François Joseph CABRAL

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Cabral François Joseph is a Professor at Cheikh Anta Diop University in Dakar (UCAD), Director of Ph D School on Law, Politic, economic and management sciences at Cheikh Anta Diop University and the scientific coordinator of CRES, an NGO research centre based in Dakar.After a Doctorate obtained in 2005 in UCAD, he has done a post-doctorate in 2007 in Cirpée, in Laval University, in 2007.He has been admitted as Associate Professor at the 15th session of the competition of aggregation of African and Malagasy Council for Higher Education (CAMES) held in November 2011 in Abidjan.He’s been involved in the Pep network since 2004. While doing his thesis, he has benefited from a technical and financial support from Pep through a study visit done in Cirpée, in Laval University in 2005.Again during his post-doctorate in 2007, financed by AUF, he has also benefited from a technical support of Pep. The main tool he uses is computable general equilibrium and he has been assisting during the last years Professor Martens, from Montreal University, for all Pep school modeling training sessions organized in Dakar.During his thesis, he tries to simulate the potential impact of Agricultural agreement on rural poverty in Senegal while he makes the focus the pro-poor content of Senegalese Accelerated growth strategy during his post-doctorate research.Hence, his main fields of research are agriculture, trade liberalization and poverty and now, he tends to make focus on growth and climate change issues.In his last papers, he tries to assess the effects of rainfall hazards on poverty in Senegal and plan to extend this research to all Sahelian countries. During the last years, he has work on several collaborative research programs. With PEP, he’s been involved in the process of assessing 2010 world crisis economic effects for Senegal.With UNDP-desa, he has completed within a team a research trying to assess strategies to achieve MDGs for Senegal. With IFPRI, he is also completing a research to assess the link between biofuel and poverty in Senegal.With Universty of Las Palmas, he’s currently working on a comparative research on water issues between Las Palmas and Senegal.Within a collaborative research sustained by Brookings Institute, he’s actually involved in research program on agricultural transformation and public expenditure efficiency in agricultural sector.With ECOWAS and under Comprehensive Africa agricultural development program (CAADP), he has built two SAM for Cabo Verde and Guinea Bissau, which seems to be the first ones for those two countries.He has also built a CGE for Guinea Bissau to assess the ability of CAADP to match with the growth and poverty outcomes of this program.He’s also completing a research case study for Senegal with African development bank on the following topic “Trade, jobs and inclusive development in Africa”.He has also built a CGE dealing with rainfall issues in Senegal for the national Ministry of Planning.Pr Cabral is also a member of African economic research consortium and African growth and development policy modeling consortium networks.

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Papers by François Joseph CABRAL

L’impact du Covid-19 sur l’économie Sénégalaise : une perspective de genre (The Impact of Covid-19 on the Senegalese Economy: A Gender Perspective)

Social Science Research Network, 2021

French Abstract:A l’instar des autres pays africain, le Sénégal a été frappé par le Covid-19 et a... more French Abstract:A l’instar des autres pays africain, le Sénégal a été frappé par le Covid-19 et a mis en place des mesures visant à’endiguer l’épidémie. Ces mesures impactent différemment les hommes et les femmes. Afin de capter leurs effets sur le travail des femmes, nous développons un modèle d’équilibre général calculable couplé à un module de micro-simulation. Les résultats montrent que l’économie Sénégalaise souffre de ces mesures avec une diminution du PIB de 5.38% dans le scénario modéré. En termes d’emplois, le secteur informel est davantage touché que le secteur formel dont certaines entreprises bénéficient de l’augmentation de la demande étrangère pour certains produits agricoles. Les travailleurs non qualifiés sont les plus impactés par la crise. Bien qu’elles soient fortement affectées, les femmes sont relativement moins touchées que les hommes. Cette situation s’explique par la forte présence des femmes dans les secteurs agricoles, positivement affectés par l’augmentation de la demande étrangère.English Abstract:Like other African countries, Senegal has been hit by Covid-19 and has put in place measures to contain the epidemic. These measures impact men and women differently. To capture their effects on women's work, we use a computable general equi librium model coupled with a microsimulation module. The results show that the Senegalese economy suffers from these measures with a decrease in GDP of 5.38% in the moderate scenario. In terms of employment, the informal sector is more affected than the formal sector, from which some businesses benefit from the increase in foreign demand for certain agricultural products. Unskilled workers are the most affected by the crisis. Although they are strongly affected, women are relatively less affected than men. This is due to the strong presence of women in agricultural sectors, which are positively affected by the increase in foreign demand.

