INFORME N 108-SENAMHI-2008
INFORME METEOROLGICO PREPARADO PARA:
SRES: MUNICIPALIDAD PROVINCIAL DE ESPINAR
ESTACIN: CO YAURI
LATITUD: 1449'01"
LONGITUD: 7033'33"
ALTITUD:
3927
PRECIPITACIN MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm)
AO
ENE
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAY
JUN
1965
22.5
14.4
20.2
15
1966
29.2
24.5
13.2
3.5
10.5
1967
9.5
10.7
18.1
23.7
11.2
1968
20
14.1
23.5
9.5
4.5
13
1969
20.5
19.1
16.4
17
5.5
9.5
1971
16.1
17.8
16
17
2.5
1972
15.8
13.6
12
10.2
1973
29.8
22
23
16.2
8.6
1974
22
19.8
13.8
18
1.4
15.2
1975
17.6
18.6
14.8
10.6
16.4
5.6
1976
14.6
13
11.6
8.4
11.8
14.2
1977
8.6
16
9.6
1.4
6.2
1978
19.2
6.8
6.8
6.2
1970
JUL
AGO
SEP
OCT
NOV
DIC
5.5
8.5
8.5
22.2
5.5
32
8.4
14.4
4.5
4.2
9.2
22.5
10.5
12.5
10.5
19.5
20
17
5.5
19
5.6
10
17
4.3
3.5
17.6
4.6
7.6
8.6
9.4
23.1
1.8
2.5
22.2
15
20.8
15
20.6
8.8
9.4
8.8
5.8
12.6
13.8
11
1.6
10.6
10.2
5.6
9.4
8.2
7.8
1987
26
10.3
10
12.4
1993
34.9
30.7
34
22
5.6
4.2
24.2
39
33.2
1994
26.2
35.8
23
10.9
14.8
12
34
17.4
1995
35.3
25.8
34.2
23.8
2.7
2.8
6.5
27.8
11.7
21.4
1996
23.6
33
24
20.2
8.3
7.1
10.1
6.5
12.6
20.7
1997
30.3
23.2
15.3
13
2.2
11.8
16
20.8
37.2
1998
42.7
28.4
13.2
2.5
1.6
20.6
16.9
15.9
1999
23.8
34.7
24.2
40.4
3.6
13
12
17.9
21.1
2000
26.6
26.1
31.1
11.1
3.5
3.9
6.5
5.7
17
7.4
27.3
2001
24.5
27
30.8
27.1
14.7
3.8
1.5
10.9
10.5
17.4
2002
28.5
31
20.8
9.1
12.6
10.6
14.8
12.9
2003
32.5
24.3
26.2
9.3
3.2
5.5
16.7
5.5
31.5
22.4
2004
50.3
27.8
33
24
1.8
5.3
12
8.8
14.6
26.1
26.8
2005
11.3
35.6
22.5
13.9
1.1
2.6
12.6
8.2
34.4
2006
43.4
23.8
36.4
21.4
3.1
8.8
10
21.7
15.7
19
2007
37
15
16.3
11
2.7
3.4
6.3
13.5
13.7
27.5
2008
27.6
23.2
23.5
1.2
2.3
5.3
22.4
NOTA: ESPACIOS EN BLANCO SIN DATOS
AREQUIPA, 17 DE DICIEMBRE DEL 2008
DATOS DE AOS COMPLETOS
AO
ENE
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AGO
SEP
OCT
NOV
DIC
1965
22.5
14.4
20.2
15
5.5
8.5
8.5
22.2
1966
29.2
24.5
13.2
3.5
10.5
5.5
32
8.4
14.4
1967
9.5
10.7
18.1
23.7
11.2
4.5
4.2
9.2
22.5
10.5
12.5
1968
20
14.1
23.5
9.5
4.5
13
10.5
19.5
20
17
1971
16.1
17.8
16
17
2.5
4.3
3.5
17.6
1972
15.8
1973
29.8
1974
22
1975
17.6
1976
14.6
1977
13.6
12
10.2
22
23
16.2
19.8
13.8
18
18.6
14.8
10.6
13
11.6
8.4
8.6
16
9.6
1993
34.9
30.7
1994
26.2
1995
35.3
1996
4.6
7.6
8.6
9.4
8.6
1.4
15.2
1.8
2.5
20.6
16.4
5.6
11.8
14.2
1.4
6.2
34
22
35.8
23
10.9
14.8
12
25.8
34.2
23.8
2.7
2.8
6.5
23.6
33
24
20.2
8.3
7.1
10.1
1997
30.3
23.2
15.3
13
2.2
11.8
1998
