Construya una base de datos para la República Dominicana con el PIB real y el Consumo Final Real trimestral correspondientes
al periodo 1991-2023 (32Ax4T;T=128), tomando en cuenta los datos de las Cuentas Nacionales por el Método del Gasto (base
2007) que publica el Banco Central. Las variables que se consideran son:PIBR en millones de pesos [Link], en
millones de pesos [Link] pide:
AÑOS TRIMESTRE_ CONSUMO PIB_RD$
C RD$
1991 1 25,592.0 32,009.3
1991 2 51,476.4 62,851.8
1991 3 77,746.6 92,108.5
1991 4 106,609.3 123,551.9
1992 1 29,160.2 35,234.6
1992 2 59,820.5 71,641.6
1992 3 91,324.7 107,195.7
1992 4 127,755.0 145,067.3
1993 1 32,680.5 39,592.3
1993 2 67,020.6 81,138.0
1993 3 102,359.5 121,620.0
1993 4 139,748.2 163,513.0
1994 1 36,567.7 45,175.3
1994 2 74,117.1 91,077.2
1994 3 112,866.3 136,147.3
1994 4 154,719.3 184,769.4
1995 1 42,580.2 52,147.7
1995 2 86,057.6 105,248.5
1995 3 131,199.8 157,811.7
1995 4 178,567.8 214,123.0
1996 1 47,717.5 59,362.9
1996 2 95,244.4 117,344.4
1996 3 144,000.1 174,176.5
1996 4 194,822.1 235,250.3
1997 1 51,830.6 66,586.4
1997 2 108,053.5 136,871.3
1997 3 166,233.8 205,425.2
1997 4 229,020.7 280,362.8
1998 1 60,295.1 79,535.1
1998 2 122,263.5 159,650.0
1998 3 185,508.6 236,002.4
1998 4 252,440.6 318,649.0
1999 1 63,388.9 84,255.1
1999 2 131,001.8 170,922.2
1999 3 201,350.5 257,046.2
1999 4 277,709.3 350,520.1
2000 1 73,834.6 94,447.4
2000 2 151,295.2 189,206.4
2000 3 231,054.5 286,424.9
2000 4 316,263.1 393,303.0
2001 1 79,229.1 104,996.5
2001 2 164,998.1 212,073.1
2001 3 250,088.9 316,567.3
2001 4 341,678.7 427,319.1
2002 1 89,082.1 115,172.2
2002 2 181,557.7 233,564.0
2002 3 277,835.1 350,956.6
2002 4 383,464.8 477,430.2
2003 1 106,579.8 135,172.4
2003 2 224,275.4 278,433.7
2003 3 356,601.7 442,398.9
2003 4 507,505.0 628,611.0
2004 1 170,209.6 221,843.2
2004 2 358,687.4 463,005.7
2004 3 548,796.8 703,897.7
2004 4 734,084.6 935,984.7
2005 1 190,600.1 243,922.4
2005 2 396,657.2 507,764.3
2005 3 624,776.7 787,650.5
2005 4 869,120.2 1,083,445.0
2006 1 231,385.0 300,541.3
2006 2 483,799.4 612,147.5
2006 3 740,601.2 926,875.4
2006 4 1,014,036.4 1,261,399.7
2007 1 255,293.8 346,180.1
2007 2 543,241.5 703,861.2
2007 3 835,203.5 1,067,263.2
2007 4 1,167,780.3 1,458,416.5
2008 1 317,539.1 394,444.4
2008 2 666,012.6 817,988.4
2008 3 1,019,643.5 1,242,691.6
2008 4 1,388,383.2 1,661,642.7
2009 1 335,266.0 416,653.3
2009 2 697,780.9 844,370.8
2009 3 1,062,468.7 1,274,696.3
2009 4 1,475,234.6 1,736,041.1
2010 1 391,607.8 470,015.9
2010 2 810,178.5 963,782.1
2010 3 1,218,909.8 1,454,831.6
2010 4 1,671,213.6 1,983,201.7