Les Sénégalais Approuvent la Réponse Gouvernementale à la Pandémie de COVID-19 mais Restent Sceptiques vis-à-vis des Vaccins / Senegalese Approve of Government Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic but Remain Sceptical of Vaccines

Al�as pluviom�triques et pauvret� dans les �conomies du Sahel : le cas du S�n�gal

InsÃ©curitÃ© alimentaire en milieu urbain et rural au SÃ©nÃ©gal : les mÃªmes causes crÃ©ent-elles les mÃªmes effets ?

La strat�gie de croissance acc�l�r�e du S�n�gal est t-elle pro-pauvre

Politiques Commerciales, Inttgration RRgionale, Pauvrett Et Distribution De Revenus AU SSnngal (Trade Policies, Regional Integration, Poverty and Income Distribution in Senegal)

Social Science Research Network, 2007

Dans le cadre de l'integration economique sous-regionale conduite par l'UEMOA, le Senegal... more Dans le cadre de l'integration economique sous-regionale conduite par l'UEMOA, le Senegal a adopte depuis janvier 2002 l'instauration d'un tarif exterieur commun (TEC) et l'harmonisation de la fiscalite. Ces mesures ont fortement reduit la protection de son economie (baisse de 50% des droits de douane) et renforce sa fiscalite interieure. Ces reformes commerciales provoquent d'importants effets d'equilibre general. Nous evaluons dans ce papier, l'impact de scenario de liberalisation des echanges au Senegal sur le bien-etre des menages ruraux et urbains. Il ressort des resultats que dans la mise en oeuvre du TEC, le Gouvernement a davantage privilegie l'amelioration des finances publiques par rapport aux effets negatifs qu'aurait une plus forte TVA sur la repartition des revenus et le bien-etre des menages. Cet arbitrage s'inscrit ainsi dans la tradition des politiques de stabilisation et d'ajustement interne qui ont toujours ete marquees par la primaute de la restauration des finances publiques sur l'amelioration de la competitivite et la relance de la croissance economique / Since January 2002, within the framework of the sub-regional economic integration process of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU), Senegal has adopted a Common External Tariff (CET) and harmonization of the tax system. These measures have considerably reduced the protection of its economy (50% reduction in customs duties) and consolidated its domestic tax system. This paper assesses, using a computable general equilibrium model, the impact on the well-being of both rural and urban households of trade liberalization scenarios in Senegal. Results show that Government has given more priority to fiscal consolidation than to the potential negative effects of a higher VAT on income distribution and the well-being of households. This arbitration is line with the spirit of local stabilization and ajdustment policies, which have always been characterized by primacy of fiscal rehabilitation over improvements in the competitiveness of the economy.

Agricultural Transformation in Senegal: Impacts of an Integrated Program

Social Science Research Network, 2017

This paper evaluates the impact of an agriculture transformation program on poverty, migration, f... more This paper evaluates the impact of an agriculture transformation program on poverty, migration, food security and agricultural revenue. We used Inverse Propensity Score Matching (IPSM) techniques, to correct the selection bias arising from the non-randomness of the allocation of farmers to the treatment. The results find that ANIDA farms are better equipped with irrigation technologies, and so, appear more resilient to climatic events such as droughts. They spent $2,905 USD per hectare on inputs and produced 10,526 kg per worker more than traditional farmers. The intention to migrate, the depth and severity of poverty are significantly below those of beneficiaries' households. The ANIDA program is a model that should be promoted in all municipalities of the country, in order to modernize the agricultural sector. The analysis is limited by the fact that the non-compliance rate of the program is high and needs more investigation to better understand the underlying factors.

François Joseph CABRAL

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