Trending Topic

PROGRESS

In order to remain on top of the rapid changes in the international environment, the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Ministry of Defence have tasked The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) and the Clingendael Institute to conduct research within the PROGRESS framework, which monitors trends and developments in the international order and presents a risk analysis on the national security of the Netherlands.

Latest PROGRESS Research

Making Russia Fear Escalation Again

Climate Stress and EU Cohesion: Strengthening European Resilience through Climate Adaptation

Lessons from the Jungle for the Zoo: Support Ukraine, Help Ourselves | Key Findings Ukraine Visit

Shields and Spears: Nuclear-Conventional Force Balancing and the European Deterrence Architecture

Assessing Europe’s Resilience and Preparedness in an Era of Strategic Risks

Blinded By Bias: Western Policymakers and Their Perceptions of Russia before 24 February 2022

Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO

From the Euronuke to a Nuclear Weapon Free Zone: Europe’s Options in an Era of Eroding American Extended Deterrence

Guest Paper | Are the West’s Golden Years Over?

Deterring or Spiralling? Emerging Technologies, Strategic Stability, and Prospects for Sino-European Arms Control

In the Shadows of War: The Impact of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine on Criminal Networks in Eastern Europe

Chaos, Orde en Machtspolitiek: HCSS Strategische Monitor 2025

Notitie | Defensieplanning: Van evenwicht naar keuzes

Write-up | Navigating Tomorrow: Global Perspectives on Future Security Trends

Twilight of Atlanticism? America’s shifting approaches to Europe

Far Seas, Hard Choices: Aligning Ambitious European Objectives with Capabilities and Coalitions for the Indo-Pacific

Guest Paper | What divides us? And the impact on democracy and stability

Guest Paper | A Latin American perspective on the key drivers of future international security trends

Write-up | Navigating Tomorrow: Transatlantic Outlooks on the Future Security Landscape and its Implications for the Netherlands

Freedom isn’t Free | A cost-benefit analysis of support for Ukraine

Freedom isn’t free | Een kosten-baten analyse van de steun aan Oekraïne

Strategic Dynamics in the Indo-Pacific: Partnership for Maintaining Inclusive and Stable Maritime Region

Debating EU Enhanced Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific: From Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) to Coordinated Maritime Presence (CMP)

Strategic Communication in the Indo-Pacific: Signalling EU Naval Commitment to the Region

Mixed Messages and the EU’s Indo-Pacific Strategy

De Strategische Monitor 2023 | Barsten en Blokken: Confrontatie en Samenwerking in een Wereld van Wisselende Coalities

Campagnes tegen hybride dreigingen: een handleiding

Germany’s Zeitenwende and the consequences for German-Dutch defence cooperation

Getting Them On Board: Partners and Avenues for European Engagement in Indo-Pacific Maritime Security

What the Indo-Pacific means to Europe: trade value, chokepoints, and security risks

Ukraine’s Counter-Hybrid Campaigns in Cyberspace

Campaigning in the Grey Zone: Towards a Systems Approach to countering Hybrid Threats

Moldova’s Response to Hybrid Attacks: A learning-by-doing Strategy

Why should Europe guard the Indo-Pacific maritime commons: Order, Access, or US hegemony?

Pathways to Disaster: Russia’s War against Ukraine and the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation

A Man-of-War is the Best Ambassador: European Naval Deployments as Costly and Useful Diplomatic Signals

Nederland en Maritieme Veiligheid in de Indo-Pacific regio: van principes naar uitvoerbaar beleid

Good Fear, Bad Fear: How European defence investments could be leveraged to restart arms control negotiations with Russia

Analysis of and Recommendations for European Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific Region

Ten Guidelines for Dealing with Hybrid Threats: A Policy Response Framework

The French Strategy for the Indo-Pacific and the issue of European cooperation

Dancing In The Dark: The Seven Sins of Deterrence Assessment

The EU’s Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific: What Is It Worth?