42.7
28.4
13.2
2.5
1.6
1999
23.8
34.7
24.2
40.4
3.6
2000
26.6
26.1
31.1
11.1
3.5
3.9
2001
24.5
27
30.8
27.1
14.7
3.8
2002
28.5
31
20.8
9.1
12.6
2003
32.5
24.3
26.2
9.3
3.2
2004
50.3
27.8
33
24
2005
11.3
35.6
22.5
2006
43.4
23.8
2007
37
15
23.1
22.2
15
20.8
15
8.8
9.4
8.8
5.8
12.6
13.8
11
1.6
10.6
10.2
5.6
9.4
8.2
7.8
5.6
4.2
24.2
39
33.2
34
17.4
27.8
11.7
21.4
6.5
12.6
20.7
16
20.8
37.2
20.6
16.9
15.9
13
12
17.9
21.1
6.5
5.7
17
7.4
27.3
1.5
10.9
10.5
17.4
10.6
14.8
12.9
22.4
5.5
16.7
5.5
31.5
22.4
1.8
5.3
12
8.8
14.6
26.1
26.8
13.9
1.1
2.6
12.6
8.2
34.4
36.4
21.4
3.1
8.8
10
21.7
15.7
19
16.3
11
2.7
3.4
6.3
13.5
13.7
27.5
Pmax 24h
22.50
32.00
23.70
23.50
20.50
19.00
17.80
23.10
29.80
22.00
18.60
14.60
16.00
19.20
26.00
39.00
35.80
35.30
33.00
37.20
42.70
40.40
31.10
30.80
31.00
32.50
50.30
35.60
43.40
37.00
27.60
Pmax 24h
22.50
32.00
23.70
23.50
17.80
23.10
29.80
22.00
18.60
14.60
16.00
39.00
35.80
35.30
33.00
37.20
42.70
40.40
31.10
30.80
31.00
32.50
50.30
35.60
43.40
37.00
Hidrologa
OS DE RETORNO
K
[Link] (mm)
X = 10^Y
-7.11
0.10
0.86
1.20
1.46
1.73
1.89
2.03
2.19
2.29
2.39
0.4581
1.4763
1.5835
1.6324
1.6692
1.7070
1.7302
1.7500
1.7723
1.7869
1.7998
2.87
29.94
38.33
42.89
46.69
50.93
53.72
56.23
59.19
61.21
63.07
LOR EXTREMO, ES LLAMADA TAMBIN VALOR EXTREMO TIPO I (Pag 402 Chow)
NTOS PERIODOS DE RETORNO
[Link] (mm)
MU + Y x Alfa
7.72
28.94
36.97
42.29
47.40
54.00
58.95
63.88
70.39
75.31
80.22
Lluvias mximas (mm/min) .
N de orden
T
aos
Log Pearson Type
III
Gumbel
[Link]
24 horas
11
1.00
2.87
7.72
7.72
10
2.00
29.94
28.94
29.94
5.00
38.33
36.97
38.33
10.00
42.89
42.29
42.89
20.00
46.69
47.40
47.40
50.00
50.93
54.00
54.00
100.00
53.72
58.95
58.95
200.00
56.23
63.88
63.88
500.00
59.19
70.39
70.39
1000.00
61.21
75.31
75.31
2000.00
63.07
80.22
80.22
Intensidades mximas (mm/hora)
N de orden
[Link]
aos
24 horas
11
1.000001
7.72
10
29.94
38.33
10
42.89
20
47.40
50
54.00
100
58.95
200
63.88
500
70.39
1000
75.31
2000
80.22
Lluvias mximas (mm/min) .
Duracin en minutos
15
30
60
120
180
240
2.47
2.93
3.49
4.15
4.59
4.93
9.57
11.38
13.53
16.09
17.80
19.13
12.24
14.56
17.32
20.59
22.79
24.49
13.70
16.30
19.38
23.04
25.50
27.40
15.14
18.01
21.41
25.46
28.18
30.28
17.25
20.52
24.40
29.01
32.11
34.50
18.83
22.40
26.63
31.67
35.05
37.67
20.41
24.27
28.86
34.32
37.99
40.82
22.49
26.74
31.80
37.82
41.85
44.98
24.06
28.61
34.02
40.46
44.78
48.12
25.63
30.48
36.25
43.10
47.70
51.26
Intensidades mximas (mm/hora).
