Probability 1
Probability 1
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1. At most.
Means from that value given and below.
2. At least.
Means from that value given and above.
3. Either.
Means one or all of the events given.
4. Neither.
Means not one or the other of the two events given.
5. 𝑃(𝐴) = 0
Implies that the event will never occur.
6. 𝑃(𝐴) = 1
Implies that the event will certainly occur.
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1. Two bags A and B contain identical balls except for the colours. Bag A contains 4 red
and 3 white balls while bag B contains 5 red and 4 white balls. If a ball is drawn at
random from each bag, find the probability that both balls are of different colour
(3 marks)
𝑷(𝑨𝑹) + 𝑷(𝑩𝑹) + 𝑷(𝑨𝑾)
+ 𝑷(𝑩𝑾)
𝟒 𝟒 𝟑 𝟓
( × )+( × )
𝟗 𝟕 𝟕 𝟗
𝟏𝟔 𝟓
= +
𝟔𝟑 𝟐𝟏
𝟑𝟏
=
𝟔𝟑
2. A bag contains 10 balls which 3 are red, 5 are white and 2 are green. Another bag
Contains 12 balls of which 4 are red, 3 are white and 5 are green. A bag is chosen at
Random and then a ball chosen at random from the bag. Find the probability that the
Ball so chosen is red. (3 marks)
𝑷(𝑨𝑹) + 𝑷(𝑩𝑹)
𝟏 𝟑 𝟏 𝟒
( × )+( × )
𝟐 𝟏𝟎 𝟐 𝟏𝟐
𝟑 𝟏
+
𝟐𝟎 𝟔
𝟏𝟗
=
𝟔𝟎
3. A science club is made up of 5 boys and 7 girls. The club has 3 officials. Using a tree
diagram or otherwise find the probability that:-
(a)The club official are all boys (2 marks)
𝑷(𝑩𝑩𝑩)
𝟓 𝟒 𝟑
× ×
𝟏𝟐 𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟎
𝟏
=
𝟐𝟐
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(b) More girls than boys are selected as officials (2 marks)
𝑷(𝑭𝑷) 𝒐𝒓 𝑷(𝑭𝑭𝑷)
(𝟎. 𝟒 × 𝟎. 𝟔𝟗) + (𝟎. 𝟒 × 𝟎. 𝟑𝟏 × 𝟎. 𝟕𝟗𝟑𝟓)
= 𝟎. 𝟐𝟕𝟔 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟗𝟖𝟑𝟗𝟒
= 𝟎. 𝟑𝟕𝟒𝟒
5. The ages in years of five boys are 7, 8,9,10 and 11 while those of five girls are 4, 5,
6,7and 8. A boy and a girl are picked at random and the sum of their ages is recorded.
(i) Draw a probability space to show all the possible outcomes. (2 marks)
7 8 9 10 11
4 11 12 13 14 15
5 12 13 14 15 16
6 13 14 15 16 17
7 14 15 16 17 18
8 15 16 17 18 19
(ii) Find the probability that the sum of their ages is at least 17 years (2 marks)
𝟔
𝒑(> 𝟏𝟕) =
𝟐𝟓
6. A bag contains 2 white balls and 3 black balls. A second bag contains 3 white balls
and 2 black balls. The balls are identical except for the colours. Two balls are drawn
at random, one after the other from the first bag and placed in the second bag.
Calculate the probability that the 2 balls are both white. (2 marks)
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7.
(a) Two integers x and y are selected at random from the integers 1 to 8. If the same
integer may be selected twice,
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7
2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6
3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5
4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4
5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3
6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1
8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
𝟑 𝟑 𝟔 𝟔 𝟏𝟐
( + + + )=
𝟔𝟒 𝟔𝟒 𝟔𝟒 𝟔𝟒 𝟔𝟒
𝟑
=
𝟏𝟔
𝟐𝟖
𝒊𝒎𝒑𝒍𝒊𝒆𝒔 𝒑𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒕𝒊𝒗𝒆 𝒗𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆𝒔
𝟔𝟒
𝟕
=
𝟏𝟔
(b) A tetrahedron is biased such that the probability of a face showing up is given by
𝑃(𝑡) = 𝑚𝑡 where m is a constant and t = 1, 2, 3 and 4 (number of the faces). Find
the probability that when the tetrahedron is tossed twice the sum of the faces that
will show up is 7. (3 marks)
𝑷(𝒕) = 𝟏𝒕 + 𝟐𝒕 + 𝟑𝒕 + 𝟒𝒕 = 𝟏
𝟏𝟎𝒕 = 𝟏
𝟏
𝒕=
𝟏𝟎
𝟑 𝟒 𝟒 𝟑 𝟐𝟒
𝑷 (𝒔𝒖𝒎 𝒐𝒇 𝟕) ( × ) + ( × ) =
𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝟔
=
𝟐𝟓
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8. A box contains 3 brown, 9 pink and 15 white clothes pegs. The pegs are except for the
color.
