Neuroactive steroids (NASs) are naturally occurring steroids, which are synthesized centrally as ... more Neuroactive steroids (NASs) are naturally occurring steroids, which are synthesized centrally as de novo from cholesterol and are classified as pregnane, androstane, and sulfated neurosteroids (NSs). NASs modulate many processes via interacting with gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA), N-methyl-d-aspartate, serotonin, voltage-gated calcium channels, voltage-dependent anion channels, α-adrenoreceptors, X-receptors of the liver, transient receptor potential channels, microtubule-associated protein 2, neurotrophin nerve growth factor, and σ1 receptors. Among these, NSs (especially allopregnanolone) have high potency and extensive GABA-A receptors and hence demonstrate anticonvulsant, anesthetic, central cytoprotectant, and baroreflex inhibitory effects. NSs are also involved in mood and learning via serotonin and anti-nociceptive activity via T-type voltage-gated Ca 2+ channels. Moreover, they are modulators of mitochondrial function, synaptic plasticity, or regulators of apoptosis, which have a role in neuroprotective via voltage-dependent anion channels receptors. For proper functioning, NASs need to be in their normal level, whereas excess and deficiency may lead to abnormalities. When they are below the normal, NSs could have a part in development of depression, neuro-inflammation, multiple sclerosis, experimental autoimmune encephalitis, epilepsy, and schizophrenia. On the other hand, stress and attention deficit disorder could occur during excessive level. Overall, NASs are very important molecules with major neuropsychiatric activity.
Background: Good adherence to ocular hypotensive agents is important to control intraocular press... more Background: Good adherence to ocular hypotensive agents is important to control intraocular pressure and hence to prevent progressive glaucomatous optic nerve head damage. Periodic investigation of adherence is crucial in glaucoma treatment. The purpose of this study was to assess level of adherence to ocular hypotensive agents and to identify factors affecting adherence among glaucoma patients at a tertiary public eye care center. Methods: The study was a hospital-based cross-sectional study that was conducted in Menelik II Referral Hospital from June 1, 2015 to July 31, 2015. A systematic random sampling technique was used to select 359 study participants from the source population. The study patients were interviewed and their medical charts were reviewed using a pretested structured questionnaire. Adherence was assessed using Morisky Medication Adherence Scale-8 and adherence determinant factors were identified using multivariate binary logistic regression analysis. The association was declared statistically significant at p < 0.05. Results: Among the 359 study glaucoma patients, 42.6 % were adherent to their prescribed hypotensive agents. Higher educational level (AOR = 4.60, 95 % CI: 1.01-21.03, p < 0.049), being self-employed (AOR = 6.14, 95 % CI: 1.37-27.50, p < 0.018) and taking lesser frequency of drops (AOR = 2.89, 95 % CI: 1.25-6.66, p < 0.013) were significantly associated with adherence, whereas being a farmer (AOR = 0.07, 95 % CI: 0.01-0.75, p < 0.028), having very low monthly family income (AOR = 0.22, 95 % CI: 0.06-0.77, p < 0.019) and self-purchasing of medications (AOR = 0.30, 95 % CI: 0.10-0.93, p < 0.036) were significantly associated with non-adherence. Conclusions: The study has identified the adherence level to the prescribed ocular hypotensive agents to be sub-optimal and is influenced by different factors among glaucoma patients of the public tertiary center. We recommend glaucoma care providers to pay due attention on the importance of adherence.
Neuroactive steroids (NASs) are naturally occurring steroids, which are synthesized centrally as ... more Neuroactive steroids (NASs) are naturally occurring steroids, which are synthesized centrally as de novo from cholesterol and are classified as pregnane, androstane, and sulfated neurosteroids (NSs). NASs modulate many processes via interacting with gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA), N-methyl-d-aspartate, serotonin, voltage-gated calcium channels, voltage-dependent anion channels, α-adrenoreceptors, X-receptors of the liver, transient receptor potential channels, microtubule-associated protein 2, neurotrophin nerve growth factor, and σ1 receptors. Among these, NSs (especially allopregnanolone) have high potency and extensive GABA-A receptors and hence demonstrate anticonvulsant, anesthetic, central cytoprotectant, and baroreflex inhibitory effects. NSs are also involved in mood and learning via serotonin and anti-nociceptive activity via T-type voltage-gated Ca 2+ channels. Moreover, they are modulators of mitochondrial function, synaptic plasticity, or regulators of apoptosis, which have a role in neuroprotective via voltage-dependent anion channels receptors. For proper functioning, NASs need to be in their normal level, whereas excess and deficiency may lead to abnormalities. When they are below the normal, NSs could have a part in development of depression, neuro-inflammation, multiple sclerosis, experimental autoimmune encephalitis, epilepsy, and schizophrenia. On the other hand, stress and attention deficit disorder could occur during excessive level. Overall, NASs are very important molecules with major neuropsychiatric activity.
Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma are common diseases with a het... more Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma are common diseases with a heterogeneous distribution worldwide. Here, we present methods and disease and risk estimates for COPD and asthma from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2015 study. The GBD study provides annual updates on estimates of deaths, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), a summary measure of fatal and non-fatal disease outcomes, for over 300 diseases and injuries, for 188 countries from 1990 to the most recent year.
Objectives To report the estimated trend in prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) due... more Objectives To report the estimated trend in prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) due to vision loss (VL) in the Eastern Mediterranean region (EMR) from 1990 to 2015. Methods The estimated trends in age-standardized prevalence and the YLDs rate due to VL in 22 EMR countries were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2015 study. The association of Socio-demographic Index (SDI) with changes in prevalence and YLDs of VL was evaluated using a multilevel mixed model. Results The age-standardized prevalence of VL in the EMR was 18.2% in 1990 and 15.5% in 2015. The total agestandardized YLDs rate attributed to all-cause VL in EMR was 536.
Objectives Assessing the burden of maternal mortality is important for tracking progress and iden... more Objectives Assessing the burden of maternal mortality is important for tracking progress and identifying public health gaps. This paper provides an overview of the burden of maternal mortality in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) by underlying cause and age from 1990 to 2015. Methods We used the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to explore maternal mortality in the EMR countries. Results The maternal mortality ratio in the EMR decreased 16.3% from 283 (241-328) maternal deaths per 100,000 live births in 1990 to 237 (188-293) in 2015. Maternal mortality ratio was strongly correlated with socio-demographic status, where the lowest-income countries contributed the most to the burden of maternal mortality in the region. Conclusion Progress in reducing maternal mortality in the EMR has accelerated in the past 15 years, but the burden remains high. Coordinated and rigorous efforts are needed to make sure that adequate and timely services and interventions are available for women at each stage of reproductive life.
Objectives We used data from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study (GBD) to calculate the burde... more Objectives We used data from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study (GBD) to calculate the burden of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) in the 22 countries of the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) from 1990 to 2015. Methods We conducted a systematic analysis of mortality and morbidity data for LRI and its specific etiologic factors, including pneumococcus, Haemophilus influenzae type b, Respiratory syncytial virus, and influenza virus. We used modeling methods to estimate incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). We calculated burden attributable to known risk factors for LRI. Results In 2015, LRIs were the fourth-leading cause of DALYs, causing 11,098,243 (95% UI 9,857,095-12,396,566) DALYs and 191,114 (95% UI 170,705) deaths. The LRI DALY rates were higher than global estimates in 2015. The highest and lowest age-standardized rates of DALYs were observed in Somalia and Lebanon, respectively. Undernutrition in childhood and ambient particulate matter air pollution in the elderly were the main risk factors. Conclusions Our findings call for public health strategies to reduce the level of risk factors in each age group, especially vulnerable child and elderly populations.
Objectives The Eastern Mediterranean Region faces several health challenges at a difficult time w... more Objectives The Eastern Mediterranean Region faces several health challenges at a difficult time with wars, unrest, and economic change.