2011 1 438,572.3 533,571.1
2011 2 914,053.7 1,080,963.8
2011 3 1,380,524.1 1,622,136.5
2011 4 1,891,710.2 2,210,213.9
2012 1 480,892.2 586,593.9
2012 2 985,307.8 1,180,068.8
2012 3 1,481,562.8 1,758,742.9
2012 4 2,026,361.8 2,386,016.2
2013 1 502,077.5 621,389.1
2013 2 1,042,767.8 1,263,846.9
2013 3 1,586,004.4 1,911,118.9
2013 4 2,190,750.2 2,619,769.7
2014 1 556,555.1 695,676.3
2014 2 1,153,185.6 1,418,925.1
2014 3 1,746,294.5 2,139,099.5
2014 4 2,401,406.5 2,925,665.1
2015 1 600,063.5 763,152.7
2015 2 1,241,124.0 1,552,642.0
2015 3 1,880,779.5 2,340,823.9
2015 4 2,603,176.9 3,205,655.1
2016 1 662,237.7 834,219.8
2016 2 1,363,688.9 1,704,570.4
2016 3 2,052,908.2 2,560,912.7
2016 4 2,817,558.7 3,487,292.5
2017 (p) 1 715,189.5 905,270.3
2017 (p) 2 1,475,122.8 1,845,270.7
2017 (p) 3 2,214,711.3 2,775,789.8
2017 (p) 4 3,056,913.5 3,802,655.8
2018 (p) 1 787,670.3 1,004,665.6
2018 (p) 2 1,631,057.8 2,068,012.2
2018 (p) 3 2,448,721.3 3,107,803.2
2018 (p) 4 3,352,987.6 4,235,846.8
2019 (p) 1 840,464.0 1,089,890.1
2019 (p) 2 1,736,901.1 2,210,167.5
2019 (p) 3 2,612,548.6 3,330,338.6
2019 (p) 4 3,598,132.5 4,562,235.1
2020 (p) 1 897,673.2 1,132,696.6
2020 (p) 2 1,759,296.7 2,088,541.1
2020 (p) 3 2,648,613.4 3,187,753.6
2020 (p) 4 3,668,685.9 4,456,657.4
2021 (p) 1 946,801.9 1,232,208.8
2021 (p) 2 1,948,411.6 2,546,505.4
2021 (p) 3 2,997,127.5 3,861,165.2
2021 (p) 4 4,199,703.9 5,392,714.1
2022 (p) 1 1,086,530.7 1,470,044.6
2022 (p) 2 2,255,646.8 2,991,912.5
2022 (p) 3 3,452,481.4 4,519,253.3
2022 (p) 4 4,809,969.8 6,260,564.0
2023 (p) 1 1,188,677.4 1,587,967.9
2023 (p) 2 2,447,408.8 3,207,044.1
2023 (p) 3 3,708,960.2 4,849,237.9
1. Haz el gráfico de frecuencias de la variable PIBR. Interprete.
El PIB real por el método del gasto en base del 2007 de República Dominicana, en 2022 ha crecido
un 4.9% respecto a 2021. Se trata de una tasa 74 décimas menor que la de dicho año, cuando fue
del 12.3%.Este análisis refleja la fluctuación en el crecimiento de su economía durante el periodo
comprendido entre 1991 y 2023 en el cual presentan cambios potenciales en el valor del PIB real
que oscilan entre los montos menores a 1,083,445 y mayores a 6,137,564.
2. Haz el gráfico de frecuencias de la variable ConsumoR. Interprete.
El consumo real en la República Dominicana, medido en términos constantes de precios del año 2007,
refleja las fluctuaciones en los gastos anuales de la economía durante el período comprendido entre
1991 y 2022. En este lapso, aproximadamente el 28.13% del consumo muestra variaciones que
oscilan entre los montos de 673,600 y 953,500.
