Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per resp... more Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number.
: A gap exists in understanding and modeling the Vietnam War era for lack of qualitative studies ... more : A gap exists in understanding and modeling the Vietnam War era for lack of qualitative studies into the political effect of the military draft. Using presidential approval ratings as a proxy assessment of the country's well-being and political strength, this work seeks to fill the void by evaluating the effects of the Vietnam-era draft on presidential approval between 1954 and 1975. With a basis in rational theory, it uses Autoregressive Moving Average time series analysis, both univariate and multivariate, in a quasi-experimental design to detect significant changes. Further, it employs Granger Causality Testing to evaluate the degree and directionality of causation for those independent time series found to have a significant relationship with approval. The study finds both direct and indirect effects of the draft upon presidential approval that vary by period. The draft shifts from having no impact on aggregated approval ratings to a negative impact as the conflict mounts. ...
Page 1. THE EFFECTS OF THE DRAFT ON US PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL RATINGS DURING THE VIETNAM WAR, 1954... more Page 1. THE EFFECTS OF THE DRAFT ON US PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL RATINGS DURING THE VIETNAM WAR, 1954 - 1975 by BRETT E. MORRIS A DISSERTATION Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements ...
Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per resp... more Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number.
: A gap exists in understanding and modeling the Vietnam War era for lack of qualitative studies ... more : A gap exists in understanding and modeling the Vietnam War era for lack of qualitative studies into the political effect of the military draft. Using presidential approval ratings as a proxy assessment of the country's well-being and political strength, this work seeks to fill the void by evaluating the effects of the Vietnam-era draft on presidential approval between 1954 and 1975. With a basis in rational theory, it uses Autoregressive Moving Average time series analysis, both univariate and multivariate, in a quasi-experimental design to detect significant changes. Further, it employs Granger Causality Testing to evaluate the degree and directionality of causation for those independent time series found to have a significant relationship with approval. The study finds both direct and indirect effects of the draft upon presidential approval that vary by period. The draft shifts from having no impact on aggregated approval ratings to a negative impact as the conflict mounts. ...
Page 1. THE EFFECTS OF THE DRAFT ON US PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL RATINGS DURING THE VIETNAM WAR, 1954... more Page 1. THE EFFECTS OF THE DRAFT ON US PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL RATINGS DURING THE VIETNAM WAR, 1954 - 1975 by BRETT E. MORRIS A DISSERTATION Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements ...
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