PASO1: ORGANIZAR DATOS

Costos de Venta

Alquiler de Local S/ 1,700.00

Transporte S/ 1,500.00
TOTAL
Salarios S/ 2,000.00
Servicios Basicos S/ 1,300.00
Proveedores S/ 2,500.00 S/ 9,000.00

Costos Administrativos

Pago de servicios
basicos S/ 600.00
Salario de Personal de
oficina S/ 2,100.00 TOTAL
Materiales de oficina
S/ 300.00 S/ 3,000.00

GASTOS OPERATIVOS ###

VENTAS TOTALES, EN UNIDADES, DEL PRODUCTO LEJIA DE 1KG PERIODO 2021-2022
lejia 1kg

VENTAS
AÑO MES
Y(Unidades)

1 960
2 973
3 975
4 982
5 987
6 993
2021
7 1004
8 1012
9 1019
10 1027
11 1030
12 1034
13 1049
14 1053
15 1068
16 1074
17 1078
18 1083
2022
19 1092
20 1105
21 1112
22 1127
23 1136
24 1148

VENTAS T
DUCTO QU
VENTAS TOTALES, EN UNIDADES, DEL PRO-
DUCTO LEJIA DE 1KG PERIODO 2021-2022 1100
1200
1050
1150
1100 1000

1050 950
1000
900
950
900 850
1 2 3 4 5 6
850
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

VENTAS Y(Unidades)
1000
900
950
900 850
1 2 3 4 5 6
850
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

VENTAS Y(Unidades)
 VENTAS TOTALES, EN UNIDADES, DEL PRODUCTO QUITASARRO DE 1KG PERIODO 2021-2022
QUITASARRO 1K

VENTAS
AÑO MES
Y(Unidades)

1 928
2 934
3 946
4 952
5 959
6 966
2021
7 972
8 973
9 981
10 988
11 994
12 999
13 1006
14 1013
15 1018
16 1027
17 1033
18 1039
2022
19 1043
20 1044
21 1047
22 1049
23 1052
24 1064

VENTAS TOTALES, EN UNIDADES, DEL PRO-

DUCTO QUITASARRO DE 1KG PERIODO 2021- VENTAS TOTALES,
2022 DUCTO JABON LIQ
1100 20
950
1050
900
1000
850
950
800

900 750

850 700
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

VENTAS Y(Unidades) VENTA

 800

900 750

850 700
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

VENTAS Y(Unidades) VENTA

 VENTAS TOTALES, EN UNIDADES, DEL PRODUCTO JABON LIQUIDO DE 1KG PERIODO 2021-2022
jabon liquido 1kg

VENTAS
AÑO MES
Y(Unidades)

1 779
2 781
3 787
4 793
5 801
6 803
2021
7 809
8 811
9 820
10 821
11 822
12 828
13 832
14 840
15 849
16 856
17 857
18 862
2022
19 863
20 873
21 875
22 883
23 895
24 909

VENTAS TOTALES, EN UNIDADES, DEL PRO-

DUCTO JABON LIQUIDO DE 1KG PERIODO
2021-2022

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

VENTAS Y(Unidades)
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

VENTAS Y(Unidades)
 Lejía de 1 kg
- Desface 10:
k= 10
n= 24

Dato desfasado Paso 2 Paso 3

Año Mes Ventas Y(t-K) Y(t) - Yprom Y(t-K) - Yprom
1 960 -86.71
2 973 -73.71
3 975 -71.71
4 982 -64.71
5 987 -59.71
6 993 -53.71
2021
7 1004 -42.71
8 1012 -34.71
9 1019 -27.71
10 1027 -19.71
11 1030 960 -16.71 -86.71
12 1034 973 -12.71 -73.71
1 1049 975 2.29 -71.71
2 1053 982 6.29 -64.71
3 1068 987 21.29 -59.71
4 1074 993 27.29 -53.71
5 1078 1004 31.29 -42.71
6 1083 1012 36.29 -34.71
2022
7 1092 1019 45.29 -27.71
8 1105 1027 58.29 -19.71
9 1112 1030 65.29 -16.71
10 1127 1034 80.29 -12.71
11 1136 1049 89.29 2.29
12 1148 1053 101.29 6.29

