
Dünya Başol
PhD, Bar-Ilan University, Middle Eastern Studies Department
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as a "frozen conflict zone" for nearly 30 years not only affected the geopolitics of the Caucasus,
but also international energy policies. Especially in the field of energy, European countries and
Israel’s dependence on the resources of the Russian Federation are increasing day by day and
are in need of the supply of rich hydrocarbon resources of Caspian Basin. Although access to
Caspian basin resources is rapidly increasing with investments such as TANAP and TAP, the
main obstacle to larger investments in the region is concerns about ensuring the security of
energy infrastructures close to the conflict zone.
It is not a coincidence that the Armenian armed forces frequently attacked areas such as Gazah,
Tovuz and Kapanlı, through which pipelines passed, during armed conflicts of Second
Karabakh War and periodic tensions before this war. Along with the statements of the Armenian
authorities that they would not hesitate to use the Iskandar, Scud-B and Tochka systems about
the attacks on the energy lines, the scenarios for the attacks on the oil and gas infrastructure of
Azerbaijan were used in the military exercises in Karabakh in 2012. The declining oil and gas
demands during the COVID-19 period will increase again after the pandemic, and the
importance of a regular supply for both European countries and Israel is increasing even more
strongly due to the interruptions made by Russia to Ukraine and other European countries from
time to time.
On the other hand, political instability in energy producer and supplier countries and their
surroundings causes instability and sudden increases in oil and gas prices. For this reason, the
instability in Karabakh and the political chaos environment created by Armenia affects the
global energy markets negatively. Turkey’s statement in October 2007 on carrying the war
against terrorist organization PKK into Iraqi soil led to a leap in oil prices from 87.40 USD to
94.53 by the end of the month. Although Turkey is not an oil importer and Iraq supplied only 3
million barrels of a day within the 85 million barrels produces worldwide, a huge surge in the
energy market occurred. Since the fluctuations to be brought by Armenia's attack on Karabakh
are disturbing for Europe and Israel, its isolation in the international arena will further increase.
Armenia's demands on Karabakh not only harm the world energy market, but also its own
energy security, especially after the Second Karabakh War. While it has lost the control of all
hydroelectric power plants in Karabakh, the fact that the country tries to meet the majority of
energy demand by the Metsamor Nuclear Power Plant further increases the dangerous situation
of the power plant as reported by various organizations. The failure of the Metsamor power
plant will cause Armenia to experience a more severe energy shortage than the electricity crisis
it experienced in 2015.
Another effect of the demands on Karabakh is the complete exclusion of Armenia from the
energy corridor starting from the Caspian basin and as a result, it cannot benefit from regional
development while its dependence on Iran and Russia increases.
Keywords: Karabakh, Energy Security, Caucasus, Caspian
Bu proje Suriyeli mültecilerin Avrupa'ya gitme güdülerindeki temel dinamikleri anlamayı amaçlamaktadır. Bununla birlikte, yapılan derinlemesine görüşmeler, “Avrupa” algısını ve göçmenler tarafından kurulan ağların gücünü ve aynı zamanda Avrupa'ya giderken geçici güvenli liman olarak gördükleri Türkiye'deki yaşamları hakkında daha geniş bir bakış açısına sahip olmalarını anlamak için çok önemli bir birincil bilgi kaynağıdır.
The project aims to understand the main dynamics amongst the Syrian refugees related with their motivations to migrate to Europe. Notwithstanding, the in-depth interviews conducted are very vital primary informational source to understand the perception of “Europe” and the power of networks established by the migrants, as well as to have a wider perspective about their lives in Turkey which they see as a temporary safe haven on their way to Europe.