Towards a Sustainable and Meaningful European Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific Region: A Southeast Asian Perspective

Arms Control and Deterrence: The Euromissiles, Then and Now

Nuclear Command and Control and Strategic Stability

Tailored, tokenistic, or too much? Assessing the Royal Navy’s presence in the Indo-Pacific

Future European Contributions to Arms Control: Compete to Negotiate

Emerging Disruptive Technologies in an Era of Great Power Competition

Not one without the other: realigning deterrence and arms control in a European quest for strategic stability

Position Paper: Chips, kritieke grondstoffen en Nederlands-Europese economische veiligheid

Reaching breaking point: The semiconductor and critical raw material ecosystem at a time of great power rivalry

Wars to come, Europeans to act | A multimethod foresight study into Europe’s military future

The Promises and Perils of a Minimum Cyber Deterrence Posture: Considerations for Small and Middle Powers

Strategic Monitor 2021-2022 | Hanging Together: Partners and Policies for the Netherlands and EU in Turbulent Times

Guarding the Maritime Commons | What role for Europe in the Indo-Pacific

Multilateralizing Maritime Security in the Indo-Pacific: How Europe can contribute to regional deterrence

It started with a ship… What role for Germany in the Indo Pacific’s security architecture?

Multilateralizing Maritime Cooperation in East Asia: South Korea’s Cautious but Delayed Response

Getting Real about the Indo-Pacific: Redefining European Approach to Maritime Security

Europe’s Role in Promoting US-China Arms Control Cooperation

Guarding the Maritime Commons – Executive Summary

European Engagement in the Maritime Security in Indo-Pacific: a Japanese Perspective

Between AUKUS and the Quad: Scaling European Interest in the Indo-Pacific

Shifting Sands of Strategic Stability: Towards A New Arms Control Agenda

Real and Imagined Challenges to Strategic Stability

Thucydides Lives in Asia: Power Transition Traps Are Real

Hard Times For Arms Control: What Can Be Done?

Climate Security in Global Hotspots: Policy Options for The Netherlands

Strategic Alert: National Security Implications of Quantum Technology and Biotechnology

China’s Military Rise and the Implications for European Security

Red Lines & Baselines: Towards a European Multistakeholder Approach to Counter Disinformation

Taming Techno-Nationalism: A Policy Agenda

Strategic Monitor 2020-2021 : Geopolitical Genesis

Strategische Monitor 2020-2021: Geopolitieke Genesis

Strategic Alert - Space

Strategic Alert: Towards a Space Security Strategy

Strategic Monitor 2020-2021 : Geopolitical Genesis

Strategic Monitor 2020-2021 : Geopolitical Genesis

De Veiligheidsimplicaties van de Pandemie: De Impact van Covid-19 op Europese Veiligheid

De Geopolitieke Gevolgen van de Coronacrisis

Strategic Alert: Space

Gaat de Coronacrisis de wereld veranderen?

A Horizon Scan of Trends and Developments in Hybrid Conflicts set to shape 2020 and beyond

Strategic Monitor 2019 2020

Strategic Monitor 2019-2020 – The Writing on the Wall

What World do we Live in? An Analysis of Global Geodynamic Trends

Methodological Annex: What World do we Live in?

The Evolving Position of the Netherlands in the World

Methodological Note – The Dutch Foreign Relations Index: Version 2

In the Eye of the Beholder? An Assessment of Global Security Perceptions

Hybrid Conflict: Neither war, nor peace

Military Competition in Perspective: Trends in Major Powers’ Postures and Perceptions

Conflict in Cyberspace: Parsing the threats and the state of international order in cyberspace

NATO’s Futures through Russian and Chinese Beholders’ Eyes

Interregnum

International Order EU

Public Goods and Private Tragedies: International Order in the European Periphery

A Balancing Act: the Role of Middle Powers in Contemporary Diplomacy

Political Violence Europe

Political Violence in the European Periphery

Vertical Tensions: Coming Together or Falling Apart? EU Cooperation in Key Policy Areas

Threats, Arms and Conflicts: Taking Stock of Interstate Military Competition in Today’s World

Global Security Pulse October 2018: Political violence in the ring around Europe

Belt Road Initiative Looks East

The Belt and Road Initiative Looks East

Global Security Pulse September 2018: The Crime-Terrorism Nexus

Global Security Pulse July 2018: Vertical tensions

GSP June 2018

Global Security Pulse June 2018: General Security Scan (open scan)

Global Security Pulse May 2018: Migration and Security

GSP Interstate Military Competition

Global Security Pulse April 2018: Interstate military competition

Strategische Monitor 2017-2018

Strategische Monitor: Stilte voor de Storm?