Duracin en minutos
15
30
60
120
180
240
9.90
5.90
3.50
2.10
1.50
1.20
38.30
22.80
13.50
8.00
5.90
4.80
49.00
29.10
17.30
10.30
7.60
6.10
54.80
32.60
19.40
11.50
8.50
6.90
60.60
36.00
21.40
12.70
9.40
7.60
69.00
41.00
24.40
14.50
10.70
8.60
75.30
44.80
26.60
15.80
11.70
9.40
81.60
48.50
28.90
17.20
12.70
10.20
90.00
53.50
31.80
18.90
14.00
11.20
96.20
57.20
34.00
20.20
14.90
12.00
102.50
61.00
36.20
21.60
15.90
12.80
Pd
P24
14
Pd
P24
1440
N de orden (m)
Tr ((n+1)/m)
12.00
6.00
4.00
3.00
2.40
2.00
1.71
1.50
1.33
10
1.20
11
1.09
0.25
Promedio
Desviacion estandar
n
Promedio
Desviacion
estandar (y )
51.7306
21.4684
Valores esperados de y
y
0.9676
alfa ( )
= y /
= - YN/
y = - w/
w = ln(-ln(1 - (m/(N+1))) )
0.045070934
y=
26.204343- w/0.0556834
Prueba de bondad de ajuste
Precipitacin
ordenada de > a
<(mm)
b calculado = ( y - Distribucin emprica Distribucin emprica Distribucin terica P Distribucin terica P
)
P (X<Xm)
P en % (X<Xm)
(X<Xm)
en % (X<Xm)
80.22
1.783814
0.91667
91.67
0.8454
84.5357
75.31
1.562248
0.83333
83.33
0.8109
81.0857
70.39
1.340603
0.75000
75.00
0.7698
76.9751
63.88
1.047334
0.66667
66.67
0.7041
70.4074
58.95
0.825045
0.58333
58.33
0.6452
64.5187
54.00
0.601942
0.50000
50.00
0.5783
57.8251
47.40
0.304216
0.41667
41.67
0.4782
47.8212
42.89
0.101185
0.33333
33.33
0.4050
40.5041
38.33
-0.104549
0.25000
25.00
0.3295
32.9490
29.94
-0.482335
0.16667
16.67
0.1979
19.7928
7.72
-1.483903
0.08333
8.33
0.0122
1.2154
mx.
51.731
21.468
Para :
11.000
c (tabla Smirnov)
n=
1.36/N^0.5 =
mx.
n
mx. < c
Se acepta el reajuste
11.000
Valores esperados de y
YN
0.49960
beta ()
40.64588513
Valores para el clculo de alfa y beta
my
sy
10
0.4967
0.9573
11
0.4996
0.9676
12
0.5039
0.9833
13
0.507
0.9971
14
0.51
1.0095
15
0.5128
1.0206
16
0.5154
1.0306
17
0.5176
1.0396
18
0.5198
0.1048
19
0.5202
1.0544
20
0.5236
1.0628
21
0.5252
1.0696
22
0.5268
1.0754
23
0.5283
1.0811
24
0.5296
1.0864
25
0.5309
1.0915
26
0.532
1.0961
27
0.5332
1.1004
28
0.5343
1.1047
29
0.5353
1.1086
30
0.5362
1.1124
31
0.5371
1.1159
32
0.538
1.1193
33
0.5388
1.1226
34
0.5396
1.1255
35
0.5403
1.1285
36
0.541
1.1313
37
0.5418
1.1339
38
0.5424
1.1363
39
0.543
1.1388
40
0.5436
1.1413
41
0.5442
1.1436
42
0.5448
1.1458
43
0.5453
1.1480
44
0.5458
1.1499
45
0.5463
1.1519
46
0.5468
1.1538
47
0.5473
1.1557
48
0.5477
1.1574
49
0.5481
0.1159
50
0.5485
1.1607
51
0.5489
1.1623
52
0.5493
1.1638
53
0.5497
1.1658
54
0.5501
1.1667
55
0.5504
1.1681
56
0.5508
0.1696
57
0.5511
1.1708
58
0.5515
1.1721
59
0.5518
1.1734
60
0.5521
1.1747
65
0.5535
1.1803
70
0.5548
1.1854
75
0.5559
1.1898
80
0.5569
1.1938
85
0.5578
1.1973
90
0.5586
1.2007
95
0.5593
1.2038
100
0.56
1.2065
Diferencia
DT - DE l
0.071310
0.022477
0.019751
0.037407
0.061854
0.078251
0.061545
0.071708
0.079490
0.031261
0.071180
11.0000
0.410055
0.079490
OK!