Objectives Diarrheal diseases (DD) are an important cause of disease burden, especially in childr... more Objectives Diarrheal diseases (DD) are an important cause of disease burden, especially in children in low-income settings. DD can also impact children's potential livelihood through growth faltering, cognitive impairment, and other sequelae. Methods As part of the Global Burden of Disease study, we estimated DD burden, and the burden attributable to specific risk factors and etiologies, in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 1990 and 2015. We calculated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs)-the sum of years of life lost and years lived with disability-for both sexes and all ages. Results We estimate that over 103,692 diarrhea deaths occurred in the EMR in 2015 (95% uncertainty interval: 87,018-124,692), and the mortality rate was 16.0 deaths per 100,000 persons (95% UI: 13.4-19.2). The majority of these deaths occurred in children under 5 (63.3%) (65,670 deaths, 95% UI: 53,486). DALYs per 100,000 ranged from 304 (95% UI 228-400) in Kuwait to 38,900 (95% UI 25,900-54,300) in Somalia. Conclusions Our findings will guide evidence-based health policy decisions for interventions to achieve the ultimate goal of reducing the DD burden.
Objectives We used findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to update our previous p... more Objectives We used findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to update our previous publication on the burden of diabetes and chronic kidney disease due to diabetes (CKD-DM) during 1990-2015.
Objectives To report the burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the Eastern Mediterranean Reg... more Objectives To report the burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) during 1990-2015. Methods We used the 2015 Global Burden of Disease study for estimates of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of different CVD in 22 countries of EMR. Results A total of 1.4 million CVD deaths (95% UI: 1.3-1.5) occurred in 2015 in the EMR, with the highest number of deaths in Pakistan (465,116) and the lowest number of deaths in Qatar . The age-standardized DALY rate per 100,000 decreased from 10,080 in 1990 to 8606 in 2015 (14.6% decrease). Afghanistan had the highest age-standardized DALY rate of CVD in both 1990 and 2015. Kuwait and Qatar had the lowest age-standardized DALY rates of CVD in 1990 and 2015, respectively. High blood pressure, high total cholesterol, and high body mass index were the leading risk factors for CVD.
Objectives To estimate incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) caused by... more Objectives To estimate incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) caused by cancer in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 2005 and 2015. Methods Vital registration system and cancer registry data from the EMR region were analyzed for 29 cancer groups in 22 EMR countries using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 methodology. Results In 2015, cancer was responsible for 9.4% of all deaths and 5.1% of all DALYs. It accounted for 722,646 new cases, 379,093 deaths, and 11.7 million DALYs. Between 2005 and 2015, incident cases increased by 46%, deaths by 33%, and DALYs by 31%. The increase in cancer incidence was largely driven by population growth and population aging. Breast cancer, lung cancer, and leukemia were the most common cancers, while lung, breast, and stomach cancers caused most cancer deaths. Conclusions Cancer is responsible for a substantial disease burden in the EMR, which is increasing. There is an urgent need to expand cancer prevention, screening, and awareness programs in EMR countries as well as to improve diagnosis, treatment, and palliative care services.
Background: Severe acute malnutrition remains the major cause of morbidity and mortality for chil... more Background: Severe acute malnutrition remains the major cause of morbidity and mortality for children under five years of age in developing countries. The prevalence of wasting, underweight and stunting has remained high in Ethiopia and even unacceptably higher in Tigray region. The objective of the study is to assess the survival status and treatment outcome of patients with severe acute malnutrition and to identify contributing factors for poor treatment outcome. Methods: An institutional-based cross-sectional study was conducted on 195 patients, selected using systematic random sampling technique, from 24-Mar-2015 to 7-Jun-2015 in Ayder Referral Hospital. Logistic regression was carried out to identify factors associated with treatment outcome. Rates of mortality associated with the disease were determined using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. A Log Rank, Breslow, and Tarone-Ware test were employed for the overall comparisons of the survival curves. Statistical significance was declared at pvalue <0.05. Result: Out of 195 children admitted with SAM, the cure, death, defaulter, non-respondent and transferred-out rates were 22.1%, 3.6%, 43.6%, 9.2% and 21.5% respectively. Overall, 43.6% of the children were recovered from their disease. The mean length of stay of a 'recovered' child in the hospital was 21.56 ±1.27 days (95% CI: 19.04-24. 09 days). Free from acute febrile illness (AOR = 4.20, 95% CI: 1.10-16.09, p < 0.036) and usage of deworming medications (AOR = 0.36, 95% CI: 0.14-0.93, p < 0.036) were significantly associated with positive and negative treatment outcomes respectively. Children with >70% of weight for height (WFH) and mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) of >12 cm at admission had a better treatment outcome than children with WFH of ≤ 70% (p < 0.038) and MUAC of ≤ 12 cm (p < 0.090). Treatment using ready-to-used therapeutic food (RUTF) provided a longer all-cause mortality protection than the treatment using F-75 and F-100 (p < 0.010). Conclusion: The cure rate in this study was found to be sub-optimal. Absence of acute febrile illness and deworming medication use were factors contributing to good treatment outcome. A WFH of >70%, MUAC of ≥ 12 cm and treatment using RUTF provided a longer all-cause mortality protection.