(a) Find the probability of picking:
(i) A brown peg; (1 mark)
𝟑 𝟏
=
𝟐𝟕 𝟗
(ii) A pink or a white peg. (2 marks)
𝟗 𝟏𝟓 𝟐𝟒
( + )=
𝟐𝟕 𝟐𝟕 𝟐𝟕
𝟖
=
𝟗
(b) Two pegs are picked at random, one at a time, without replacement.
Find the probability that:
(i) A white peg and a brown peg are picked; (3 marks)
𝟑 𝟏𝟓 𝟏𝟓 𝟑 𝟓 𝟓
𝑷(𝑩𝑾) + 𝑷(𝑾𝑩) ( × ) + ( × ) = +
𝟐𝟕 𝟐𝟔 𝟐𝟕 𝟐𝟔 𝟕𝟖 𝟕𝟖
𝟓
=
𝟑𝟗
(ii) Both pegs are of the same colour. (4 marks)
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9. The probability of Mary, Esther, and Jane coming to school late to school late on a
1 2 1
Monday are , 𝑎𝑛𝑑 respectively
4 5 3
(a) Draw a probability tree diagram to show the possible outcomes (2 marks)
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1 1
10. The probability that a girl goes to school by bus is and by matatu is 2 .If she uses a
3
1
bus, the probability that she is late to school is 5 and if she uses a matatu the
3
probability that she is late to school is 20. If she uses other means of transport, the
1
probability of being late is 20.
a) Draw a probability tree diagram to represent this information. (3marks)
𝑷(𝑩𝑳) + 𝑷(𝑶𝑳)
𝟏 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏
( × )+( × )
𝟑 𝟓 𝟔 𝟐𝟎
𝟏 𝟏
= +
𝟏𝟓 𝟏𝟐𝟎
𝟑
=
𝟒𝟎
d) What is the probability that she will not be late to school. (2marks)
Sum(x ) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Frequency 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1
𝟏𝟓
𝒑(𝒑𝒓𝒊𝒎𝒆) =
𝟑𝟔
𝟓
=
𝟏𝟐
𝟑𝟓
𝑷(< 𝟏𝟐) =
𝟑𝟔
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12. It has been established that the probabilities of Butere Girls and Lugulu Girls soccer
teams scoring 0, 1, 2, 3 goals against each other are as shown below.
(a) Using a tree diagram or otherwise, show all the possible outcomes. (3 marks)
0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3
0 (𝟎, 𝟎) (𝟎, 𝟏) (𝟎, 𝟐) (𝟎, 𝟑) 0 𝟎. 𝟎𝟔 𝟎. 𝟎𝟔 𝟎. 𝟎𝟔 𝟎. 𝟎𝟐
1 𝟎. 𝟏𝟐 𝟎. 𝟏𝟐 𝟎. 𝟏𝟐 𝟎. 𝟎𝟒
1 (𝟏, 𝟎) (𝟏, 𝟏) (𝟏, 𝟐) (𝟏, 𝟑)
2 𝟎. 𝟎𝟗 𝟎. 𝟎𝟗 𝟎. 𝟎𝟗 𝟎. 𝟎𝟑
2 (𝟐, 𝟎) (𝟐, 𝟏) (𝟐, 𝟐) (𝟐, 𝟑)
3 𝟎. 𝟎𝟑 𝟎. 𝟎𝟑 𝟎. 𝟎𝟑 𝟎. 𝟎𝟏
3 (𝟑, 𝟎) (𝟑, 𝟏) (𝟑, 𝟐) (𝟑, 𝟑)
𝟔𝟎 𝟏𝟎 𝟒𝟎 𝟏𝟕. 𝟓 𝟒𝟎 𝟏𝟕. 𝟓 𝟔𝟎 𝟏𝟎
( × × × )+( × × × )
𝟐𝟎𝟎 𝟏𝟎𝟎 𝟏𝟗𝟗 𝟏𝟎𝟎 𝟐𝟎𝟎 𝟏𝟎𝟎 𝟏𝟗𝟗 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝟐𝟏 𝟐𝟏
= +
𝟏𝟗𝟗𝟎𝟎 𝟏𝟗𝟗𝟎𝟎
𝟐𝟏
=
𝟗𝟗𝟓𝟎
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14. The table below illustrate number of Form 4 students per stream in a certain school.
A 20 20
B 36 25
C 24 12.5
D 30 40
(b) Water supply in a school depends entirely on three pumps; P, Q and R. The
probabilities that three pumps are working at any given time are , and
𝟏 𝟐 𝟏
( × × )
𝟒 𝟕 𝟓
𝟏
=
𝟕𝟎
𝟏 − 𝑷(𝒏𝒐 𝒘𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒓)
𝟏
𝟏−
𝟕𝟎
𝟔𝟗
=
𝟕𝟎
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15. Two bags P and Q contain identical marbles except for the colors. Bag P contains
3Green balls and 4 Red marbles. Bag Q contains 2 Green balls and 3 Red balls.
(a) Find the probability of picking a red marble from bag P. (1 mark)
4
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(b) Two marbles are drawn at random from bag P, one at a time Without replacement.