= I
La estacin de lluvia ubicada en la zona, no cuenta con registros pluviogrficos que permitan obtener las intensidades mximas. Sin embargo ests pueden ser calculadas a partir de las lluvias mxima
d
Pd P24 h
1440
Donde:
0.25
Pd = precipitacin total (mm)
d = duracin en minutos
P24h = precipitacin mxima en 24 horas (mm)
La intensidad se halla dividiendo la precipitacin Pd entre la duracin. El procedimiento se presenta en los Cuadros N6 y 7.
Las curvas de intensidad-duracin-frecuencia, se han calculado indirectamente, mediante la siguiente relacin:
KTm
I n
t
Donde:
I = Intensidad mxima (mm/h)
K, m, n = factores caractersticos de la zona de estudio
T = perodo de retorno en aos
t = duracin de la precipitacin equivalente al tiempo de concentracin (min)
Si se toman los logaritmos de la ecuacin anterior se obtiene:
Log (I) = Log (K) + m Log (T) -n Log (t)
O bien: Y = a0 + a1 X1 + a2 X2
Donde:
Y = Log (p),
a0 = Log K
X1 = Log (T)
a1 = m
X2 = Log (t)
a2 = -n
Los factores de K, m, n, se obtienen a partir de los datos existentes. El procedimiento seguido se muestra en los Cuadros N8 y N9 y en la Figura N1.
ades mximas. Sin embargo ests pueden ser calculadas a partir de las lluvias mximas en base al modelo de Dick y Peschke (Guevara, 1991). Este modelo permite calcular la lluvia mxima en funcin de la precipitacin mxima en 24 horas. La expresin es
os N6 y 7.
Cuadros N8 y N9 y en la Figura N1.
CLCULO DE PARMETROS DE PRECIPITACIONES MXIMAS
N de
orden
T
aos
15
Duracin (minutos)
60
120
30
180
11
1.00
9.90
5.90
3.50
2.10
1.50
10
2.00
38.30
22.80
13.50
8.00
5.90
5.00
49.00
29.10
17.30
10.30
7.60
10.00
54.80
32.60
19.40
11.50
8.50
20.00
60.60
36.00
21.40
12.70
9.40
50.00
69.00
41.00
24.40
14.50
10.70
100.00
75.30
44.80
26.60
15.80
11.70
200.00
81.60
48.50
28.90
17.20
12.70
500.00
90.00
53.50
31.80
18.90
14.00
1,000.00
96.20
57.20
34.00
20.20
14.90
2,000.00
102.50
61.00
36.20
21.60
15.90
CALCULO DE FORMULA POLINMICA
D
Ln D
Ln T
ln(ln D)) x Ln T
15.000
9.9
2.708050201
9.99999E-07
9.96228E-07
30.000
5.9
3.401197382
9.99999E-07
1.22413E-06
60.000
3.5
4.094344562
9.99999E-07
1.40961E-06
120.000
2.1
4.787491743
9.99999E-07
1.56601E-06
180.000
1.5
5.192956851
9.99999E-07
1.6473E-06
240.000
1.2
5.480638923
9.99999E-07
1.70122E-06
15.000
38.3
2.708050201
0.693147181
0.690533248
30.000
22.8
3.401197382
0.693147181
0.848500553
60.000
13.5
4.094344562
0.693147181
0.977064873
120.000
4.787491743
0.693147181
1.08547308
180.000
5.9
5.192956851
0.693147181
1.141823607
240.000
4.8
5.480638923
0.693147181
1.179197015
15.000
49
2.708050201
1.609437912
1.60336855
30.000
29.1
3.401197382
1.609437912
1.970157274
60.000
17.3
4.094344562
1.609437912
2.268674378
120.000
10.3
4.787491743
1.609437912
2.520390441
180.000
7.6
5.192956851
1.609437912
2.651232313
240.000
6.1
5.480638923
1.609437912
2.738010679
15.000
10
54.8
2.708050201
2.302585093
2.293901798
30.000
10
32.6
3.401197382
2.302585093
2.818657827
60.000
10
19.4
4.094344562
2.302585093
3.245739251
120.000
10
11.5
4.787491743
2.302585093
3.605863521
180.000
10
8.5
5.192956851