Papers by Dünya Başol
spread to first Dagestan and then to Kabardino-Balkaria Republic. Though terrorist attacks are generally in low intensity, they are persistent and radical groups threaten the regional security and become globally known by occasional attacks. Volgograd attacks that took place just before the Sochi Olympics, which has a very important role for Russian Federation’s mid-long term policies in the region, once again showed how difficult it is for Russia to establish stability in the region.
as a "frozen conflict zone" for nearly 30 years not only affected the geopolitics of the Caucasus,
but also international energy policies. Especially in the field of energy, European countries and
Israel’s dependence on the resources of the Russian Federation are increasing day by day and
are in need of the supply of rich hydrocarbon resources of Caspian Basin. Although access to
Caspian basin resources is rapidly increasing with investments such as TANAP and TAP, the
main obstacle to larger investments in the region is concerns about ensuring the security of
energy infrastructures close to the conflict zone.
It is not a coincidence that the Armenian armed forces frequently attacked areas such as Gazah,
Tovuz and Kapanlı, through which pipelines passed, during armed conflicts of Second
Karabakh War and periodic tensions before this war. Along with the statements of the Armenian
authorities that they would not hesitate to use the Iskandar, Scud-B and Tochka systems about
the attacks on the energy lines, the scenarios for the attacks on the oil and gas infrastructure of
Azerbaijan were used in the military exercises in Karabakh in 2012. The declining oil and gas
demands during the COVID-19 period will increase again after the pandemic, and the
importance of a regular supply for both European countries and Israel is increasing even more
strongly due to the interruptions made by Russia to Ukraine and other European countries from
time to time.
On the other hand, political instability in energy producer and supplier countries and their
surroundings causes instability and sudden increases in oil and gas prices. For this reason, the
instability in Karabakh and the political chaos environment created by Armenia affects the
global energy markets negatively. Turkey’s statement in October 2007 on carrying the war
against terrorist organization PKK into Iraqi soil led to a leap in oil prices from 87.40 USD to
94.53 by the end of the month. Although Turkey is not an oil importer and Iraq supplied only 3
million barrels of a day within the 85 million barrels produces worldwide, a huge surge in the
energy market occurred. Since the fluctuations to be brought by Armenia's attack on Karabakh
are disturbing for Europe and Israel, its isolation in the international arena will further increase.
Armenia's demands on Karabakh not only harm the world energy market, but also its own
energy security, especially after the Second Karabakh War. While it has lost the control of all
hydroelectric power plants in Karabakh, the fact that the country tries to meet the majority of
energy demand by the Metsamor Nuclear Power Plant further increases the dangerous situation
of the power plant as reported by various organizations. The failure of the Metsamor power
plant will cause Armenia to experience a more severe energy shortage than the electricity crisis
it experienced in 2015.
Another effect of the demands on Karabakh is the complete exclusion of Armenia from the
energy corridor starting from the Caspian basin and as a result, it cannot benefit from regional
development while its dependence on Iran and Russia increases.
Keywords: Karabakh, Energy Security, Caucasus, Caspian
Bu proje Suriyeli mültecilerin Avrupa'ya gitme güdülerindeki temel dinamikleri anlamayı amaçlamaktadır. Bununla birlikte, yapılan derinlemesine görüşmeler, “Avrupa” algısını ve göçmenler tarafından kurulan ağların gücünü ve aynı zamanda Avrupa'ya giderken geçici güvenli liman olarak gördükleri Türkiye'deki yaşamları hakkında daha geniş bir bakış açısına sahip olmalarını anlamak için çok önemli bir birincil bilgi kaynağıdır.
The project aims to understand the main dynamics amongst the Syrian refugees related with their motivations to migrate to Europe. Notwithstanding, the in-depth interviews conducted are very vital primary informational source to understand the perception of “Europe” and the power of networks established by the migrants, as well as to have a wider perspective about their lives in Turkey which they see as a temporary safe haven on their way to Europe.
spread to first Dagestan and then to Kabardino-Balkaria Republic. Though terrorist attacks are generally in low intensity, they are persistent and radical groups threaten the regional security and become globally known by occasional attacks. Volgograd attacks that took place just before the Sochi Olympics, which has a very important role for Russian Federation’s mid-long term policies in the region, once again showed how difficult it is for Russia to establish stability in the region.