Papers by Avinash Godbole
India Review, 2024
This paper argues that China intruded at multiple points along the LAC in May 2020 to showcase st... more This paper argues that China intruded at multiple points along the LAC in May 2020 to showcase strength amidst the COVID-19 pandemic which is believed to have originated in Wuhan. COVID-19 led to large scale deaths and a global economic meltdown with Beijing severely criticized for the emergence of COVID-19 pandemic, poor regulation of the animal markets, suppressing information and failure to prevent the spread of COVID-19 beyond China’s borders. This caused immense damage to China’s international reputation and status, its economy, and relations with other countries. Border incursions by China in May 2020 were a guise to highlight China’s strength lest India consider China in a weakened state and gain leverage over Beijing in the bilateral relationship. Through border incursions, Beijing wanted to mask its vulnerability created by COVID-19 and showcase its willingness to not compromise over its security interests. China is both powerful and insecure about its status. This combination makes it undertake a particularly pessimistic security-centric outlook and more likely to engage in risky behavior. Like in the previous instances, the use of military force against India in the year 2020 stemmed from a sense of vulnerability caused by loss of status due to Covid19
AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF MARITIME & OCEAN AFFAIRS, 2024
This paper looks at the climate vulnerabilities and risks
prevalent in this region. It also looks... more This paper looks at the climate vulnerabilities and risks
prevalent in this region. It also looks at human-induced
challenges like marine pollution and IUU fishing. It then evaluates
the reasons why several of the collective promises in the region
remain unfulfilled. It is followed by a brief discussion on the
security implications of climate change which is followed by a
conclusion.
ISDP Blog, 2024
Discusses Outcomes of NPC 2024
China's National People's Congress (NPC) and the meeting of the National Committee of the Chinese... more China's National People's Congress (NPC) and the meeting of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), popularly known as the two sessions, are going to take place from the 5 th of March. Traditionally the NPC has been called a "rubber stamp parliament" which has little authority over decision making. However, irrespective of that, the annual session of the NPC showcases the direction of policy for the upcoming year, sets the growth target for the year and approves major legislative changes to the state constitution.
RIS AIC commentary, 2022
On the potential of India ASEAN cooperation after ASEAN's recognition of the Indo-Pacific as a vi... more On the potential of India ASEAN cooperation after ASEAN's recognition of the Indo-Pacific as a viable and necessary construct.
Routledge, 2020
The method to study the Chinese Communist Party is to uncover interlinks between power authority ... more The method to study the Chinese Communist Party is to uncover interlinks between power authority and legitimacy. These interlinks acquire new meanings and this happens through expressions of national interests and aspirations. This chapter is an exercise to understand the details of this question and the party’s search for answers to these. It tries to do this through a study of the origins, the strengths and weaknesses of the Xi Jinping thought, and does a bit of crystal gazing into the future of the party. The future can be imagined through a study of changing notions of legitimacy by looking at two questions: first, what happens to the party’s relations with the people in the post-ideological era? and second, how the changing contours of accountability and of the rule according to law impact the issue at hand? How the party handles the paradox of the stronger China also becoming more uncertain and insecure is what would matter in the end. This question is explored in this chapter by undertaking a discussion on issues of anti-corruption, next-generation leadership, and the question of lifelong appointments, among others.
https://www.routledge.com/Chinese-Politics-and-Foreign-Policy-under-Xi-Jinping-The-Future-Political/Ding-Panda/p/book/9780367470289
India Quarterly, 2019
This article looks at major trends in China’s minority policy under Xi Jinping. It studies variou... more This article looks at major trends in China’s minority policy under Xi Jinping. It studies various methods implemented in order to control the unrest including the usage of technology for the purpose of monitoring people’s digital and geographic footprints. It studies development versus stability debate and takes a cursory look at how BRI intersects the identity question.
It also looks at various debates underway among the Chinese intelligentsia on the proper handling of the minority issue. The perception that under Xi, China’s ethnicity policy has hardened is based on study of policies ensuring that the ethnic minority groups identify themselves as Chinese first before identifying as
Conference Proceedings, 2017
Xi regime's approach to the issues of pollution and strategies to address this problem on a long ... more Xi regime's approach to the issues of pollution and strategies to address this problem on a long term basis.
My Newspaper article published today
President Trump spent his campaign denouncing the multilateral trade agreements that the United S... more President Trump spent his campaign denouncing the multilateral trade agreements that the United States has entered into over the past few years and insisted that he would negotiate fair trade deals that will benefit the United States, started his first visit to Asia as President with a focus on strengthening economic relations, promoting fair and reciprocal trade agreements, building a free and open Indo-pacific and building pressure on North Korea to denuclearise. On issues of security, he had been criticised during his Europe trip for not reiterate the United States promise to fulfil its security commitments to its allies. His statements during the Asia visit clearly stated the United States commitments towards its alliance partners.. The president in his post visit address, hailed the visit a success. He stated that through the visit, the world is once again seeing the strength of the United States. Nonetheless, critics point out that, President Trump failed to denounce the human rights violations or the extra judicial killings in some of the nations he visited. Others point to the more practical aspect that no nation has announced new trade deals with the United States or provided a time-line to start negotiations/rework old trade agreements. It is also being pointed out that by trying to maintain the centrality of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations conference, and the subsequent East Asia Summit, two organisations that working towards multilateral trade partnership, President Trump has realised that in Asia he would have to balance his desire for bilateral trade with the region's need for a multilateral approach. In these forums also he has been unable to express the relationship that the United States would like to build with the nations of the Indo-Pacific. Nonetheless, all countries support the idea of free and open Indo-Pacific. 1 On North Korea denuclearisation, he has found support among all nations in the region. However, his repeated hints at the possibility of use of force have similarly alarmed countries who prefer a negotiated end to the impass. Thus, one can say that the visit was successful in some measure. President Trump articulated the focus areas of the United States policy in the region for the near future. In keeping with his method of working he has not stated how he will achieve these goals.