2.302585093
3.79305592
240.000
10
6.9
5.480638923
2.302585093
3.917207694
15.000
20
60.6
2.708050201
2.995732274
2.984435046
30.000
20
36
3.401197382
2.995732274
3.667158381
60.000
20
21.4
4.094344562
2.995732274
4.222804124
120.000
20
12.7
4.787491743
2.995732274
4.691336601
180.000
20
9.4
5.192956851
2.995732274
4.934879528
240.000
20
7.6
5.480638923
2.995732274
5.096404709
15.000
50
69
2.708050201
3.912023005
3.897270348
30.000
50
41
3.401197382
3.912023005
4.788815101
60.000
50
24.4
4.094344562
3.912023005
5.514413629
120.000
50
14.5
4.787491743
3.912023005
6.126253962
180.000
50
10.7
5.192956851
3.912023005
6.444288233
240.000
50
8.6
5.480638923
3.912023005
6.655218373
15.000
100
75.3
2.708050201
4.605170186
4.587803596
30.000
100
44.8
3.401197382
4.605170186
5.637315654
60.000
100
26.6
4.094344562
4.605170186
6.491478502
120.000
100
15.8
4.787491743
4.605170186
7.211727042
180.000
100
11.7
5.192956851
4.605170186
7.586111841
240.000
100
9.4
5.480638923
4.605170186
7.834415388
15.000
200
81.6
2.708050201
5.298317367
5.278336845
30.000
200
48.5
3.401197382
5.298317367
6.485816208
60.000
200
28.9
4.094344562
5.298317367
7.468543375
120.000
200
17.2
4.787491743
5.298317367
8.297200123
180.000
200
12.7
5.192956851
5.298317367
8.727935448
240.000
200
10.2
5.480638923
5.298317367
9.013612403
15.000
500
90
2.708050201
6.214608098
6.191172146
30.000
500
53.5
3.401197382
6.214608098
7.607472928
60.000
500
31.8
4.094344562
6.214608098
8.76015288
120.000
500
18.9
4.787491743
6.214608098
9.732117483
180.000
500
14
5.192956851
6.214608098
10.23734415
240.000
500
11.2
5.480638923
6.214608098
10.57242607
15.000
1,000
96.2
2.708050201
6.907755279
6.881705394
30.000
1,000
57.2
3.401197382
6.907755279
8.455973481
60.000
1,000
34
4.094344562
6.907755279
9.737217753
120.000
1,000
20.2
4.787491743
6.907755279
10.81759056
180.000
1,000
14.9
5.192956851
6.907755279
11.37916776
240.000
1,000
12
5.480638923
6.907755279
11.75162308
15.000
2,000
102.5
2.708050201
7.60090246
7.572238643
30.000
2,000
61
3.401197382
7.60090246
9.304474035
60.000
2,000
36.2
4.094344562
7.60090246
10.71428263
120.000
2,000
21.6
4.787491743
7.60090246
11.90306364
180.000
2,000
15.9
5.192956851
7.60090246
12.52099137
240.000
2,000
12.8
5.480638923
7.60090246
12.9308201
CALCULO DE FORMULA USA
D
Ln I
Ln T
Ln D
15.000
1.000
9.900
2.293
0.000
2.708
30.000
1.000
5.900
1.775
0.000
3.401
60.000
1.000
3.500
1.253
0.000
4.094
120.000
1.000
2.100
0.742
0.000
4.787
180.000
1.000
1.500
0.405
0.000
5.193
240.000
1.000
1.200
0.182
0.000
5.481
15.000
2.000
38.300
3.645
0.693
2.708
30.000
2.000
22.800
3.127
0.693
3.401
60.000
2.000
13.500
2.603
0.693
4.094
120.000
2.000
8.000
2.079
0.693
4.787
180.000
2.000
5.900
1.775
0.693
5.193
240.000
2.000
4.800
1.569
0.693
5.481
15.000
5.000
49.000
3.892
1.609
2.708
30.000
5.000
29.100
3.371
1.609
3.401
60.000
5.000
17.300
2.851
1.609
4.094
120.000
5.000
10.300
2.332
1.609
4.787
180.000
5.000
7.600
2.028
1.609
5.193
240.000
5.000
6.100
1.808
1.609
5.481
15.000
10.000
54.800
4.004
2.303
2.708
30.000
10.000
32.600