Promedio = 1046.71 Paso1 Paso 6 Total:

k r
1 0.861992 Análisis de auto
2 0.738302 1.000000
3 0.609605
4 0.493538 0.800000
5 0.377465
6 0.270707 0.600000

0.400000

0.200000
 0.800000

0.600000
7 0.175065
0.400000
8 0.081150
9 -0.012161
0.200000
10 -0.100892
0.000000
1 2 3 4 5

-0.200000
 Lejía de 1 kg

Paso 4 (Paso 2 x Paso 2) Paso 5 (Paso 2 x Paso 3)

(Y(t) - Yprom)2 (Y(t) - Yprom)(Y(t-1) - Yprom)
7518.34
5432.92
5142.09
4187.17
3565.09
2884.59
1824.00
1204.67
767.75
388.42
279.17 1448.75
161.50 936.71
5.25 -164.33
39.59 -407.12
453.34 -1271.29
744.84 -1465.79
979.17 -1336.41
1317.09 -1259.62
2051.34 -1254.96
3397.92 -1148.83
4263.00 -1090.91
6446.75 -1020.37
7973.00 204.63
10260.00 637.29

71,286.96 -7,192.27

r= -0.10089

Análisis de autocorrelación
1.000000

0.800000

0.600000

0.400000

0.200000
0.800000

0.600000

0.400000

0.200000

0.000000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

-0.200000
 Quita sarro 1kg
- Desface 10:
k= 10
n= 24

Dato desfasado Paso 2 Paso 3 Paso 4 (Paso 2 x Paso 2)

Año Mes Ventas Y(t-K) Y(t) - Yprom Y(t-K) - Yprom (Y(t) - Yprom)2
1 928 -73.13 5347.27
2 934 -67.13 4505.77
3 946 -55.13 3038.77
4 952 -49.13 2413.27
5 959 -42.13 1774.52
6 966 -35.13 1233.77
2021
7 972 -29.13 848.27
8 973 -28.13 791.02
9 981 -20.13 405.02
10 988 -13.13 172.27
11 994 928 -7.13 -73.13 50.77
12 999 934 -2.13 -67.13 4.52
1 1006 946 4.88 -55.13 23.77
2 1013 952 11.88 -49.13 141.02
3 1018 959 16.88 -42.13 284.77
4 1027 966 25.88 -35.13 669.52
5 1033 972 31.88 -29.13 1016.02
6 1039 973 37.88 -28.13 1434.52
2022
7 1043 981 41.88 -20.13 1753.52
8 1044 988 42.88 -13.13 1838.27
9 1047 994 45.88 -7.13 2104.52
10 1049 999 47.88 -2.13 2292.02
11 1052 1006 50.88 4.88 2588.27
12 1064 1013 62.88 11.88 3953.27

Promedio = 1001.13 Paso1 Paso 6 Total: 38,684.63

r=

k r
Análisis de autocorrelación
1 0.8671
2 0.7456 1.0000

3 0.6339
0.8000
4 0.5150
5 0.4070
0.6000
6 0.2950
0.4000

0.2000
 0.8000

0.6000

7 0.1852 0.4000
8 0.0713
9 -0.0322 0.2000
10 -0.11997
0.0000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7

-0.2000
 - Desface 10:
k= 10
n= 24

Paso 5 (Paso 2 x Paso 3)

(Y(t) - Yprom)(Y(t-1) - Yprom) Año Mes Ventas
1 779
2 781
3 787
4 793
5 801
6 803
2021
7 809
8 811
9 820
10 821
521.02 11 822
142.64 12 828
-268.73 1 832
-583.36 2 840
-710.86 3 849
-908.86 4 856
-928.36 5 857
-1065.23 6 862
2022
-842.73 7 863
-562.73 8 873
-326.86 9 875
-101.73 10 883
248.02 11 895
746.64 12 909

-4,641.16 Promedio = 835.38

-0.11997

lisis de autocorrelación
k
1
2
3
4
 5
6
7
8
9
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
10
 Jabón líquido 1kg

