L'impact de l'inflation sur la
croissance économqie au Maroc
étude économétrique
Sommaire :
Introduction
Chapitre 1 : le cadre théorique de l'inflation et de la croissance
économique
Section 1 : le cadre conceptuel de l'inflation
Section 2 : le cadre conceptuel de la croissance économique
Section 3 : la politique de ciblage de l'inflation
Chapitre 2 : l'inflation et la croissance économique au Maroc
Section 1 : L'inflation et la politique de ciblage d'inflation au Maroc
Section 2 : la croissance économique au Maroc
Section 3 : l’impact de l'inflation sur la croissance économique au Maroc
Chapitre 3 : Etude économétrique de l'impact de l'inflation sur la
croissance économique au Maroc
Section 1 : définition des notions statistiques
Section 2 : Analyse descriptive
Section 3 : Analyse économétrique de l’impact du l'inflation sur la
croissance économique au Maroc
Conclusion
1
…2…3….4….5…..6….7,,,8….9…..10…..11,,,,12….13
1
MEBARKI, Imene, NOUR EL HOUDA et FEKIR, Hamza. CIBLAGE D ’ INFLATION ET PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIQUE : UNE ETUDE EMPIRIQUE. Finance et Finance Internationale. 2019, p. 1-25.
2
ADARAMOLA, Olugbenga Anthony et DADA, Oluwabunmi. Impact of inflation on economic growth:
Evidence from Nigeria. Investment Management and Financial Innovations [en ligne]. 2020, Vol. 17, no 2,
p. 1-13. DOI 10.21511/imfi.17(2).2020.01.
3
NYANDA, patrick geoffroy NKWENKA. Déterminants et effets économiques de l’inflation dans la
CEMAC. Journal of Academic Finance [en ligne]. Juin 2021, Vol. 12, no 1, p. 187-203.
[Consulté le 16 décembre 2021]. DOI 10.5281/zenodo.5052645.
4
NGOC, Bui Hoang. The Asymmetric Effect of Inflation on Economic Growth in Vietnam: Evidence by
Nonlinear ARDL Approach. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business [en ligne]. Février 2020, Vol. 7,
no 2, p. 143-149. [Consulté le 16 décembre 2021]. DOI 10.13106/JAFEB.2020.VOL7.NO2.143.
5
SWEIDAN, Osama D. Does Inflation Harm Economic Growth in Jordan?. An Econometric Analysis for the
Period 1970-2000. International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies. 2004, Vol. 1, no 2,
p. 41-66.
6
EKINCI, Ramazan, TÜZÜN, Osman et CEYLAN, Fatih. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INFLATION AND
ECONOMIC GROWTH: EXPERIENCES OF SOME INFLATION TARGETING COUNTRIES. [s. d.], p. 16.
7
SEN, Binata Rani, RAHMAN, Maznur et HOSSAIN, Mohammad Iqbal. INFLATION AND ECONOMIC
GROWTH IN INDIA AN ECONOMETRIC STUDY. Elixir International Journal. 2018, Vol. 19, no 2, p. 102-110.
8
NDORICIMPA, Arcade. Threshold Effects of Inflation on Economic Growth in Africa: Evidence from a
Dynamic Panel Threshold Regression Approach. [s. d.], p. 38.
9
AYDIN, Celil, ESEN, Ömer et BAYRAK, Metin. Inflation and Economic Growth: A Dynamic Panel
Threshold Analysis for Turkish Republics in Transition Process. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences
[en ligne]. 2016, p. 229,196-205. ISBN 9054289910. DOI 10.1016/[Link].2016.07.129.
10
AHMED, Shamim et MORTAZA, Golam. Inflation and Economic Growth in Bangladesh : 1981-2005.
2005, p. 22.
11
RUTAYISIRE, Musoni J. Threshold Effects in the Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth:
Evidence from Rwanda. African Economic Research consortium. 2015, p. 42.
12
KHOZA, Keorapetse, THEBE, Relebogile et PHIRI, Andrew. NONLINEAR IMPACT OF INFLATION ON
ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SOUTH AFRICA: A SMOOTH TRANSITION REGRESSION (STR) ANALYSIS. 2016, p. 24.
13
DE GREGORIO, José. The effects of inflation on economic growth Lessons from Latin America.
European Economic Review [en ligne]. Avril 1992, Vol. 36, no 2-3, p. 417-425. [Consulté le 29 décembre 2021].
DOI 10.1016/0014-2921(92)90098-H.
Bibliographie :
ADARAMOLA, Olugbenga Anthony et DADA, Oluwabunmi. Impact of inflation on
economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. Investment Management and Financial
Innovations [en ligne]. 2020, Vol. 17, no 2, p. 1-13. DOI 10.21511/imfi.17(2).2020.01
AHMED, Shamim et MORTAZA, Golam. Inflation and Economic Growth in Bangladesh :
1981-2005. 2005, p. 22
AYDIN, Celil, ESEN, Ömer et BAYRAK, Metin. Inflation and Economic Growth: A
Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis for Turkish Republics in Transition Process. Procedia -
Social and Behavioral Sciences [en ligne]. 2016, p. 229,196-205. ISBN 9054289910.
DOI 10.1016/[Link].2016.07.129
DE GREGORIO, José. The effects of inflation on economic growth Lessons from Latin
America. European Economic Review [en ligne]. Avril 1992, Vol. 36, no 2-3, p. 417-425.