3.484
2.303
3.401
60.000
10.000
19.400
2.965
2.303
4.094
120.000
10.000
11.500
2.442
2.303
4.787
180.000
10.000
8.500
2.140
2.303
5.193
240.000
10.000
6.900
1.932
2.303
5.481
15.000
20.000
60.600
4.104
2.996
2.708
30.000
20.000
36.000
3.584
2.996
3.401
60.000
20.000
21.400
3.063
2.996
4.094
120.000
20.000
12.700
2.542
2.996
4.787
180.000
20.000
9.400
2.241
2.996
5.193
240.000
20.000
7.600
2.028
2.996
5.481
15.000
50.000
69.000
4.234
3.912
2.708
30.000
50.000
41.000
3.714
3.912
3.401
60.000
50.000
24.400
3.195
3.912
4.094
120.000
50.000
14.500
2.674
3.912
4.787
180.000
50.000
10.700
2.370
3.912
5.193
240.000
50.000
8.600
2.152
3.912
5.481
15.000
100.000
75.300
4.321
4.605
2.708
30.000
100.000
44.800
3.802
4.605
3.401
60.000
100.000
26.600
3.281
4.605
4.094
120.000
100.000
15.800
2.760
4.605
4.787
180.000
100.000
11.700
2.460
4.605
5.193
240.000
100.000
9.400
2.241
4.605
5.481
15.000
200.000
81.600
4.402
5.298
2.708
30.000
200.000
48.500
3.882
5.298
3.401
60.000
200.000
28.900
3.364
5.298
4.094
120.000
200.000
17.200
2.845
5.298
4.787
180.000
200.000
12.700
2.542
5.298
5.193
240.000
200.000
10.200
2.322
5.298
5.481
15.000
500.000
90.000
4.500
6.215
2.708
30.000
500.000
53.500
3.980
6.215
3.401
60.000
500.000
31.800
3.459
6.215
4.094
120.000
500.000
18.900
2.939
6.215
4.787
180.000
500.000
14.000
2.639
6.215
5.193
240.000
500.000
11.200
2.416
6.215
5.481
15.000
1000.000
96.200
4.566
6.908
2.708
30.000
1000.000
57.200
4.047
6.908
3.401
60.000
1000.000
34.000
3.526
6.908
4.094
120.000
1000.000
20.200
3.006
6.908
4.787
180.000
1000.000
14.900
2.701
6.908
5.193
240.000
1000.000
12.000
2.485
6.908
5.481
15.000
2000.000
102.500
4.630
7.601
2.708
30.000
2000.000
61.000
4.111
7.601
3.401
60.000
2000.000
36.200
3.589
7.601
4.094
120.000
2000.000
21.600
3.073
7.601
4.787
180.000
2000.000
15.900
2.766
7.601
5.193
240.000
2000.000
12.800
2.549
7.601
5.481
XIMAS
240
1.20
4.80
6.10
6.90
7.60
8.60
9.40
10.20
11.20
12.00
12.80
Resumen
I cal
20.82
Estadsticas de la regresin
16.26
11.69
7.13
4.46
2.57
27.91
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
0.9755
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.9516
0.9492
5.5351
66.0000
21.15
14.80
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
8.72
5.27
2.86
37.29
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
3 37323.6396 12441.2132
62
1899.4931 30.6369855
65 39223.1327
27.62
18.90
10.83
6.34
3.24
44.38
Intercepcin
Ln D
Ln T
ln(ln D)) x Ln T
Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t
38.6550 5.62314803 6.87426664
(6.5847) 1.28039963 -5.14269637
24.0921 1.61851678 14.8853181
(13.9162) 1.11925797 -12.4334263
32.51
22.00
ECUACION POLINMICA PARA EL CALCULO DE LA INTENSIDAD MAX PARA CUALQUIER D
12.43
7.15
Imax
38.6550
-6.585
x LnD
3.53
51.46
37.40
25.10
14.02
7.96
3.82
60.84
ESTA ES LA MEJOR FORMULA POR TENER MEJOR COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACIN
43.87
29.20
16.13
9.03
4.20
67.93
48.76
32.31
17.72
9.84
4.49
75.02
53.65
35.41
19.31
10.65
4.78
84.39
60.12
39.51
21.42
11.72
5.16
91.48
65.01
42.61
23.01