The paper is coauthored with Dr. Jojin V. John, Dr. Avinash Godbole, Dr. Dhrubajyoti Bhattacharjee, Dr. Temjenmeren Ao and Ms. Asmita Chandra.
Redefining of the New Principal Contradiction in China may shape China's political economy in man... more Redefining of the New Principal Contradiction in China may shape China's political economy in many ways. This article looks at why this was done and how and if this may work.
As the Communist Party of China (CPC) held its 19th Party Congress, the world watched closely to ... more As the Communist Party of China (CPC) held its 19th Party Congress, the world watched closely to see what it meant for China and for the rest of the world.
Issue Brief on the NPC and CPPCC sessions and various documents presented and debates therein
The Sixth Plenary Session of the 18th Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee was held i... more The Sixth Plenary Session of the 18th Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee was held in Beijing from October 24 to 27, 2016. This paper looks at the outcomes and significance of the Plenum
The 8th BRICS leadership summit was held in Goa on 15-16 October 2016. The agenda for this summit... more The 8th BRICS leadership summit was held in Goa on 15-16 October 2016. The agenda for this summit was Building Responsive, Inclusive and Collective Solutions. During India’s BRICS Chairmanship, the grouping adopted a five-pronged approach, (i) Institution building, (ii) Implementation, (iii) Integration, (iv) Innovation, and (v) Continuity. Chinese President Xi Jinping attended the BRICS leadership summit.
This short article takes a look at China's expectations from the Goa Summit
my contribution for IFAJ's debate on the future of India-China relations.
Summary of China's domestic political issues in 2015.
A Short viewpoint on FOCAC and China Africa Relations
published in IDSA's Africa Trends Volume 4,... more A Short viewpoint on FOCAC and China Africa Relations
published in IDSA's Africa Trends Volume 4, Issue 4, October-December 2015.
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Papers by Avinash Godbole
prevalent in this region. It also looks at human-induced
challenges like marine pollution and IUU fishing. It then evaluates
the reasons why several of the collective promises in the region
remain unfulfilled. It is followed by a brief discussion on the
security implications of climate change which is followed by a
conclusion.
https://www.routledge.com/Chinese-Politics-and-Foreign-Policy-under-Xi-Jinping-The-Future-Political/Ding-Panda/p/book/9780367470289
It also looks at various debates underway among the Chinese intelligentsia on the proper handling of the minority issue. The perception that under Xi, China’s ethnicity policy has hardened is based on study of policies ensuring that the ethnic minority groups identify themselves as Chinese first before identifying as
The paper is coauthored with Dr. Jojin V. John, Dr. Avinash Godbole, Dr. Dhrubajyoti Bhattacharjee, Dr. Temjenmeren Ao and Ms. Asmita Chandra.
For full article see,
http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0974928416684922
This short article takes a look at China's expectations from the Goa Summit
published in IDSA's Africa Trends Volume 4, Issue 4, October-December 2015.
prevalent in this region. It also looks at human-induced
challenges like marine pollution and IUU fishing. It then evaluates
the reasons why several of the collective promises in the region
remain unfulfilled. It is followed by a brief discussion on the
security implications of climate change which is followed by a
conclusion.
https://www.routledge.com/Chinese-Politics-and-Foreign-Policy-under-Xi-Jinping-The-Future-Political/Ding-Panda/p/book/9780367470289
It also looks at various debates underway among the Chinese intelligentsia on the proper handling of the minority issue. The perception that under Xi, China’s ethnicity policy has hardened is based on study of policies ensuring that the ethnic minority groups identify themselves as Chinese first before identifying as
The paper is coauthored with Dr. Jojin V. John, Dr. Avinash Godbole, Dr. Dhrubajyoti Bhattacharjee, Dr. Temjenmeren Ao and Ms. Asmita Chandra.
For full article see,
http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0974928416684922
This short article takes a look at China's expectations from the Goa Summit
published in IDSA's Africa Trends Volume 4, Issue 4, October-December 2015.
The two books under review address changes in the structure and operations of the two most significant institutions in China today, the Chinese Communist Party and the People’ Liberation Army. The author, an astute commentator on China has an eye for detail and the ability to go beyond the common narrative. These two books present an occasion to review Xi Jinping’s promises and his performance 5 years after he came to power.