Background National levels of personal health-care access and quality can be approximated by meas... more Background National levels of personal health-care access and quality can be approximated by measuring mortality rates from causes that should not be fatal in the presence of effective medical care (ie, amenable mortality). Previous analyses of mortality amenable to health care only focused on high-income countries and faced several methodological challenges. In the present analysis, we use the highly standardised cause of death and risk factor estimates generated through the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) to improve and expand the quantification of personal health-care access and quality for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2015.
Background An adequate amount of prepaid resources for health is important to ensure access to he... more Background An adequate amount of prepaid resources for health is important to ensure access to health services and for the pursuit of universal health coverage. Previous studies on global health financing have described the relationship between economic development and health financing. In this study, we further explore global health financing trends and examine how the sources of funds used, types of services purchased, and development assistance for health disbursed change with economic development. We also identify countries that deviate from the trends.
Background The amount of resources, particularly prepaid resources, available for health can affe... more Background The amount of resources, particularly prepaid resources, available for health can affect access to health care and health outcomes. Although health spending tends to increase with economic development, tremendous variation exists among health financing systems. Estimates of future spending can be beneficial for policy makers and planners, and can identify financing gaps. In this study, we estimate future gross domestic product (GDP), all-sector government spending, and health spending disaggregated by source, and we compare expected future spending to potential future spending.
Background: Good adherence to ocular hypotensive agents is important to control intraocular press... more Background: Good adherence to ocular hypotensive agents is important to control intraocular pressure and hence to prevent progressive glaucomatous optic nerve head damage. Periodic investigation of adherence is crucial in glaucoma treatment. The purpose of this study was to assess level of adherence to ocular hypotensive agents and to identify factors affecting adherence among glaucoma patients at a tertiary public eye care center. Methods: The study was a hospital-based cross-sectional study that was conducted in Menelik II Referral Hospital from June 1, 2015 to July 31, 2015. A systematic random sampling technique was used to select 359 study participants from the source population. The study patients were interviewed and their medical charts were reviewed using a pretested structured questionnaire. Adherence was assessed using Morisky Medication Adherence Scale -8 and adherence determinant factors were identified using multivariate binary logistic regression analysis. The association was declared statistically significant at p < 0.05. Results: Among the 359 study glaucoma patients, 42.6 % were adherent to their prescribed hypotensive agents. Higher educational level (AOR = 4.60, 95 % CI: 1.01-21.03, p < 0.049), being self -employed (AOR = 6.14, 95 % CI: 1.37-27.50, p < 0.018) and taking lesser frequency of drops (AOR = 2.89, 95 % CI: 1.25-6.66, p < 0.013) were significantly associated with adherence, whereas being a farmer (AOR = 0.07, 95 % CI: 0.01-0.75, p < 0.028), having very low monthly family income (AOR = 0.22, 95 % CI: 0.06-0.77, p < 0.019) and self -purchasing of medications (AOR = 0.30, 95 % CI: 0.10-0.93, p < 0.036) were significantly associated with non-adherence. Conclusions: The study has identified the adherence level to the prescribed ocular hypotensive agents to be sub-optimal and is influenced by different factors among glaucoma patients of the public tertiary center. We recommend glaucoma care providers to pay due attention on the importance of adherence.
Introduction: Appropriate administration of ocular hypotensive agents is required to lower an ele... more Introduction: Appropriate administration of ocular hypotensive agents is required to lower an elevated intraocular pressure, prevent progressive damage of optic nerve head and visual field loss.