12.53
5.45
98.57
69.90
45.71
24.61
13.34
5.74
Resumen
I cal
25.13
14.93
8.87
5.27
3.89
3.13
29.21
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
0.93450359
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
0.87329696
R^2 ajustado
0.86927464
Error tpico
0.35346077
Observaciones
66
17.36
10.31
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
6.13
4.52
3.64
35.62
21.17
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
2 54.2497674 27.1248837
63 7.87087433 0.12493451
65 62.1206418
Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t
5.25794731 0.20588244 25.5385904
0.21669552
0.017952
12.070827
-0.7509886 0.04421247 -16.9858989
12.58
7.47
5.51
4.44
Intercepcin
Ln T
Ln D
41.40
24.60
14.62
8.68
192.086792
0.21669552
0.750988603
K
a=
b
6.40
5.16
FORMULA DE USA
0.2167
KT
48.11
28.58
Imax =
0.7510
16.98
10.09
7.44
6.00
58.67
34.86
20.72
12.31
9.08
7.31
68.18
40.51
24.07
14.30
10.55
8.50
79.23
47.08
27.97
16.62
12.26
9.88
96.63
57.42
34.12
20.27
14.95
12.05
112.29
66.72
39.65
23.56
17.37
14.00
130.49
77.54
46.07
27.38
20.19
16.27
F
Valor crtico de F
406.08477 1.0736E-40
Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%
3.5472E-09 27.4145063 49.8955316 27.4145063 49.8955316
2.9401E-06 -9.14418889 -4.02522416 -9.14418889 -4.02522416
3.8657E-22 20.8567681
27.327506 20.8567681
27.327506
1.7135E-18 -16.1535763 -11.6788467 -16.1535763 -11.6788467
AD MAX PARA CUALQUIER DURACIION Y PERODO DE RETORNO
24.092
NTE DE CORRELACIN
x Ln T
-13.916
Ln (ln D) x Ln T
F
Valor crtico de F
217.112814 5.4675E-29
Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%
6.0857E-35 4.84652409 5.66937054 4.84652409 5.66937054
4.8942E-18 0.18082131 0.25256974 0.18082131 0.25256974
3.3401E-25 -0.83934018 -0.66263703 -0.83934018 -0.66263703
CALCULO DE CAUDALES
Frmula Polinmica para el clculo de la Intensidad
Imax =
38.6550
-6.585
x Ln D
24.092
x Ln T
-13.916
Parmetros geomorfol
Progresiva
Longitud (m)
Perodo de
diseo (aos)
Cota terreno
Longitud (m)
Area (km2)
Mayor
A-B
1+120
0+960
160
0.008887
160.00
3,922.93
B-C
0+960
0+844
116
0.008819
115.98
3,914.53
C-D
0+844
0+709
135
0.013143
134.77
3,907.45
D-E
0+709
0+618
92
0.013519
91.68
3,900.35
E-F
0+618
0+532
86
0.015473
85.88
3,899.81
F-G
0+532
0+440
92
0.020901
92.04
3,898.51
G-H
0+440
0+363
76
0.011224
76.47
3,894.48
H-I
0+363
0+277
86
0.010427
86.20
3,894.20
I-J
0+277
0+205
72
0.010807
71.58
3,894.20
J-K
0+205
0+186
19
0.002623
18.96
3,894.20
20
DISEO HIDRAULICO
n=
0.013 (Rugocidad Concreto)
`
CALCULO DE LA SECCIN (FLUJO POR GRAVEDAD-TIPO CANAL)
Progresiva
Longitud (m)
Gasto (M3/seg)
Ag Arri
A-B
B-C
C-D
D-E
E-F
F-G
G-H
1+120
0+960
0+844
0+709
0+618
0+532
0+440
0+960
0+844
0+709
0+618
0+532
0+440
0+363
160
En el tramo
Cota terreno
Ag. Aba
Mayor
0.100
0.100
3,922.93
116
0.10
0.100
0.200
3,914.53
135
0.20
0.150
0.350
3,907.45
92
0.35
0.150
0.500
3,900.35
86
0.50
0.170
0.670
3,899.81
92
0.67
0.240
0.910
3,898.51
76
0.91
0.130
1.040
3,894.48
H-I
I-J
J-K
0+363
0+277
0+205
0+277
0+205
0+186
86
1.04
0.100
1.140
3,894.20
72
1.14
0.110
1.250
3,894.20
19
1.25
0.030