3. Escribe la tabla de estadísticos descriptivos de las variables PIBR y ConsumoR. Interpreta los resultados.
Análisis
El PIB promedio es mayor que el consumo promedio, lo que significa que en promedio
se produce más riqueza que se gasta.
La desviación estándar (DS) de los valores del PIB es mayor que la del consumo, lo
que sugiere que el PIB tiende a fluctuar más.
Los valores mínimos y máximos nos dicen que el rango de valores del PIB es más amplio
que el del consumo, lo que muestra que la economía experimenta cambios más drásticos
en la producción de bienes y servicios (PIB) en comparación con el gasto (consumo final).
Haga lo mismo para el logaritmo natural (LN) de cada variable.
. Busca el coeficiente de correlación entre las variables. Interprete.
La relación entre CONSUMORD y PIB_RD es notablemente alta, con un coeficiente de correlación de
0.99900229, lo que indica una fuerte asociación lineal positiva entre ambas variables.
Podemos inferir que existe una correlación significativa entre CONSUMORD y PIB_RD, y que esta relación no es
producto del azar. La elevada correlación sugiere que las variaciones en una de las variables están estrechamente
vinculadas a los cambios en la otra.
5. Realiza un análisis gráfico de la relación existente entre las variables. Interpreta el resultado.
La línea de regresión muestra un ajuste adecuado a los datos, con los puntos ubicados muy cerca de ella. Esto indica una
relación lineal sólida y predecible entre el PIB y el consumo.
Además, el modelo de regresión lineal logra representar y explicar esta relación de manera eficiente, reflejando la estrecha
asociación entre ambas variables.
6. Estima la Función de Consumo para el caso de la República Dominicana, mediante regresión simple.
Interprete.
AÑOS TRIMESTRE_ CONSUMOR PIB_RD$ c pib cpib pib2
C D$
1991 1 25,592.0 32,009.3 -924,779.6 -1156463.22 1,069,473,559,656.94 1,337,407,176,634.76
1991 2 51,476.4 62,851.8 -898,895.2 -1125620.74 1,011,815,026,815.12 1,267,022,049,201.53
1991 3 77,746.6 92,108.5 -872,625.0 -1096364.04 956,714,648,133.36 1,202,014,113,282.82
1991 4 106,609.3 123,551.9 -843,762.3 -1064920.6 898,539,855,691.65 1,134,055,888,278.29
1992 1 29,160.2 35,234.6 -921211.425 -1153237.88 1,062,375,910,952.90 1,329,957,607,060.29
1992 2 59,820.5 71,641.6 -890551.062 -1116830.91 994,594,955,432.16 1,247,311,287,065.49
1992 3 91,324.7 107,195.7 -859046.935 -1081276.8 928,867,518,778.81 1,169,159,513,507.85
1992 4 127,755.0 145,067.3 -822616.599 -1043405.23 858,322,459,808.37 1,088,694,468,223.56
1993 1 32,680.5 39,592.3 -917691.099 -1148880.22 1,054,317,147,544.24 1,319,925,750,076.68
1993 2 67,020.6 81,138.0 -883351.017 -1107334.51 978,165,065,157.99 1,226,189,715,133.84
1993 3 102,359.5 121,620.0 -848012.09 -1066852.55 904,703,862,969.39 1,138,174,370,520.23
1993 4 139,748.2 163,513.0 -810623.399 -1024959.48 830,856,136,789.73 1,050,541,932,812.96