Strategic Alert: Breaking the deadlock – Policy options for dealing with North Korea

UN Peacekeeping More Effective

Progress on UN Peacekeeping reform: HIPPO and beyond

Dutch Foreign Relations Index

Monthly alert: Dutch Foreign Relations Index

India Great power

Strategic Alert: Is India Catching Great Power Assertivitis?

Geopolitics 2017

Monthly alert: The changing international order: Geodynamics in 2017

Rise of Populist Parties

The rise of Populist Sovereignism: what it is, where it comes from and what it means for international security and defense

Political Violence Alert

Monthly Alert August 2017 – Political Violence Alert

Other Side of the Coin

Monthly Alert: New Security Threats and Opportunities Alert – The Other Side of the Security Coin

Dutch and EU Security FI

Monthly Alert: Vital European and Dutch Security Interests

NATO Strat Alert

Strategic Alert: NATO special meeting of May 25th 2017

NATO Strat Alert

Strategic Alert: NATO special meeting of May 25th 2017 (NL)

StratMon 2017

Strategische Monitors 2017 gepresenteerd

Nationale Veiligheid Rob de Wijk NCTV

Nationaal Veiligheidsprofiel verdient diepgaande discussie door politiek

StratMon 2017

Volatility and Friction in the Age of Disintermediation

Turkey Pivot West

A farewell to the West? Turkey’s possible pivot in the Aftermath of the July 2016 Coup Attempt

Conflict and Cooperation

Conflict and Cooperation

Nowcasting Geodynamic Trends

Nowcasting Geodynamics, Great Powers and Pivoting

Moldova Identity Crisis

A National Identity Crisis? Moldova in flux between East and West

Many Faces Political Violence FI

The Many Faces of Political Violence

Fall of ISIS

The rise and fall of ISIS

The other side of the security coin

Op, neer en zijwaarts. De militaire dimensie van crisismanagement

Great power Assertivitis

Great Power Assertivitis

Better together: towards a new cooperation portfolio for defense

Strategic Monitor 2015 2016

Strategic Monitor: The Wheel of Fortune (NL)

Strategic Monitor 2015 2016

Strategic Monitor: The Wheel of Fortune

Back to the Brink

Back to the Brink (NL)

Back to the Brink

Back to the Brink

Individual Emmpowerment

Si vis pacem, para utique pacem: individual empowerment, societal resilience and the armed forces

Epidemics and Strategic Timing

Epidemics and Strategic Timing

Epidemics and Strategic Timing

Epidemics and Strategic Timing (NL)

Pushing the Boundaries

Pushing the Boundaries

Pushing the Boundaries

Pushing the Boundaries (NL)

Barbarism and Religion: The Return of Holy Violence

Barbarism and Religion: The Return of Holy Violence (NL)

Assertiveness to aggression

From Assertiveness to Aggression: Russian Foreign and Security Policy

Assertiveness to aggression

From Assertiveness to Aggression (NL)

StratMon 2015 Return of Ghosts hoped Past

Strategic Monitor: The Return of Ghosts Hoped Past? (NL)

StratMon 2015 Return of Ghosts hoped Past

Strategic Monitor: The Return of Ghosts Hoped Past?