1.280
3,894.20
RESUMEN
Progresiva
1+120
0+960
0+844
0+709
0+618
0+532
0+440
0+363
0+277
0+205
0+960
0+844
0+709
0+618
0+532
0+440
0+363
0+277
0+205
0+186
Longitud (m)
Dimensiones
B
H
160
0.50
0.61
0.31
116
0.50
0.71
0.41
135
0.70
0.72
0.42
92
0.70
0.92
0.62
86
0.70
1.00
0.70
92
0.90
0.92
0.62
76
0.90
0.94
0.64
86
1.00
0.81
0.51
72
1.00
0.92
0.62
19
1.00
0.93
0.63
Ln (ln D) x Ln T
Parmetros geomorfolgicos
Cota terreno
Altura corte
Cota razante
Tiempo de concentracin (min)
Pendiente
Menor
(m/m)
Kirpich
Australiana
1.79
2.34
3,921.14
3,912.19
0.0559
3.02
6.65
3,907.45
2.34
1.71
3,912.19
3,905.74
0.0556
2.22
4.83
3,900.35
1.71
2.44
3,905.74
3,897.91
0.0581
2.64
5.35
3,899.81
2.44
3.47
3,897.91
3,896.34
0.0171
4.57
4.63
3,898.51
3.47
3.65
3,896.34
3,894.86
0.0172
3.02
4.28
3,894.48
3.65
1.12
3,894.86
3,893.36
0.0163
2.12
4.50
3,894.20
1.12
2.22
3,893.36
3,891.98
0.0180
4.77
3.90
3,894.20
2.22
3.70
3,891.98
3,890.50
0.0172
47.92
4.47
3,894.20
3.70
4.93
3,890.50
3,889.27
0.0172
38.67
3.70
3,894.20
4.93
5.25
3,889.27
3,888.95
0.0169
8.34
1.13
Base (b)
Pendiente
3914.530
3914.530
1.79
2.34
3,921.14
3,912.19
0.06
0.50
3,907.45
2.34
1.71
3,912.19
3,905.74
0.06
0.50
3,900.35
1.71
2.44
3,905.74
3,897.91
0.06
0.70
3,899.81
2.44
3.47
3,897.91
3,896.34
0.02
0.70
3,898.51
3.47
3.65
3,896.34
3,894.86
0.02
0.70
3,894.48
3.65
1.12
3,894.86
3,893.36
0.02
0.90
3,894.20
1.12
2.22
3,893.36
3,891.98
0.02
0.90
Cota terreno
Altura corte
Cota razante
Menor
(m)
3,894.20
2.22
3.70
3,891.98
3,890.50
0.02
1.00
3,894.20
3.70
4.93
3,890.50
3,889.27
0.02
1.00
3,894.20
4.93
5.25
3,889.27
3,888.95
0.02
1.00
CANAL RECTANGULAR
MEDIDAS INTERIORES
DIMENSIONES PRACTICAS
B
0.50
0.50
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.90
0.90
1.00
1.00
1.00
H
0.70
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
0.90
0.90
0.80
0.90
0.90
Q= m3/s
C= adimensional
A= km2
i= mm/h
Q = CiA/3.6
Tiempo de concentracin (min)
i
Q= CiA/3.6 (m3/seg)
Tipo de terreno
72.61
0.55
0.100000
Asfaltado
75.35
0.55
0.100000
Asfaltado
6.62
74.25
0.55
0.150000
Asfaltado
20.11
7.43
72.67
0.55
0.150000
Asfaltado
0.40
19.48
6.79
73.89
0.55
0.170000
Asfaltado
0.40
20.39
6.85
73.78
0.55
0.240000
Asfaltado
0.40
18.25
6.83
73.82
0.55
0.130000
Asfaltado
0.40
19.53
18.08
61.71
0.55
0.100000
Asfaltado
0.20
12.95
13.88
64.78
0.55
0.110000
Asfaltado
0.20
6.99
4.17
81.22
0.55
0.030000
Asfaltado
0.40
19.78
7.46
0.40
17.04
6.12
0.40
18.09
0.40
(mm/h)
0.05
1.08
0.04
0.0054966
0.005495
0.156550
0.64
0.41
0.07
1.21
0.06
0.011025
0.011129
0.207245
0.97
0.42
0.13
1.33
0.10
0.018877
0.027123
0.292270
1.20
0.62
0.25
1.56
0.16
0.049671
0.074297
0.436353
1.15
0.70
0.31
1.64
0.19
0.066349
0.100029
0.491777
1.36
0.62
0.37
1.66
0.23
0.092667
0.139156
0.555024
1.64
0.64
0.39
1.68
0.24
0.10
0.15
0.572375
1.82
(m)
Area
Area^(5/3)
(m2)
Velocidad real
0.3131
Y (m)
(m)
Permetro^(2/3)
A^(5/3) / P^(2/3)
tc Promedio
Q n / S^0.5
Hathaway
Rh
(m)
m/seg
0.51
0.33
1.60
0.20
0.1131
0.1131
0.510756
2.23
0.62
0.45
1.71
0.26
0.12
0.18
0.619709
2.02
0.63
0.46
1.72
0.27
0.13
0.19
0.629099
2.03