1994 1 36,567.7 45,175.3 -913803.893 -1143297.17 1,044,749,401,317.27 1,307,128,411,054.67
1994 2 74,117.1 91,077.2 -876254.53 -1097395.28 961,597,584,284.38 1,204,276,398,448.37
1994 3 112,866.3 136,147.3 -837505.308 -1052325.16 881,327,906,406.42 1,107,388,241,217.22
1994 4 154,719.3 184,769.4 -795652.299 -1003703.11 798,598,690,505.65 1,007,419,940,934.02
1995 1 42,580.2 52,147.7 -907791.359 -1136324.78 1,031,545,818,895.83 1,291,234,012,420.91
1995 2 86,057.6 105,248.5 -864313.981 -1083223.98 936,245,632,769.90 1,173,374,195,968.34
1995 3 131,199.8 157,811.7 -819171.796 -1030660.79 844,288,247,704.42 1,062,261,656,596.23
1995 4 178,567.8 214,123.0 -771803.799 -974349.546 752,006,681,470.08 949,357,037,637.05
1996 1 47,717.5 59,362.9 -902654.113 -1129109.61 1,019,195,432,214.75 1,274,888,508,736.49
1996 2 95,244.4 117,344.4 -855127.208 -1071128.09 915,950,776,383.18 1,147,315,393,640.03
1996 3 144,000.1 174,176.5 -806371.466 -1014295.96 817,899,324,043.32 1,028,796,303,273.89
1996 4 194,822.1 235,250.3 -755549.499 -953222.178 720,206,539,325.14 908,632,520,468.49
1997 1 51,830.6 66,586.4 -898540.98 -1121886.14 1,008,060,671,723.45 1,258,628,510,969.58
1997 2 108,053.5 136,871.3 -842318.141 -1051601.18 885,782,754,115.58 1,105,865,048,312.45
1997 3 166,233.8 205,425.2 -784137.846 -983047.327 770,844,613,016.75 966,382,046,627.44
1997 4 229,020.7 280,362.8 -721350.899 -908109.685 655,065,737,748.47 824,663,199,322.20
1998 1 60,295.1 79,535.1 -890076.517 -1108937.42 987,039,154,286.57 1,229,742,197,553.70
1998 2 122,263.5 159,650.0 -828108.091 -1028822.51 851,976,248,300.47 1,058,475,765,515.42
1998 3 185,508.6 236,002.4 -764862.97 -952470.078 728,509,092,339.25 907,199,249,162.82
1998 4 252,440.6 318,649.0 -697930.999 -869823.518 607,076,797,078.80 756,592,952,150.35
1999 1 63,388.9 84,255.1 -886982.685 -1104217.37 979,421,683,763.60 1,219,295,991,778.17
1999 2 131,001.8 170,922.2 -819369.782 -1017550.34 833,749,998,139.58 1,035,408,688,087.13
1999 3 201,350.5 257,046.2 -749021.058 -931426.303 697,657,914,538.85 867,554,957,469.70
1999 4 277,709.3 350,520.1 -672662.299 -837952.392 563,658,982,575.43 702,164,210,756.33
2000 1 73,834.6 94,447.4 -876536.954 -1094025.07 958,953,400,719.54 1,196,890,849,005.55
2000 2 151,295.2 189,206.4 -799076.373 -999266.147 798,489,968,134.95 998,532,832,138.41
2000 3 231,054.5 286,424.9 -719317.147 -902047.646 648,858,339,113.03 813,689,955,427.45
2000 4 316,263.1 393,303.0 -634108.499 -795169.54 504,223,763,875.67 632,294,597,620.81
2001 1 79,229.1 104,996.5 -871142.538 -1083476.01 943,862,043,865.63 1,173,920,271,247.26
2001 2 164,998.1 212,073.1 -785373.537 -976399.398 766,838,248,655.33 953,355,784,978.81
2001 3 250,088.9 316,567.3 -700282.741 -871905.251 610,580,198,551.01 760,218,765,990.54
2001 4 341,678.7 427,319.1 -608692.899 -761153.442 463,308,695,627.64 579,354,562,620.04