Neuroactive steroids (NASs) are naturally occurring steroids, which are synthesized centrally as ... more Neuroactive steroids (NASs) are naturally occurring steroids, which are synthesized centrally as de novo from cholesterol and are classified as pregnane, androstane, and sulfated neurosteroids (NSs). NASs modulate many processes via interacting with gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA), N-methyl-d-aspartate, serotonin, voltage-gated calcium channels, voltage-dependent anion channels, α-adrenoreceptors, X-receptors of the liver, transient receptor potential channels, microtubule-associated protein 2, neurotrophin nerve growth factor, and σ1 receptors. Among these, NSs (especially allopregnanolone) have high potency and extensive GABA-A receptors and hence demonstrate anticonvulsant, anesthetic, central cytoprotectant, and baroreflex inhibitory effects. NSs are also involved in mood and learning via serotonin and anti-nociceptive activity via T-type voltage-gated Ca 2+ channels. Moreover, they are modulators of mitochondrial function, synaptic plasticity, or regulators of apoptosis, which have a role in neuroprotective via voltage-dependent anion channels receptors. For proper functioning, NASs need to be in their normal level, whereas excess and deficiency may lead to abnormalities. When they are below the normal, NSs could have a part in development of depression, neuro-inflammation, multiple sclerosis, experimental autoimmune encephalitis, epilepsy, and schizophrenia. On the other hand, stress and attention deficit disorder could occur during excessive level. Overall, NASs are very important molecules with major neuropsychiatric activity.
Background: Good adherence to ocular hypotensive agents is important to control intraocular press... more Background: Good adherence to ocular hypotensive agents is important to control intraocular pressure and hence to prevent progressive glaucomatous optic nerve head damage. Periodic investigation of adherence is crucial in glaucoma treatment. The purpose of this study was to assess level of adherence to ocular hypotensive agents and to identify factors affecting adherence among glaucoma patients at a tertiary public eye care center. Methods: The study was a hospital-based cross-sectional study that was conducted in Menelik II Referral Hospital from June 1, 2015 to July 31, 2015. A systematic random sampling technique was used to select 359 study participants from the source population. The study patients were interviewed and their medical charts were reviewed using a pretested structured questionnaire. Adherence was assessed using Morisky Medication Adherence Scale-8 and adherence determinant factors were identified using multivariate binary logistic regression analysis. The association was declared statistically significant at p < 0.05. Results: Among the 359 study glaucoma patients, 42.6 % were adherent to their prescribed hypotensive agents. Higher educational level (AOR = 4.60, 95 % CI: 1.01-21.03, p < 0.049), being self-employed (AOR = 6.14, 95 % CI: 1.37-27.50, p < 0.018) and taking lesser frequency of drops (AOR = 2.89, 95 % CI: 1.25-6.66, p < 0.013) were significantly associated with adherence, whereas being a farmer (AOR = 0.07, 95 % CI: 0.01-0.75, p < 0.028), having very low monthly family income (AOR = 0.22, 95 % CI: 0.06-0.77, p < 0.019) and self-purchasing of medications (AOR = 0.30, 95 % CI: 0.10-0.93, p < 0.036) were significantly associated with non-adherence. Conclusions: The study has identified the adherence level to the prescribed ocular hypotensive agents to be sub-optimal and is influenced by different factors among glaucoma patients of the public tertiary center. We recommend glaucoma care providers to pay due attention on the importance of adherence.
Neuroactive steroids (NASs) are naturally occurring steroids, which are synthesized centrally as ... more Neuroactive steroids (NASs) are naturally occurring steroids, which are synthesized centrally as de novo from cholesterol and are classified as pregnane, androstane, and sulfated neurosteroids (NSs). NASs modulate many processes via interacting with gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA), N-methyl-d-aspartate, serotonin, voltage-gated calcium channels, voltage-dependent anion channels, α-adrenoreceptors, X-receptors of the liver, transient receptor potential channels, microtubule-associated protein 2, neurotrophin nerve growth factor, and σ1 receptors. Among these, NSs (especially allopregnanolone) have high potency and extensive GABA-A receptors and hence demonstrate anticonvulsant, anesthetic, central cytoprotectant, and baroreflex inhibitory effects. NSs are also involved in mood and learning via serotonin and anti-nociceptive activity via T-type voltage-gated Ca 2+ channels. Moreover, they are modulators of mitochondrial function, synaptic plasticity, or regulators of apoptosis, which have a role in neuroprotective via voltage-dependent anion channels receptors. For proper functioning, NASs need to be in their normal level, whereas excess and deficiency may lead to abnormalities. When they are below the normal, NSs could have a part in development of depression, neuro-inflammation, multiple sclerosis, experimental autoimmune encephalitis, epilepsy, and schizophrenia. On the other hand, stress and attention deficit disorder could occur during excessive level. Overall, NASs are very important molecules with major neuropsychiatric activity.
Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma are common diseases with a het... more Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma are common diseases with a heterogeneous distribution worldwide. Here, we present methods and disease and risk estimates for COPD and asthma from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2015 study. The GBD study provides annual updates on estimates of deaths, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), a summary measure of fatal and non-fatal disease outcomes, for over 300 diseases and injuries, for 188 countries from 1990 to the most recent year.
Objectives To report the estimated trend in prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) due... more Objectives To report the estimated trend in prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) due to vision loss (VL) in the Eastern Mediterranean region (EMR) from 1990 to 2015. Methods The estimated trends in age-standardized prevalence and the YLDs rate due to VL in 22 EMR countries were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2015 study. The association of Socio-demographic Index (SDI) with changes in prevalence and YLDs of VL was evaluated using a multilevel mixed model. Results The age-standardized prevalence of VL in the EMR was 18.2% in 1990 and 15.5% in 2015. The total agestandardized YLDs rate attributed to all-cause VL in EMR was 536.
Objectives Assessing the burden of maternal mortality is important for tracking progress and iden... more Objectives Assessing the burden of maternal mortality is important for tracking progress and identifying public health gaps. This paper provides an overview of the burden of maternal mortality in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) by underlying cause and age from 1990 to 2015. Methods We used the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to explore maternal mortality in the EMR countries. Results The maternal mortality ratio in the EMR decreased 16.3% from 283 (241-328) maternal deaths per 100,000 live births in 1990 to 237 (188-293) in 2015. Maternal mortality ratio was strongly correlated with socio-demographic status, where the lowest-income countries contributed the most to the burden of maternal mortality in the region. Conclusion Progress in reducing maternal mortality in the EMR has accelerated in the past 15 years, but the burden remains high. Coordinated and rigorous efforts are needed to make sure that adequate and timely services and interventions are available for women at each stage of reproductive life.
Objectives We used data from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study (GBD) to calculate the burde... more Objectives We used data from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study (GBD) to calculate the burden of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) in the 22 countries of the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) from 1990 to 2015. Methods We conducted a systematic analysis of mortality and morbidity data for LRI and its specific etiologic factors, including pneumococcus, Haemophilus influenzae type b, Respiratory syncytial virus, and influenza virus. We used modeling methods to estimate incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). We calculated burden attributable to known risk factors for LRI. Results In 2015, LRIs were the fourth-leading cause of DALYs, causing 11,098,243 (95% UI 9,857,095-12,396,566) DALYs and 191,114 (95% UI 170,705) deaths. The LRI DALY rates were higher than global estimates in 2015. The highest and lowest age-standardized rates of DALYs were observed in Somalia and Lebanon, respectively. Undernutrition in childhood and ambient particulate matter air pollution in the elderly were the main risk factors. Conclusions Our findings call for public health strategies to reduce the level of risk factors in each age group, especially vulnerable child and elderly populations.
Objectives The Eastern Mediterranean Region faces several health challenges at a difficult time w... more Objectives The Eastern Mediterranean Region faces several health challenges at a difficult time with wars, unrest, and economic change.
