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Monte carlo simulation for forecasting deadlines

Talk

This repo is code behind the talk here: https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1xCI25Wa2eKsGYf_Qn0wRPcHhGSbaLntb7BU_Cd89wTw/edit?usp=sharing

Running

You'll need python 3.7 and pipenv then run:

pipenv install
pipenv run python predict.py

Example output

Script predicts how long an estimated 19 points of work would take for a team to do:

Distribution

The script considers the following "burn down" charts:

Examples futures considered

About

🧪Sciencing out some better forecasts

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