Dato desfasado Paso 2 Paso 3 Paso 4 (Paso 2 x Paso 2) Paso 5 (Paso 2 x Paso 3)
Y(t-K) Y(t) - Yprom Y(t-K) - Yprom (Y(t) - Yprom)2 (Y(t) - Yprom)(Y(t-1) - Yprom)
-56.38 3178.14
-54.38 2956.64
-48.38 2340.14
-42.38 1795.64
-34.38 1181.64
-32.38 1048.14
-26.38 695.64
-24.38 594.14
-15.38 236.39
-14.38 206.64
779 -13.38 -56.38 178.89 754.02
781 -7.38 -54.38 54.39 401.02
787 -3.38 -48.38 11.39 163.27
793 4.63 -42.38 21.39 -195.98
801 13.63 -34.38 185.64 -468.36
803 20.63 -32.38 425.39 -667.73
809 21.63 -26.38 467.64 -570.36
811 26.63 -24.38 708.89 -648.98
820 27.63 -15.38 763.14 -424.73
821 37.63 -14.38 1415.64 -540.86
822 39.63 -13.38 1570.14 -529.98
828 47.63 -7.38 2268.14 -351.23
832 59.63 -3.38 3555.14 -201.23
840 73.63 4.63 5420.64 340.52

Paso1 Paso 6 Total: 31,279.63 -2,940.66

r= -0.09401

Análisis de autocorrelación
r 1.000000
0.845798
0.706158 0.800000
0.584732
0.477286 0.600000

0.400000

0.200000
 0.800000

0.600000

0.371190
0.400000
0.278169
0.182875
0.200000
0.088472
-0.003757 0.000000
-0.094012 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

-0.200000
11 12
Atenuación exponencial Brown de la Lejía de 1kg

α= 0.5535 2A(t) - A'(t)

Año Mensual t (X) Ventas (Y) A A' a
1 1 960 960 960 960
2 2 973 967.20 963.98 970.41
3 3 975 971.52 968.15 974.88
4 4 982 977.32 973.23 981.41
5 5 987 982.68 978.46 986.90
6 6 993 988.39 983.96 992.83
2021
7 7 1004 997.03 991.19 1002.87
8 8 1012 1005.32 999.01 1011.62
9 9 1019 1012.89 1006.69 1019.09
10 10 1027 1020.70 1014.45 1026.95
11 11 1030 1025.85 1020.76 1030.94
12 12 1034 1030.36 1026.07 1034.65
1 13 1049 1040.68 1034.16 1047.20
2 14 1053 1047.50 1041.54 1053.46
3 15 1068 1058.85 1051.12 1066.57
4 16 1074 1067.23 1060.04 1074.43
5 17 1078 1073.19 1067.32 1079.07
6 18 1083 1078.62 1073.57 1083.67
2022
7 19 1092 1086.03 1080.47 1091.59
8 20 1105 1096.53 1089.36 1103.70
9 21 1112 1105.09 1098.07 1112.12
10 22 1127 1117.22 1108.67 1125.77
11 23 1136 1127.61 1119.15 1136.07
12 24 1148 1138.90 1130.08 1147.71
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

Intervalo de confianza 95%

 t= 2.06866

Mes t Ŷ Lím. Inf. Lím. Sup.