Objectives Diarrheal diseases (DD) are an important cause of disease burden, especially in childr... more Objectives Diarrheal diseases (DD) are an important cause of disease burden, especially in children in low-income settings. DD can also impact children's potential livelihood through growth faltering, cognitive impairment, and other sequelae. Methods As part of the Global Burden of Disease study, we estimated DD burden, and the burden attributable to specific risk factors and etiologies, in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 1990 and 2015. We calculated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs)-the sum of years of life lost and years lived with disability-for both sexes and all ages. Results We estimate that over 103,692 diarrhea deaths occurred in the EMR in 2015 (95% uncertainty interval: 87,018-124,692), and the mortality rate was 16.0 deaths per 100,000 persons (95% UI: 13.4-19.2). The majority of these deaths occurred in children under 5 (63.3%) (65,670 deaths, 95% UI: 53,486). DALYs per 100,000 ranged from 304 (95% UI 228-400) in Kuwait to 38,900 (95% UI 25,900-54,300) in Somalia. Conclusions Our findings will guide evidence-based health policy decisions for interventions to achieve the ultimate goal of reducing the DD burden.
Objectives We used findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to update our previous p... more Objectives We used findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to update our previous publication on the burden of diabetes and chronic kidney disease due to diabetes (CKD-DM) during 1990-2015.
Objectives To report the burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the Eastern Mediterranean Reg... more Objectives To report the burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) during 1990-2015. Methods We used the 2015 Global Burden of Disease study for estimates of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of different CVD in 22 countries of EMR. Results A total of 1.4 million CVD deaths (95% UI: 1.3-1.5) occurred in 2015 in the EMR, with the highest number of deaths in Pakistan (465,116) and the lowest number of deaths in Qatar . The age-standardized DALY rate per 100,000 decreased from 10,080 in 1990 to 8606 in 2015 (14.6% decrease). Afghanistan had the highest age-standardized DALY rate of CVD in both 1990 and 2015. Kuwait and Qatar had the lowest age-standardized DALY rates of CVD in 1990 and 2015, respectively. High blood pressure, high total cholesterol, and high body mass index were the leading risk factors for CVD.
Objectives To estimate incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) caused by... more Objectives To estimate incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) caused by cancer in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 2005 and 2015. Methods Vital registration system and cancer registry data from the EMR region were analyzed for 29 cancer groups in 22 EMR countries using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 methodology. Results In 2015, cancer was responsible for 9.4% of all deaths and 5.1% of all DALYs. It accounted for 722,646 new cases, 379,093 deaths, and 11.7 million DALYs. Between 2005 and 2015, incident cases increased by 46%, deaths by 33%, and DALYs by 31%. The increase in cancer incidence was largely driven by population growth and population aging. Breast cancer, lung cancer, and leukemia were the most common cancers, while lung, breast, and stomach cancers caused most cancer deaths. Conclusions Cancer is responsible for a substantial disease burden in the EMR, which is increasing. There is an urgent need to expand cancer prevention, screening, and awareness programs in EMR countries as well as to improve diagnosis, treatment, and palliative care services.
Background: Severe acute malnutrition remains the major cause of morbidity and mortality for chil... more Background: Severe acute malnutrition remains the major cause of morbidity and mortality for children under five years of age in developing countries. The prevalence of wasting, underweight and stunting has remained high in Ethiopia and even unacceptably higher in Tigray region. The objective of the study is to assess the survival status and treatment outcome of patients with severe acute malnutrition and to identify contributing factors for poor treatment outcome. Methods: An institutional-based cross-sectional study was conducted on 195 patients, selected using systematic random sampling technique, from 24-Mar-2015 to 7-Jun-2015 in Ayder Referral Hospital. Logistic regression was carried out to identify factors associated with treatment outcome. Rates of mortality associated with the disease were determined using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. A Log Rank, Breslow, and Tarone-Ware test were employed for the overall comparisons of the survival curves. Statistical significance was declared at pvalue <0.05. Result: Out of 195 children admitted with SAM, the cure, death, defaulter, non-respondent and transferred-out rates were 22.1%, 3.6%, 43.6%, 9.2% and 21.5% respectively. Overall, 43.6% of the children were recovered from their disease. The mean length of stay of a 'recovered' child in the hospital was 21.56 ±1.27 days (95% CI: 19.04-24. 09 days). Free from acute febrile illness (AOR = 4.20, 95% CI: 1.10-16.09, p < 0.036) and usage of deworming medications (AOR = 0.36, 95% CI: 0.14-0.93, p < 0.036) were significantly associated with positive and negative treatment outcomes respectively. Children with >70% of weight for height (WFH) and mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) of >12 cm at admission had a better treatment outcome than children with WFH of ≤ 70% (p < 0.038) and MUAC of ≤ 12 cm (p < 0.090). Treatment using ready-to-used therapeutic food (RUTF) provided a longer all-cause mortality protection than the treatment using F-75 and F-100 (p < 0.010). Conclusion: The cure rate in this study was found to be sub-optimal. Absence of acute febrile illness and deworming medication use were factors contributing to good treatment outcome. A WFH of >70%, MUAC of ≥ 12 cm and treatment using RUTF provided a longer all-cause mortality protection.
