{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,25]],"date-time":"2026-02-25T20:37:42Z","timestamp":1772051862924,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":44,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2017,11,17]],"date-time":"2017-11-17T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1510876800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Asso for Info Science &amp;amp; Tech"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2018,5]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>National governments would like to preside over an expanding and increasingly high\u2010impact science system but are these two goals largely independent or closely linked? This article investigates the relationship between changes in the share of the world's scientific output and changes in relative citation impact for 2.6 million articles from 26 fields in the 25 countries with the most Scopus\u2010indexed journal articles from 1996 to 2015. There is a negative correlation between expansion and relative citation impact, but their relationship varies. China, Spain, Australia, and Poland were successful overall across the 26 fields, expanding both their share of the world's output and its relative citation impact, whereas Japan, France, Sweden, and Israel had decreased shares and relative citation impact. In contrast, the USA, UK, Germany, Italy, Russia, The Netherlands, Switzerland, Finland, and Denmark all enjoyed increased relative citation impact despite a declining share of publications. Finally, India, South Korea, Brazil, Taiwan, and Turkey all experienced sustained expansion but a recent fall in relative citation impact. These results may partly reflect changes in the coverage of Scopus and the selection of fields.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/asi.23969","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2017,11,17]],"date-time":"2017-11-17T01:28:52Z","timestamp":1510882132000},"page":"720-727","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":9,"title":["National scientific performance evolution patterns: Retrenchment, successful expansion, or overextension"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"69","author":[{"given":"Mike","family":"Thelwall","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Statistical Cybermetrics Research Group, School of Mathematics and Computer Science University of Wolverhampton, Wulfruna Street Wolverhampton WV1 1LY UK"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jonathan M.","family":"Levitt","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Statistical Cybermetrics Research Group, School of Mathematics and Computer Science University of Wolverhampton, Wulfruna Street Wolverhampton WV1 1LY UK"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2017,11,17]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_8_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.joi.2011.08.002"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11192-010-0223-7"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/asi.23219"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.156.3775.611"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_6_1","first-page":"371","article-title":"Performance\u2010based funding models and researcher behavior: An analysis of the influence of the Norwegian Publication Indicator at the individual level","volume":"25","author":"Bloch C.","year":"2016","journal-title":"Research Evaluation"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0048-7333(02)00007-0"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0113470"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nchem.146"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/475027a"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/asi.4630270505"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_12_1","unstructured":"Dijstelbloem H. Huisman F. Miedema F. &Mijnhardt W.(2014). Science in Transition status report.http:\/\/www.scienceintransition.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Science-in-Transition-Status-Report-June-2014.pdf"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_13_1","unstructured":"Elsevier(2013). International Comparative Performance of the UK Research Base \u2014 2013.https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/government\/publications\/performance-of-the-uk-research-base-international-comparison-2013"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.joi.2015.09.005"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0004048"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0151328","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0151328","article-title":"The scientific impact of developing nations","volume":"11","author":"Gonzalez\u2010Brambila C.N.","year":"2016","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_17_1","unstructured":"HEFCE(2015). The Metric Tide: Correlation analysis of REF2014 scores and metrics (Supplementary Report II to the Independent Review of the Role of Metrics in Research Assessment and Management). HEFCE. DOI:10.13140\/RG.2.1.3362.4162"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/asi.21625"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0048-7333(02)00008-2"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_20_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/430311a"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_21_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/asi.21682"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_22_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0162709"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_23_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11192-008-1830-4"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_24_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/15424065.2010.505518"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_25_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.joi.2008.08.001"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_26_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.159.3810.56"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_27_1","unstructured":"Moed H.F. &Visser M.S.(2008). Appraisal of citation data sources. Centre for Science and Technology Studies Leiden University Netherlands.http:\/\/www.hefce.ac.uk\/media\/hefce\/content\/pubs\/indirreports\/2008\/missing\/Appraisal%20of%20Citation%20Data%20Sources.pdf."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_28_1","volume-title":"Science and engineering indicators 2016","author":"National Science Board","year":"2016"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_29_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1787\/msti-v2016-2-en"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_30_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0166149"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_31_1","unstructured":"Science\u2010Metrix (2015). Analysis of bibliometric indicators for European policies 2000\u20132013. Brussels Belgium: European Commission.https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/research\/innovation-union\/pdf\/bibliometric_indicators_for_european_policies.pdf"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_32_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0164500"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_33_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9781139165358"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_34_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/a0021086"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_35_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11192-016-1889-2"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_36_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.joi.2016.04.014"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_37_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.joi.2016.12.002"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_38_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-031-02304-0","volume-title":"Web indicators for research evaluation: A practical guide","author":"Thelwall M.","year":"2017"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_39_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/asi.23252"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_40_1","unstructured":"UNPFA(2016). State of World Population 2016.http:\/\/www.unfpa.org\/sites\/default\/files\/pub-pdf\/The_State_of_World_Population_2016_-_English.pdf"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_41_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/asi.22748"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_42_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.joi.2010.08.001"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_43_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11192-011-0354-5"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_44_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.respol.2005.08.006"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_45_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11192-007-2068-x"}],"container-title":["Journal of the Association for Information Science and Technology"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.wiley.com\/onlinelibrary\/tdm\/v1\/articles\/10.1002%2Fasi.23969","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/asistdl.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1002\/asi.23969","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,8]],"date-time":"2025-10-08T20:18:17Z","timestamp":1759954697000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/asistdl.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1002\/asi.23969"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2017,11,17]]},"references-count":44,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2018,5]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1002\/asi.23969"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/asi.23969","archive":["Portico"],"relation":{},"ISSN":["2330-1635","2330-1643"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2330-1635","type":"print"},{"value":"2330-1643","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2017,11,17]]}}}