1 25 1158.64 1151.39 1165.89
2 26 1169.57 1162.32 1176.82
3 27 1180.50 1173.24 1187.75
4 28 1191.43 1184.17 1198.68
5 29 1202.35 1195.10 1209.61
6 30 1213.28 1206.03 1220.53
7 31 1224.21 1216.96 1231.46
8 32 1235.14 1227.88 1242.39
9 33 1246.07 1238.81 1253.32
10 34 1256.99 1249.74 1264.25
11 35 1267.92 1260.67 1275.17
12 36 1278.85 1271.60 1286.10
 1.239639735
[α/(1-α)] [A(t)-A'(t)] a + bp
b Ŷ p |e| e2 |e|/Y e/Y
0.0000
3.9827 960.00 1 13.00 169.00 1.34% 1.34%
4.1693 974.39 1 0.61 0.37 0.06% 0.06%
5.0737 979.05 1 2.95 8.72 0.30% 0.30%
5.2314 986.49 1 0.51 0.27 0.05% 0.05%
5.4983 992.13 1 0.87 0.76 0.09% 0.09%
7.2370 998.32 1 5.68 32.21 0.57% 0.57%
7.8174 1010.11 1 1.89 3.59 0.19% 0.19%
7.6827 1019.44 1 0.44 0.19 0.04% -0.04%
7.7530 1026.77 1 0.23 0.05 0.02% 0.02%
6.3109 1034.71 1 4.71 22.16 0.46% -0.46%
5.3154 1037.25 1 3.25 10.56 0.31% -0.31%
8.0839 1039.96 1 9.04 81.66 0.86% 0.86%
7.3847 1055.28 1 2.28 5.21 0.22% -0.22%
9.5783 1060.84 1 7.16 51.27 0.67% 0.67%
8.9194 1076.15 1 2.15 4.63 0.20% -0.20%
7.2809 1083.35 1 5.35 28.60 0.50% -0.50%
6.2555 1086.35 1 3.35 11.20 0.31% -0.31%
6.8919 1089.92 1 2.08 4.31 0.19% 0.19%
8.8900 1098.48 1 6.52 42.54 0.59% 0.59%
8.7093 1112.59 1 0.59 0.35 0.05% -0.05%
10.6005 1120.83 1 6.17 38.11 0.55% 0.55%
10.4872 1136.37 1 0.37 0.14 0.03% -0.03%
10.9281 1146.56 1 1.44 2.07 0.13% 0.13%
1158.64 1 3.51 22.52 4.75 0.34% 0.15%
1169.57 2 DAM ECM RECM EPAM EPM
1180.50 3
1191.43 4
1202.35 5
1213.28 6
1224.21 7
1235.14 8
1246.07 9
1256.99 10
1267.92 11
1278.85 12
DAM ECM EPAM
3.51 22.52 0.34%
Atenuación exponencial Holt del Quita sarro de 1Kg

α= 1β= 0.594121
Año Mensual t (X) Ventas (Y) A T Ŷ
1 1 928 928.00 0
2 2 934 934.00 3.56 928.00
3 3 946 946.00 8.58 937.56
4 4 952 952.00 7.05 954.58
5 5 959 959.00 7.02 959.05
6 6 966 966.00 7.01 966.02
2021
7 7 972 972.00 6.41 973.01
8 8 973 973.00 3.20 978.41
9 9 981 981.00 6.05 976.20
10 10 988 988.00 6.61 987.05
11 11 994 994.00 6.25 994.61
12 12 999 999.00 5.51 1000.25
1 13 1006 1006.00 6.39 1004.51
2 14 1013 1013.00 6.75 1012.39
3 15 1018 1018.00 5.71 1019.75
4 16 1027 1027.00 7.67 1023.71
5 17 1033 1033.00 6.68 1034.67
6 18 1039 1039.00 6.27 1039.68
2022
7 19 1043 1043.00 4.92 1045.27
8 20 1044 1044.00 2.59 1047.92
9 21 1047 1047.00 2.83 1046.59
10 22 1049 1049.00 2.34 1049.83
11 23 1052 1052.00 2.73 1051.34
12 24 1064 1064.00 8.24 1054.73
25 1072.24
26 1080.48
27 1088.71
28 1096.95
29 1105.19
30 1113.43
31 1121.67
32 1129.91
33 1138.14
34 1146.38
35 1154.62
36 1162.86
Intervalo de confianza 95%
t= 2.06866

Mes t Ŷ Lím. Inf. Lím. Sup.

1 25 1072.24 1067.02 1077.45
2 26 1080.48 1075.26 1085.69
3 27 1088.71 1083.50 1093.93
4 28 1096.95 1091.74 1102.17
5 29 1105.19 1099.98 1110.40
6 30 1113.43 1108.22 1118.64
7 31 1121.67 1116.45 1126.88
8 32 1129.91 1124.69 1135.12
9 33 1138.14 1132.93 1143.36
10 34 1146.38 1141.17 1151.59
11 35 1154.62 1149.41 1159.83
12 36 1162.86 1157.64 1168.07
 DAM ECM RECM EPAM EPM DAM ECM
p |e| e2 |e|/Y e/Y 2.52 12.93