2002 1 89,082.1 115,172.2 -861289.454 -1073300.33 924,422,253,883.62 1,151,973,593,842.86
2002 2 181,557.7 233,564.0 -768813.939 -954908.539 734,146,995,209.92 911,850,316,993.47
2002 3 277,835.1 350,956.6 -672536.494 -837515.883 563,259,995,701.68 701,432,855,105.73
2002 4 383,464.8 477,430.2 -566906.799 -711042.319 403,094,725,178.02 505,581,179,125.92
2003 1 106,579.8 135,172.4 -843791.841 -1053300.06 888,766,000,345.86 1,109,441,024,769.85
2003 2 224,275.4 278,433.7 -726096.217 -910038.787 660,775,720,949.27 828,170,594,129.59
2003 3 356,601.7 442,398.9 -593769.853 -746073.6 442,996,011,379.30 556,625,816,085.75
2003 4 507,505.0 628,611.0 -442866.599 -559861.469 247,943,944,834.71 313,444,864,300.38
2004 1 170,209.6 221,843.2 -780161.977 -966629.288 754,127,416,782.49 934,372,180,883.15
2004 2 358,687.4 463,005.7 -591684.219 -725466.794 429,247,253,355.96 526,302,069,002.18
2004 3 548,796.8 703,897.7 -401574.8 -484574.826 194,593,038,995.00 234,812,762,433.37
2004 4 734,084.6 935,984.7 -216286.999 -252487.774 54,609,823,025.51 63,750,076,033.28
2005 1 190,600.1 243,922.4 -759771.499 -944550.141 717,642,276,628.33 892,174,969,017.73
2005 2 396,657.2 507,764.3 -553714.411 -680708.195 376,917,937,607.54 463,363,647,221.73
2005 3 624,776.7 787,650.5 -325594.905 -400822.023 130,505,608,527.74 160,658,293,851.15
2005 4 869,120.2 1,083,445.0 -81251.3994 -105027.508 8,533,631,975.97 11,030,777,377.64
2006 1 231,385.0 300,541.3 -718986.597 -887931.241 638,410,661,796.59 788,421,888,909.46
2006 2 483,799.4 612,147.5 -466572.17 -576324.99 268,897,201,317.69 332,150,493,941.69
2006 3 740,601.2 926,875.4 -209770.448 -261597.081 54,875,337,002.31 68,433,032,933.10
2006 4 1,014,036.4 1,261,399.7 63664.80062 72927.159 4,642,893,039.84 5,318,370,525.78
2007 1 255,293.8 346,180.1 -695077.808 -842292.373 585,458,736,422.29 709,456,442,455.55
2007 2 543,241.5 703,861.2 -407130.086 -484611.302 197,299,841,032.14 234,848,114,268.65
2007 3 835,203.5 1,067,263.2 -115168.068 -121209.294 13,959,440,233.34 14,691,692,997.19
2007 4 1,167,780.3 1,458,416.5 217408.695 269944.009 58,688,174,818.45 72,869,768,255.38
2008 1 317,539.1 394,444.4 -632832.521 -794028.114 502,486,813,232.53 630,480,645,612.67
2008 2 666,012.6 817,988.4 -284358.982 -370484.149 105,350,495,687.00 137,258,504,819.81
2008 3 1,019,643.5 1,242,691.6 69271.8933 54219.0713 3,755,857,721.64 2,939,707,692.57
2008 4 1,388,383.2 1,661,642.7 438011.5754 473170.172 207,254,012,419.10 223,890,011,588.91
2009 1 335,266.0 416,653.3 -615105.623 -771819.199 474,750,329,882.89 595,704,876,600.22
2009 2 697,780.9 844,370.8 -252590.748 -344101.685 86,916,902,128.60 118,405,969,818.31
2009 3 1,062,468.7 1,274,696.3 112097.131 86223.7905 9,665,439,536.67 7,434,542,044.79
2009 4 1,475,234.6 1,736,041.1 524863.0266 547568.555 287,398,489,121.84 299,831,322,526.88
