… freshness

Assessment & Documentation:
- Add docs/GEOPOLITICAL_ASSESSMENT.md with full platform analysis
- Strategic improvement roadmap with prioritized recommendations

Quick Win #1 - Data Freshness (intelligence gaps):
- Add getIntelligenceGaps() and getIntelligenceGapSummary() to data-freshness.ts
- Add human-readable messages explaining what analysts CAN'T see
- Add hasCriticalGaps() for alert integration

Quick Win #2 - Escalation Scores:
- Add escalationScore (1-5), escalationTrend, escalationIndicators to Hotspot type
- Update 11 major hotspots with scores (Sahel, Haiti, Horn of Africa, Moscow,
  Beijing, Kyiv, Taipei, Tehran, Tel Aviv, Pyongyang, Sana'a)

Quick Win #3 - Signal Context ("Why It Matters"):
- Add SIGNAL_CONTEXT with whyItMatters, actionableInsight, confidenceNote
- Add getSignalContext() helper for all 10 signal types
- Explains analytical significance of each signal type

Quick Win #4 - Historical Context:
- Add HistoricalContext interface with lastMajorEvent, precedentCount,
  cyclicalRisk fields
- Add whyItMatters field to Hotspot type
- Update major hotspots with historical precedents and geopolitical significance

Quick Win #5 - Propaganda Risk Flags:
- Add PropagandaRisk type and SourceRiskProfile interface
- Add SOURCE_PROPAGANDA_RISK mapping for state media (Xinhua, TASS, RT, CGTN)
- Add getSourcePropagandaRisk() and isStateAffiliatedSource() helpers
- Flag medium-risk state-affiliated sources (Al Jazeera, France 24, DW, etc.)

PopulationExposure: replace truncated 4-column table with two-line
card layout (full event name + population/radius meta row).
UCDP: move deaths to column #2 (Country → Deaths → Date → Actors).

…ent-layer-visibility

Add smart zoom visibility for dense map layers

… freshness

Assessment & Documentation:
- Add docs/GEOPOLITICAL_ASSESSMENT.md with full platform analysis
- Strategic improvement roadmap with prioritized recommendations

Quick Win koala73#1 - Data Freshness (intelligence gaps):
- Add getIntelligenceGaps() and getIntelligenceGapSummary() to data-freshness.ts
- Add human-readable messages explaining what analysts CAN'T see
- Add hasCriticalGaps() for alert integration

Quick Win koala73#2 - Escalation Scores:
- Add escalationScore (1-5), escalationTrend, escalationIndicators to Hotspot type
- Update 11 major hotspots with scores (Sahel, Haiti, Horn of Africa, Moscow,
  Beijing, Kyiv, Taipei, Tehran, Tel Aviv, Pyongyang, Sana'a)

Quick Win koala73#3 - Signal Context ("Why It Matters"):
- Add SIGNAL_CONTEXT with whyItMatters, actionableInsight, confidenceNote
- Add getSignalContext() helper for all 10 signal types
- Explains analytical significance of each signal type

Quick Win koala73#4 - Historical Context:
- Add HistoricalContext interface with lastMajorEvent, precedentCount,
  cyclicalRisk fields
- Add whyItMatters field to Hotspot type
- Update major hotspots with historical precedents and geopolitical significance

Quick Win koala73#5 - Propaganda Risk Flags:
- Add PropagandaRisk type and SourceRiskProfile interface
- Add SOURCE_PROPAGANDA_RISK mapping for state media (Xinhua, TASS, RT, CGTN)
- Add getSourcePropagandaRisk() and isStateAffiliatedSource() helpers
- Flag medium-risk state-affiliated sources (Al Jazeera, France 24, DW, etc.)

PopulationExposure: replace truncated 4-column table with two-line
card layout (full event name + population/radius meta row).
UCDP: move deaths to column koala73#2 (Country → Deaths → Date → Actors).

…telligence

Add Peru (PE) as a Tier 1 curated country with dedicated feeds covering
news, economy, mining, trade, and politics. Peru is the world's koala73#2 copper
and koala73#2 silver producer, making it critical for commodity and economic
monitoring.

Changes:
- Add PE to CURATED_COUNTRIES with scoring keywords (BCRP, SUNAT, MINEM,
  major mines) and search aliases
- Add PE to TIER1_COUNTRIES and HOTSPOT_COUNTRY_MAP
- Add 12 Peru-specific feeds to latam panel: Gestión, El Comercio, RPP,
  La República, Andina (state news), AP Peru, Reuters Peru, and
  dedicated economy/mining/trade/politics feeds
- Add Peru mining feeds to commodity variant (mining-news, mining-companies)
- Register all Peru sources with proper tiers and types
- Add Peru sources to default enabled latam sources

https://claude.ai/code/session_01T5xiRMmpq3YmynZu5mjhtu

* feat(resilience): add shared statistical utilities

Port the resilience statistics helpers needed for country resilience scoring into server/_shared with a focused test suite.

Refs #2478

Validation:
- npx tsx --test tests/resilience-stats.test.mts
- npm run typecheck:api (fails on upstream main because server/__tests__/entitlement-check.test.ts imports vitest without the dependency in tsconfig.api scope)

* fix(resilience): harden stats utilities from review feedback

- cronbachAlpha: reject jagged rows (unequal row lengths → 0)
- CUSUM: simplify double-normalized slack to constant 0.5
- nrcForecast: use modelError-scaled probability instead of raw delta
- Add boundary test for nrcForecast at exactly 3 values
- Add test for cronbachAlpha jagged row guard

* fix(resilience): fix CUSUM changepoint location and nrcForecast horizon guard

detectChangepoints:
- Track onset index (where accumulation began) instead of detection index
- Reduce CUSUM slack from 0.5 to 0.25 to detect moderate step shifts
- Require onset >= 2 to filter false positives from initial-regime artifacts
- Tighten tests: assert exact count and onset range, add moderate shift case

nrcForecast:
- Return neutral empty result for non-positive horizonDays
- Add test covering horizon=0 and negative values

* fix(resilience): address Greptile review items #2-4

- Rename cronbachAlpha param `items` → `observations` (matches row layout)
- CI fallback uses ±max(5, 10%) so value=0 gets [0, 5] not [0, 0]
- probabilityDown rounds from already-rounded probabilityUp (sum=1 invariant)

* test(resilience): cover zero-value CI floor in short-history fallback

---------

Co-authored-by: Elie Habib <[email protected]>