The Masdar Initiative was established to promote this objective. The government has established its first RE policy; the goal is to have 7% of power come from RE sources and technologies by 2020. This paper highlights the different RE projects of the Masdar Initiative, with particular emphasis on the power sector, and examines the new concentrated solar power (CSP) plants developed as part of the initiative.
In this chapter, the political system and prevalent rentier economy of the Gulf Cooperation Counc... more In this chapter, the political system and prevalent rentier economy of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states will be analyzed in order to assess those states' transition to a sustainable energy future. There are two important pillars, namely demand and supply, for a sustainable energy transition to take place in the GCC. First, cheap utility prices (water, oil, and electricity) have been a part of "rentier agreement" between the ruler and the citizens. This has partially led to excessive demand and waste of energy in those states. We analyze recent trends of change in utility prices and dynamics of energy consumption in these states. Second, sustainable energy transition needs the introduction of sustainable energy production forms. This will require a change in decade-old energy infrastructure of the GCC states which could be very challenging due to idiosyncratic economic, industrial, and political structures of these states. The chapter follows with the prevailing political and economic system of the GCC states. Energy consumption dynamics and recent change in utility prices are analyzed in the second section. Development of sustainable energy forms in the GCC is discussed in the third section, which is followed by a conclusion.
The convergence of three distinct but interconnected trends-unrelenting globalization, growing wo... more The convergence of three distinct but interconnected trends-unrelenting globalization, growing worldwide electronic connectivity, and increasing knowledge intensity of economic activity-is creating powerful new opportunities and challenges for global politics. This rapidly changing environment has information demands that surpass existing capabilities for information access, interpretation, and overall use, thus hindering our abilities to address emergent and complex global challenges, such as terrorism and other security threats. This reality has serious implications for two diverse domains of scholarship: international relations (IR) in political science and information technology (IT). Unless IT advances remain 'one step ahead' of emergent realities and complexities, strategies for better understanding and responding to critical global challenges will be severely impeded. For example, more so now than ever, the U.S. Office of Counter-Terrorism and the newly-created Office of Homeland Security rely on intelligence information from all over the world to develop strategic responses to security threats. However, relevant information is stored in various regions throughout the world and by diverse agencies in different media, formats, and contexts. Intelligent integration of information is fundamental to developing policies to anticipate and strengthen protection against terrorist threats or attacks in the United States. This Project's activities, and relationships with its collaborators, will be coordinated through a newly formed joint Laboratory for Information Globalization and Harmonization Technologies (LIGHT). LIGHT will address information needs in the IR domain, focusing on the conflict realm, which deals with emergent risks, threats, and uncertainties of potentially global scale and scope related to: (a) crises, (b) conflicts and war; and (c) anticipation, monitoring and early warning. The goals of this initiative are to: (1) improve understanding of the types of IR information needs for decision making and institutional performance under varying degrees of risk and uncertainty; (2) design and implement the System for Harmonized Information Processing, to facilitate access to and correct interpretation of essential information that is critical to policy and research in the IR realm, as well as to other similarly complex domains, and (3) advance developments in the use of information technologies to facilitate such interdisciplinary research and to contribute to new education approaches, tools, and methods. Increasingly, addressing problems central to national and global interests in complex domains such as IR requires the use of technologies that easily combine observations from disparate sources, using different interpretations, for different purposes, and by a wide range of users. Critical advances in IT capabilities must span multiple domains (e.g., economic, political, geographic, commercial, and demographic), diverse contexts (i.e., meanings, languages, assumptions), and a multiplicity of contending agents (i.e., states, governments, corporations, international institutions). The technology-related research will focus on acquiring and enhancing information to serve user requirements both over individual
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Papers by Nazli Choucri