2010 1 391,607.8 470,015.9 -558763.823 -718456.56 401,447,533,757.15 516,179,828,440.03
2010 2 810,178.5 963,782.1 -140193.127 -224690.433 31,500,054,340.33 50,485,790,755.38
2010 3 1,218,909.8 1,454,831.6 268538.203 266359.08 71,527,588,783.20 70,947,159,668.49
2010 4 1,671,213.6 1,983,201.7 720842.0304 794729.174 572,874,191,170.13 631,594,459,443.09
2011 1 438,572.3 533,571.1 -511799.291 -654901.421 335,178,083,325.81 428,895,871,623.31
2011 2 914,053.7 1,080,963.8 -36317.9374 -107508.698 3,904,494,173.82 11,558,120,202.52
2011 3 1,380,524.1 1,622,136.5 430152.4684 433663.99 186,541,635,933.15 188,064,456,618.82
2011 4 1,891,710.2 2,210,213.9 941338.569 1021741.43 961,804,611,720.32 1,043,955,541,354.69
2012 1 480,892.2 586,593.9 -469479.411 -601878.588 282,569,604,846.38 362,257,834,262.74
2012 2 985,307.8 1,180,068.8 34936.20334 -8403.6996 (293,593,357.98) 70,622,166.92
2012 3 1,481,562.8 1,758,742.9 531191.2201 570270.407 302,922,633,159.95 325,208,336,844.18
2012 4 2,026,361.8 2,386,016.2 1075990.245 1197543.74 1,288,545,380,434.87 1,434,111,005,340.64
2013 1 502,077.5 621,389.1 -448294.078 -567083.368 254,220,115,263.78 321,583,545,972.31
2013 2 1,042,767.8 1,263,846.9 92396.19825 75374.3932 6,964,307,376.21 5,681,299,149.01
2013 3 1,586,004.4 1,911,118.9 635632.771 722646.416 459,337,743,653.95 522,217,842,030.53
2013 4 2,190,750.2 2,619,769.7 1240378.643 1431297.19 1,775,350,463,365.65 2,048,611,640,201.57
2014 1 556,555.1 695,676.3 -393816.546 -492796.162 194,071,282,363.57 242,848,057,772.66
2014 2 1,153,185.6 1,418,925.1 202813.9965 230452.61 46,739,014,869.23 53,108,405,522.71
2014 3 1,746,294.5 2,139,099.5 795922.903 950627.015 756,625,813,777.94 903,691,722,343.91
2014 4 2,401,406.5 2,925,665.1 1451034.867 1737192.59 2,520,727,024,304.53 3,017,838,106,203.31
2015 1 600,063.5 763,152.7 -350308.138 -425319.818 148,992,993,681.77 180,896,947,539.81
2015 2 1,241,124.0 1,552,642.0 290752.405 364169.494 105,883,156,091.69 132,619,420,062.14
2015 3 1,880,779.5 2,340,823.9 930407.9008 1152351.44 1,072,156,882,271.10 1,327,913,836,434.47
2015 4 2,603,176.9 3,205,655.1 1652805.272 2017182.63 3,334,010,081,092.24 4,069,025,752,984.22
2016 1 662,237.7 834,219.8 -288133.892 -354252.692 102,072,206,902.56 125,494,969,487.06
2016 2 1,363,688.9 1,704,570.4 413317.2719 516097.928 213,312,187,687.22 266,357,071,437.97
2016 3 2,052,908.2 2,560,912.7 1102536.623 1372440.17 1,513,165,552,880.42 1,883,592,027,118.62
2016 4 2,817,558.7 3,487,292.5 1867187.148 2298820 4,292,327,167,607.99 5,284,573,411,382.82
2017 (p) 1 715,189.5 905,270.3 -235182.091 -283202.219 66,604,089,964.16 80,203,496,658.35
2017 (p) 2 1,475,122.8 1,845,270.7 524751.1962 656798.213 344,655,647,841.60 431,383,892,296.39
2017 (p) 3 2,214,711.3 2,775,789.8 1264339.728 1587317.33 2,006,908,355,406.08 2,519,576,291,919.87