1 6.00 36.00 0.64% 0.64%

1 8.44 71.15 0.89% 0.89%
1 2.58 6.64 0.27% -0.27%
1 0.05 0.00 0.00% 0.00%
1 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00%
1 1.01 1.02 0.10% -0.10%
1 5.41 29.26 0.56% -0.56%
1 4.80 23.08 0.49% 0.49%
1 0.95 0.90 0.10% 0.10%
1 0.61 0.38 0.06% -0.06%
1 1.25 1.56 0.13% -0.13%
1 1.49 2.23 0.15% 0.15%
1 0.61 0.37 0.06% 0.06%
1 1.75 3.08 0.17% -0.17%
1 3.29 10.81 0.32% 0.32%
1 1.67 2.77 0.16% -0.16%
1 0.68 0.46 0.07% -0.07%
1 2.27 5.17 0.22% -0.22%
1 3.92 15.39 0.38% -0.38%
1 0.41 0.17 0.04% 0.04%
1 0.83 0.70 0.08% -0.08%
1 0.66 0.44 0.06% 0.06%
1 9.27 85.90 0.87% 0.87%
1 2.52 12.93 3.60 0.25% 0.06%
2 DAM ECM RECM EPAM EPM
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
EPAM
0.25%
Atenuación exponencial Holt del Jabón líquido de 1kg

α= 0.882466 β = 0.597731
Año Mensual t (X) Ventas (Y) A T Ŷ
1 1 779 779.00 0
2 2 781 780.76 1.05 779.00
3 3 787 786.39 3.79 781.82
4 4 793 792.67 5.28 790.18
5 5 801 800.64 6.89 797.94
6 6 803 803.53 4.50 807.53
2021
7 7 809 808.89 5.01 808.03
8 8 811 811.34 3.48 813.90
9 9 820 819.39 6.21 814.82
10 10 821 821.54 3.78 825.60
11 11 822 822.39 2.03 825.33
12 12 828 827.58 3.92 824.42
1 13 832 831.94 4.18 831.50
2 14 840 839.54 6.23 836.12
3 15 849 848.62 7.93 845.77
4 16 856 856.06 7.64 856.55
5 17 857 857.79 4.10 863.70
6 18 862 861.99 4.16 861.89
2022
7 19 863 863.37 2.50 866.15
8 20 873 872.16 6.26 865.87
9 21 875 875.40 4.46 878.42
10 22 883 882.63 6.11 879.86
11 23 895 894.26 9.41 888.74
12 24 909 908.37 12.22 903.68
25 920.59
26 932.82
27 945.04
28 957.26
29 969.48
30 981.70
31 993.92
32 1006.14
33 1018.36
34 1030.58
35 1042.80
36 1055.02
Intervalo de confianza 95%
t= 2.06866

Mes t Ŷ Lím. Inf. Lím. Sup.

1 25 920.59 913.26 927.93
2 26 932.82 925.48 940.15
3 27 945.04 937.70 952.37
4 28 957.26 949.92 964.59
5 29 969.48 962.14 976.81
6 30 981.70 974.36 989.03
7 31 993.92 986.58 1001.25
8 32 1006.14 998.80 1013.47
9 33 1018.36 1011.03 1025.69
10 34 1030.58 1023.25 1037.91
11 35 1042.80 1035.47 1050.13
12 36 1055.02 1047.69 1062.35
 DAM ECM RECM EPAM EPM DAM ECM
p |e| e2 |e|/Y e/Y 3.54 16.11

1 2.00 4.00 0.26% 0.26%

1 5.18 26.83 0.66% 0.66%
1 2.82 7.96 0.36% 0.36%
1 3.06 9.34 0.38% 0.38%
1 4.53 20.51 0.56% -0.56%
1 0.97 0.94 0.12% 0.12%
1 2.90 8.39 0.36% -0.36%
1 5.18 26.80 0.63% 0.63%
1 4.60 21.20 0.56% -0.56%
1 3.33 11.06 0.40% -0.40%
1 3.58 12.81 0.43% 0.43%
1 0.50 0.25 0.06% 0.06%
1 3.88 15.02 0.46% 0.46%
1 3.23 10.42 0.38% 0.38%
1 0.55 0.30 0.06% -0.06%
1 6.70 44.95 0.78% -0.78%
1 0.11 0.01 0.01% 0.01%
1 3.15 9.91 0.36% -0.36%
1 7.13 50.83 0.82% 0.82%
1 3.42 11.72 0.39% -0.39%
1 3.14 9.87 0.36% 0.36%
1 6.26 39.14 0.70% 0.70%
1 5.32 28.33 0.59% 0.59%
1 3.54 16.11 4.01 0.42% 0.12%
2 DAM ECM RECM EPAM EPM
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
EPAM
0.42%
Promedio Móvil Doble del Jabón líquido de 1kg