[Consulté le 29 décembre 2021]. DOI 10.1016/0014-2921(92)90098-H
EKINCI, Ramazan, TÜZÜN, Osman et CEYLAN, Fatih. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN
INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: EXPERIENCES OF SOME INFLATION TARGETING
COUNTRIES. [s. d.], p. 16
KHOZA, Keorapetse, THEBE, Relebogile et PHIRI, Andrew. NONLINEAR IMPACT OF
INFLATION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SOUTH AFRICA: A SMOOTH TRANSITION
REGRESSION (STR) ANALYSIS. 2016, p. 24
MEBARKI, Imene, NOUR EL HOUDA et FEKIR, Hamza. CIBLAGE D ’ INFLATION ET
PERFORMANCE ECONOMIQUE : UNE ETUDE EMPIRIQUE. Finance et Finance Internationale.
2019, p. 1-25
NDORICIMPA, Arcade. Threshold Effects of Inflation on Economic Growth in Africa:
Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Threshold Regression Approach. [s. d.], p. 38
NGOC, Bui Hoang. The Asymmetric Effect of Inflation on Economic Growth in Vietnam:
Evidence by Nonlinear ARDL Approach. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and
Business [en ligne]. Février 2020, Vol. 7, no 2, p. 143-149. [Consulté le 16 décembre 2021].
DOI 10.13106/JAFEB.2020.VOL7.NO2.143
NYANDA, patrick geoffroy NKWENKA. Déterminants et effets économiques de
l’inflation dans la CEMAC. Journal of Academic Finance [en ligne]. Juin 2021, Vol. 12, no 1,
p. 187-203. [Consulté le 16 décembre 2021]. DOI 10.5281/zenodo.5052645
RUTAYISIRE, Musoni J. Threshold Effects in the Relationship between Inflation and
Economic Growth: Evidence from Rwanda. African Economic Research consortium. 2015,
p. 42
SEN, Binata Rani, RAHMAN, Maznur et HOSSAIN, Mohammad Iqbal. INFLATION AND
ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDIA AN ECONOMETRIC STUDY. Elixir International Journal. 2018,
Vol. 19, no 2, p. 102-110
SWEIDAN, Osama D. Does Inflation Harm Economic Growth in Jordan?. An
Econometric Analysis for the Period 1970-2000. International Journal of Applied
Econometrics and Quantitative Studies. 2004, Vol. 1, no 2, p. 41-66
[Link]@[Link]
Mots-Clés :
Test de stationnarité
Politique de ciblage d'inflation
Bibliographie :
ADARAMOLA, Olugbenga Anthony and DADA, Oluwabunmi. Impact of
inflation on economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. Investment Management
and Financial Innovations [en ligne]. 2020, Vol. 17, no. 2, p. 1–13.
DOI 10.21511/imfi.17(2).2020.01
NYANDA, patrick geoffroy NKWENKA. Déterminants et effets économiques
de l’inflation dans la CEMAC. Journal of Academic Finance [en ligne]. Juin 2021,
Vol. 12, no 1, p. 187-203. [Consulté le 16 décembre 2021].
DOI 10.5281/zenodo.5052645
NGOC, Bui Hoang. The Asymmetric Effect of Inflation on Economic Growth
in Vietnam: Evidence by Nonlinear ARDL Approach. The Journal of Asian Finance,
Economics and Business [en ligne]. Février 2020, Vol. 7, no 2, p. 143-149.
[Consulté le 16 décembre 2021]. DOI 10.13106/JAFEB.2020.VOL7.NO2.143
STUDIES, Quantitative. Does Inflation Harm Economic Growth in Jordan?.
An Econometric Analysis for the Period 1970-2000. International Journal of
Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies. 2004, Vol. 1, no 2, p. 41-66
taux de croissance du produit intérieur brut réel
taux de croissance de la masse monétaire
le taux de croissance de la formation brute de capital fixe
le taux d'inflation
EKINCI, Ramazan, TÜZÜN, Osman et CEYLAN, Fatih. THE RELATIONSHIP
BETWEEN INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: EXPERIENCES OF SOME INFLATION
TARGETING COUNTRIES, p. 16
SEN, Binata Rani, RAHMAN, Maznur et HOSSAIN, Mohammad Iqbal.
INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDIA AN ECONOMETRIC STUDY. Elixir
International Journal. 2018, Vol. 19, no 2, p. 102-110
NDORICIMPA, Arcade. Threshold Effects of Inflation on Economic Growth in
Africa: Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Threshold Regression Approach. [s. d.], p. 38
AYDIN, Celil, ESEN, Ömer et BAYRAK, Metin. Inflation and Economic
Growth: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis for Turkish Republics in Transition
Process. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences [en ligne]. 2016, p. 229,196-205.
ISBN 9054289910. DOI 10.1016/[Link].2016.07.129
AHMED, Shamim et MORTAZA, Golam. Inflation and Economic Growth in
Bangladesh : 1981-2005. 2005, p. 22
RUTAYISIRE, Musoni J. Threshold Effects in the Relationship between Inflation
and Economic Growth: Evidence from Rwanda. 2015, p. 42
KHOZA, K, THEBE, R et PHIRI, A. NONLINEAR IMPACT OF INFLATION ON
ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SOUTH AFRICA: A SMOOTH TRANSITION REGRESSION (STR)
ANALYSIS. .
All data has been retrieved from the South African Reserve Bank (SARB)
online database over the period 1960:Q1 to 2016:Q2. The dataset consist of the
percentage change in the real gross domestic product at market prices (gdp);
the percentage change in total consumer prices (), the gross domestic fixed
investment to GDP (inv_gdp), the ratio of M2 money aggregate to GDP
(m2_gdp); the ratio of government expenditure to gdp (gov_gdp) and the real
effective exchange rate (REER).
Problématique : dans quel mesure l'inflation impcat-elle la croissance
économique au Maroc ?