2017 (p) 4 3,056,913.5 3,802,655.8 2106541.943 2614183.26 5,506,886,692,547.13 6,833,954,137,090.73
2018 (p) 1 787,670.3 1,004,665.6 -162701.269 -183806.88 29,905,612,576.90 33,784,968,972.26
2018 (p) 2 1,631,057.8 2,068,012.2 680686.2194 879539.731 598,690,574,389.14 773,590,138,684.27
2018 (p) 3 2,448,721.3 3,107,803.2 1498349.748 1919330.72 2,875,828,701,751.70 3,683,830,417,000.38
2018 (p) 4 3,352,987.6 4,235,846.8 2402615.961 3047374.26 7,321,670,032,819.72 9,286,489,870,604.11
2019 (p) 1 840,464.0 1,089,890.1 -109907.622 -98582.3717 10,834,954,063.46 9,718,484,008.21
2019 (p) 2 1,736,901.1 2,210,167.5 786529.4708 1021694.94 803,593,184,054.38 1,043,860,559,747.54
2019 (p) 3 2,612,548.6 3,330,338.6 1662177.046 2141866.05 3,560,160,590,596.98 4,587,590,192,990.05
2019 (p) 4 3,598,132.5 4,562,235.1 2647760.889 3373762.57 8,932,916,574,226.57 11,382,273,859,585.30
2020 (p) 1 897,673.2 1,132,696.6 -52698.385 -55775.9223 2,939,301,028.00 3,110,953,510.61
2020 (p) 2 1,759,296.7 2,088,541.1 808925.1079 900068.582 728,088,074,995.24 810,123,452,783.76
2020 (p) 3 2,648,613.4 3,187,753.6 1698241.829 1999281.13 3,395,262,839,875.86 3,997,125,027,612.42
2020 (p) 4 3,668,685.9 4,456,657.4 2718314.252 3268184.87 8,883,953,504,985.79 10,681,032,332,589.80
2021 (p) 1 946,801.9 1,232,208.8 -3569.65687 43736.2591 (156,123,438.02) 1,912,860,362.94
2021 (p) 2 1,948,411.6 2,546,505.4 998040.018 1358032.89 1,355,371,174,469.34 1,844,253,342,666.21
2021 (p) 3 2,997,127.5 3,861,165.2 2046755.894 2672692.73 5,470,349,601,778.44 7,143,286,441,839.66
2021 (p) 4 4,199,703.9 5,392,714.1 3249332.331 4204241.59 13,660,978,138,708.00 17,675,647,376,598.60
2022 (p) 1 1,086,530.7 1,470,044.6 136159.0926 281572.115 38,338,603,693.14 79,282,855,996.75
2022 (p) 2 2,255,646.8 2,991,912.5 1305275.207 1803440.01 2,353,985,534,041.47 3,252,395,876,726.09
2022 (p) 3 3,452,481.4 4,519,253.3 2502109.756 3330780.8 8,333,979,134,801.14 11,094,100,739,505.30
2022 (p) 4 4,809,969.8 6,260,564.0 3859598.177 5072091.51 19,576,235,147,043.90 25,726,112,286,042.20
2023 (p) 1 1,188,677.4 1,587,967.9 238305.8273 399495.433 95,202,089,727.00 159,596,601,254.05
2023 (p) 2 2,447,408.8 3,207,044.1 1497037.199 2018571.57 3,021,876,728,471.82 4,074,631,179,781.05
2023 (p) 3 3,708,960.2 4,849,237.9 2758588.611 3660765.37 10,098,545,669,005.40 13,401,203,126,953.90
950,371.6 1,188,472.5 0 0 178,875,792,389,896.00 226,679,331,180,238.00
6. Haga lo mismo para el logaritmo natural (LN) de cada variable y compare los
resultados.
Ambos modelos confirman que PIB_RD es un predictor relevante del consumo. La principal
diferencia entre ellos radica en la manera en que se representan las variables y en la interpretación
de los coeficientes. En particular, el coeficiente de l_PIB_RD (0.997664) refleja el cambio
porcentual en el consumo (o en su logaritmo) ante un incremento unitario en el logaritmo de
PIB_RD.