n= 12 0.18181818

Año Mensual t (X) Ventas (Y) M(t) M'(t) a

1 1 779
2 2 781
3 3 787
4 4 793
5 5 801
6 6 803
2021
7 7 809
8 8 811
9 9 820
10 10 821
11 11 822
12 12 828 804.58
1 13 832 809.00
2 14 840 813.92
3 15 849 819.08
4 16 856 824.33
5 17 857 829.00
6 18 862 833.92
2022
7 19 863 838.42
8 20 873 843.58
9 21 875 848.17
10 22 883 853.33
11 23 895 859.42 831.40 887.44
12 24 909 866.17 836.53 895.81
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

Intervalo de confianza 95%

 t= 2.06866

Mes t Ŷ Lím. Inf. Lím. Sup.

1 25 901.19 867.13 935.26
2 26 906.58 872.52 940.65
3 27 911.97 877.91 946.04
4 28 917.36 883.29 951.43
5 29 922.75 888.68 956.82
6 30 928.14 894.07 962.21
7 31 933.53 899.46 967.59
8 32 938.92 904.85 972.98
9 33 944.31 910.24 978.37
10 34 949.69 915.63 983.76
11 35 955.08 921.02 989.15
12 36 960.47 926.41 994.54
 (A + tp) S DAM ECM RECM EPAM EPM
b Ŷ p |e| e2 |e|/Y e/Y

5.09469696969696
5.38888888888889 892.5322 1 16.47 271.19 1.81% 1.81%
901.19 1 16.47 271.19 16.47 1.81% 1.81%
906.58 2 DAM ECM RECM EPAM EPM
911.97 3
917.36 4
922.75 5
928.14 6
933.53 7
938.92 8
944.31 9
949.69 10
955.08 11
960.47 12
DAM ECM EPAM
16.47 271.19 1.81%
Promedio Móvil Doble del Quita sarro de 1kg

n= 12 0.18181818

Año Mensual t (X) Ventas (Y) M(t) M'(t) a

1 1 928
2 2 934
3 3 946
4 4 952
5 5 959
6 6 966
2021
7 7 972
8 8 973
9 9 981
10 10 988
11 11 994
12 12 999 966.00
1 13 1006 972.50
2 14 1013 979.08
3 15 1018 985.08
4 16 1027 991.33
5 17 1033 997.50
6 18 1039 1003.58
2022
7 19 1043 1009.50
8 20 1044 1015.42
9 21 1047 1020.92
10 22 1049 1026.00
11 23 1052 1030.83 999.81 1061.85
12 24 1064 1036.25 1005.67 1066.83
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

Intervalo de confianza 95%

 t= 2.06866

Mes t Ŷ Lím. Inf. Lím. Sup.

1 25 1072.39 1065.17 1079.62
2 26 1077.95 1070.73 1085.18
3 27 1083.52 1076.29 1090.74
4 28 1089.08 1081.85 1096.30
5 29 1094.64 1087.41 1101.86
6 30 1100.20 1092.97 1107.43
7 31 1105.76 1098.53 1112.99
8 32 1111.32 1104.09 1118.55
9 33 1116.88 1109.65 1124.11
10 34 1122.44 1115.21 1129.67
11 35 1128.00 1120.77 1135.23
12 36 1133.56 1126.33 1140.79
 (A + tp) S DAM ECM RECM EPAM EPM
b Ŷ p |e| e2 |e|/Y e/Y

5.6401515151515
5.56060606060607 1067.4943 1 3.49 12.21 0.33% -0.33%
1072.39 1 3.49 12.21 3.49 0.33% -0.33%
1077.95 2 DAM ECM RECM EPAM EPM
1083.52 3
1089.08 4
1094.64 5
1100.20 6
1105.76 7
1111.32 8
1116.88 9
1122.44 10
1128.00 11
1133.56 12
DAM ECM EPAM
3.49 12.21 0.33%