Strategic Wargaming Division

Pivotal States

Why are Pivot States so Pivotal? The Role of Pivot States in Regional and Global Security

Balancing on the brink: Vulnerability of states in the Middle East and North Africa

stratMon 2014

Strategic Monitor 2014: Four Strategic Challenges

Peace and Conflict Poster

Peace and Conflict Across Time

De Toekomst in alle Staten

Taking the high ground. Toekomstvisie Luchtwapen 2015-2025

Taking Care of our Health. Research Tackling Europe’s Grand Challenge of Future Health Issues

Op weg naar een Grondstoffenstrategie

De Strategische Functie ‘Voorkomen’

Issue Brief No. 8 Violent Non-state Actors: Emerging threat to economic infrastructure

Issue Brief No. 6 Environment Migration: Security Implication of Climate Change

The Role of Small Powers in the Outbreak of Great Power War

Resource Scarcity in the 21st century: Conflict or Cooperation

Can NATO’s solidarity crisis be fixed: Results and Recommendations of the New Horizons Study

Crisisbeheersingsoperaties in fragiele staten, de noodzaak van een samenhangende aanpak

Operations Research Support to Force and Operations Planning in the New Security Environment

Strategic Monitor

The Strategic Monitor monitors trends and developments in the international order and presents a risk analysis on the national security of the Netherlands.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

StratMon 2021

PROGRESS Publications Library

Making Russia Fear Escalation Again

Climate Stress and EU Cohesion: Strengthening European Resilience through Climate Adaptation

Lessons from the Jungle for the Zoo: Support Ukraine, Help Ourselves | Key Findings Ukraine Visit

Shields and Spears: Nuclear-Conventional Force Balancing and the European Deterrence Architecture

Assessing Europe’s Resilience and Preparedness in an Era of Strategic Risks

Blinded By Bias: Western Policymakers and Their Perceptions of Russia before 24 February 2022

Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO

From the Euronuke to a Nuclear Weapon Free Zone: Europe’s Options in an Era of Eroding American Extended Deterrence

Guest Paper | Are the West’s Golden Years Over?

Deterring or Spiralling? Emerging Technologies, Strategic Stability, and Prospects for Sino-European Arms Control

In the Shadows of War: The Impact of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine on Criminal Networks in Eastern Europe

Chaos, Orde en Machtspolitiek: HCSS Strategische Monitor 2025

Notitie | Defensieplanning: Van evenwicht naar keuzes

Write-up | Navigating Tomorrow: Global Perspectives on Future Security Trends

Twilight of Atlanticism? America’s shifting approaches to Europe

Far Seas, Hard Choices: Aligning Ambitious European Objectives with Capabilities and Coalitions for the Indo-Pacific

Guest Paper | What divides us? And the impact on democracy and stability

Guest Paper | A Latin American perspective on the key drivers of future international security trends

Write-up | Navigating Tomorrow: Transatlantic Outlooks on the Future Security Landscape and its Implications for the Netherlands

Freedom isn’t Free | A cost-benefit analysis of support for Ukraine

Freedom isn’t free | Een kosten-baten analyse van de steun aan Oekraïne

Strategic Dynamics in the Indo-Pacific: Partnership for Maintaining Inclusive and Stable Maritime Region

Debating EU Enhanced Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific: From Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) to Coordinated Maritime Presence (CMP)

Strategic Communication in the Indo-Pacific: Signalling EU Naval Commitment to the Region

Mixed Messages and the EU’s Indo-Pacific Strategy

De Strategische Monitor 2023 | Barsten en Blokken: Confrontatie en Samenwerking in een Wereld van Wisselende Coalities

Campagnes tegen hybride dreigingen: een handleiding

Germany’s Zeitenwende and the consequences for German-Dutch defence cooperation

Getting Them On Board: Partners and Avenues for European Engagement in Indo-Pacific Maritime Security

What the Indo-Pacific means to Europe: trade value, chokepoints, and security risks

GDPR Consent

Your privacy is important to us. Here you can set which consent you are allowing us with regards to the collection of general information, the placing of cookies of the collection of personal information. You can click 'Forget my settings' at the bottom of this form to revoke all given consents.

Privacy policy | Close

Settings

GDPR Consent Settings

Your privacy is important to us. Here you can set which consent you are allowing us with regards to the collection of general information, the placing of cookies of the collection of personal information. You can click 'Forget my settings' at the bottom of this form to revoke all given consents.

Website Statistics

Website statistics collect anonymized information about how the site is used. This information is used to optimize the website and to ensure an optimal user experience.

View details

Functional Cookies

Functional cookies are used to ensure the website works properly and are neccessary to make the site function. These cookies do not collect any personal data.

View details

Forget my settings Deleted!