Background National levels of personal health-care access and quality can be approximated by meas... more Background National levels of personal health-care access and quality can be approximated by measuring mortality rates from causes that should not be fatal in the presence of effective medical care (ie, amenable mortality). Previous analyses of mortality amenable to health care only focused on high-income countries and faced several methodological challenges. In the present analysis, we use the highly standardised cause of death and risk factor estimates generated through the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) to improve and expand the quantification of personal health-care access and quality for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2015.
Background An adequate amount of prepaid resources for health is important to ensure access to he... more Background An adequate amount of prepaid resources for health is important to ensure access to health services and for the pursuit of universal health coverage. Previous studies on global health financing have described the relationship between economic development and health financing. In this study, we further explore global health financing trends and examine how the sources of funds used, types of services purchased, and development assistance for health disbursed change with economic development. We also identify countries that deviate from the trends.
Background The amount of resources, particularly prepaid resources, available for health can affe... more Background The amount of resources, particularly prepaid resources, available for health can affect access to health care and health outcomes. Although health spending tends to increase with economic development, tremendous variation exists among health financing systems. Estimates of future spending can be beneficial for policy makers and planners, and can identify financing gaps. In this study, we estimate future gross domestic product (GDP), all-sector government spending, and health spending disaggregated by source, and we compare expected future spending to potential future spending.
Background: Good adherence to ocular hypotensive agents is important to control intraocular press... more Background: Good adherence to ocular hypotensive agents is important to control intraocular pressure and hence to prevent progressive glaucomatous optic nerve head damage. Periodic investigation of adherence is crucial in glaucoma treatment. The purpose of this study was to assess level of adherence to ocular hypotensive agents and to identify factors affecting adherence among glaucoma patients at a tertiary public eye care center. Methods: The study was a hospital-based cross-sectional study that was conducted in Menelik II Referral Hospital from June 1, 2015 to July 31, 2015. A systematic random sampling technique was used to select 359 study participants from the source population. The study patients were interviewed and their medical charts were reviewed using a pretested structured questionnaire. Adherence was assessed using Morisky Medication Adherence Scale -8 and adherence determinant factors were identified using multivariate binary logistic regression analysis. The association was declared statistically significant at p < 0.05. Results: Among the 359 study glaucoma patients, 42.6 % were adherent to their prescribed hypotensive agents. Higher educational level (AOR = 4.60, 95 % CI: 1.01-21.03, p < 0.049), being self -employed (AOR = 6.14, 95 % CI: 1.37-27.50, p < 0.018) and taking lesser frequency of drops (AOR = 2.89, 95 % CI: 1.25-6.66, p < 0.013) were significantly associated with adherence, whereas being a farmer (AOR = 0.07, 95 % CI: 0.01-0.75, p < 0.028), having very low monthly family income (AOR = 0.22, 95 % CI: 0.06-0.77, p < 0.019) and self -purchasing of medications (AOR = 0.30, 95 % CI: 0.10-0.93, p < 0.036) were significantly associated with non-adherence. Conclusions: The study has identified the adherence level to the prescribed ocular hypotensive agents to be sub-optimal and is influenced by different factors among glaucoma patients of the public tertiary center. We recommend glaucoma care providers to pay due attention on the importance of adherence.
Introduction: Appropriate administration of ocular hypotensive agents is required to lower an ele... more Introduction: Appropriate administration of ocular hypotensive agents is required to lower an elevated intraocular pressure, prevent progressive damage of optic nerve head and visual field loss.
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Papers by Tesfay M Atey