Papers by Armen Grigoryan
The conflicts that originated with the collapse of the Soviet Union are often named “intractable”... more The conflicts that originated with the collapse of the Soviet Union are often named “intractable” in academic and analytic literature. Indeed, the conflicts in the South Caucasus are nearing their thirty-year “anniversary” without a solution in sight. Violence in Ukraine erupted much later, but the conflicts there quickly repeated the trajectory of the conflicts in the South Caucasus “catching up” in the number of the displaced as well as the isolation and alienation of the breakaway regions that make reintegration and reconciliation incredibly difficult.
The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2015
IntroductionJust six weeks after finalising negotiations on the EU-Armenia Association Agreement ... more IntroductionJust six weeks after finalising negotiations on the EU-Armenia Association Agreement and the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA), Armenia changed direction abruptly. Immediately after negotiations with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on 3 September 2013, President Serzh Sargsyan announced that Armenia would join the Russia-led Customs Union, and later on the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU).Official statements made before had not indicated the likelihood of such a policy turn. Back in April 2012, Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan had told the Russian newspaper Kommersant why Armenia would not join the Customs Union: "In global practice there is no example of a country joining a customs union without having a common border. ... We would only get into trouble with higher tariffs and taxes. It is not reasonable from the economic point of view. ... The Customs Union does not provide any functional instruments for our economic players. Therefore, it ...
EURINT, 2016
The paper examines how the cooperation with the EU has been influencing public sector, legal and ... more The paper examines how the cooperation with the EU has been influencing public sector, legal and economic reforms in EU’s Eastern neighbourhood by means of engaging the local political elites. The developments in Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine, as well as the situation in Armenia, regarding the perspective for its further participation in the Eastern Partnership (EaP), are reviewed. In order to determine under which conditions the EU can have more influence over the political elites, the paper examines how the degree of commitment to the European norms and, consequently, the pace of reforms, depend on internal political situation and foreign policy priorities, on historical and cultural legacies, or the level of dependence on Russia.
EUROPOLITY. CONTINUITY AND CHANGE IN EUROPEAN GOVERNANCE
While unsolved conflicts in the South Caucasus are sometimes labelled "frozen", that is basically... more While unsolved conflicts in the South Caucasus are sometimes labelled "frozen", that is basically a misnomer: there is a volatile situation with a potential for large-scale violence. In addition to the persistent threat for human security, the situation in that part of the EU's periphery may potentially threat oil and gas supply routes and other transportation corridors, particularly between Europe and Central Asia. Furthermore, the situation is additionally complicated by multiple antagonisms between global and regional powers. This article offers a review of the situation taking into consideration the mentioned issues and examining the current security situation in the South Caucasus within a wider regional context. The article also examines Russia's regional interests and the attitudes of other regional actors-Iran and Turkey, and their relations with the South Caucasian countries.
EaP Monthly Bulletin, 2020
The paper examines how the cooperation with the EU has been influencing public sector, legal and ... more The paper examines how the cooperation with the EU has been influencing public sector, legal and economic reforms in EU's Eastern neighbourhood by means of engaging the local political elites. The developments in Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine, as well as the situation in Armenia, regarding the perspective for its further participation in the Eastern Partnership (EaP), are reviewed. In order to determine under which conditions the EU can have more influence over the political elites, the paper examines how the degree of commitment to the European norms and, consequently, the pace of reforms, depend on internal political situation and foreign policy priorities, on historical and cultural legacies, or the level of dependence on Russia.
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Papers by Armen Grigoryan