(i) Draw a tree diagram to show all possible outcomes (1 marks)
(ii) Find the probability that the two marbles picked were of the same color
(2 marks)
𝟑 𝟐 𝟒 𝟑
( × )+( × )
𝟕 𝟔 𝟕 𝟔
𝟏 𝟐
= +
𝟕 𝟕
𝟑
=
𝟕
(iii) Find the probability that at least one red marble was picked
(2 marks)
𝑷(𝑮𝑹)𝒐𝒓 𝑷(𝑹𝑮)𝒐𝒓 𝑷(𝑹𝑹)
𝟑 𝟒 𝟒 𝟑 𝟒 𝟑
( × )+( × )+( × )
𝟕 𝟔 𝟕 𝟔 𝟕 𝟔
𝟐 𝟐 𝟐
= + +
𝟕 𝟕 𝟕
𝟔
=
𝟕
(c) The marbles picked from bag P in (b) above were both put in bag Q. A marble
was then picked at random from bag Q. Calculate the probability that the marble
picked was:
(i) Green in color (3 marks)
𝟏 𝟑 𝟑
× =
𝟐 𝟕 𝟏𝟒
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16. The number x is chosen at random from the set (0,3,6,9) and the number y is chosen
at random from the set (0,2,4,6,8). Calculate the probability of each of the following
separate events.
(i) 𝑥>6 (1 mark)
𝟏
𝟒
(ii) 𝑥 + 𝑦 = 11 (2 marks)
0 2 4 6 8 𝟐
=
0 0 2 4 6 8 𝟐𝟎
3 3 5 7 9 11 𝟏
6 6 8 10 12 14 =
𝟏𝟎
9 9 11 13 15 17
(iv) 𝑥𝑦 = 0 (2 marks)
0 2 4 6 8 𝟖
=
0 0 0 0 0 0 𝟐𝟎
3 0 6 12 18 24 𝟐
6 0 12 24 36 48 =
𝟓
9 0 18 36 54 72
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17. Two soccer teams A and B are to play at the same time
(a) List all the possible outcomes (2 marks)
W D L
W WW WD WL
D DW DD DL
L LW LD LL
(b) In a lottery game, Mbaka wins when the two teams get the same outcome while
Mark wins when only one team wins. Represent this information on a tree
diagram (2 marks)
𝟑
𝑴𝒃𝒂𝒌𝒂 = (𝒘𝒘, 𝒅𝒅, 𝒍𝒍) =
𝟗
𝟒
𝒎𝒂𝒓𝒌 = 𝑾𝑫, 𝑾𝑳, 𝑫𝑾, 𝑳𝑾 =
𝟗
(c) Using the tree diagram in (b) above, find the probability that;-
i) Both Mbaka and Mark win (2 marks)
𝟑 𝟒
( × )
𝟗 𝟗
𝟒
=
𝟐𝟕
𝟏𝟎
𝟏−( )
𝟐𝟕
𝟏𝟕
=
𝟐𝟕
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18. Bag A contains 4 red balls and 5 white balls while bag B contains 6 red balls and 4
white ones.
(a) A bag is picked at random and a ball is picked, find the probability that the ball is
white.
(2 marks)
𝟏 𝟓 𝟏 𝟒
( × )+( × )
𝟐 𝟗 𝟐 𝟏𝟎
𝟓 𝟏
= +
𝟏𝟖 𝟓
𝟒𝟑
=
𝟗𝟎
(b) A ball is removed from A and placed in bag B. Two balls are then picked from B
at random one at a time without replacement; find the probability that the two
balls are of the same colour. (4 marks)
𝟕 𝟔 𝟒 𝟑 𝟒𝟐 𝟏𝟐 𝟓𝟒
( × )+( × )= + =
𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟏𝟎
𝟔 𝟓 𝟓 𝟒 𝟑𝟎 𝟐𝟎 𝟓𝟎
( × )+( × )= + =
𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟏𝟎
𝟓𝟒 𝟓𝟎
+
𝟏𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟏𝟎
𝟏𝟎𝟒
=
𝟏𝟏𝟎
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(c) Three boys and three girls sit in a row of six seats. Find the probability that:-
(i) Three girls sit together. (2 marks)
𝟏 𝟏
+
𝟔 𝟔
𝟐
=
𝟔
𝟏
=
𝟑
(d) A Pentahedron with faces marked 6,5,1,2 and 7 is biased so that when rolled, the
probability of a number t showing up is given by 𝑃(𝑡) = 𝐾(𝑡) where K is a constant
.If the Pentahedron is rolled twice, find the probability that the total score is 8.
(4 marks)
𝟏 = 𝑲 + 𝟐𝒌 + 𝟓𝒌 + 𝟔𝒌 + 𝟕𝒌
𝟏
𝒌=
𝟐𝟏
𝑷(𝟏, 𝟕)𝒐𝒓𝑷(𝟕, 𝟏)
𝟏 𝟕 𝟕 𝟏
( × )+( × )
𝟐𝟏 𝟐𝟏 𝟐𝟏 𝟐𝟏
𝟏 𝟏
= +
𝟔𝟑 𝟔𝟑
𝟐
=
𝟔𝟑