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Vancouver Kingsway

Latest update: January 11, 2026
N
MP: Don Davies
British Columbia
NDP likely

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Kingsway


2019 2021 2025 Projection NDP 44% ± 8% 47.1% 50.4% 37.2% LPC 30% ± 7% 24.4% 29.0% 36.6% CPC 22% ± 6% 20.5% 14.1% 24.5% GPC 2% ± 2% 6.1% 3.6% 1.0%

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338Canada Vancouver Kingsway projection

Latest update: January 11, 2026

338Canada projection for Vancouver Kingsway


Vancouver Kingsway 36% 53% 44% ± 8% NDP 23% 37% 30% ± 7% LPC 16% 28% 22% ± 6% CPC NDP 2025 37.2% 338Canada vote projection | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver Kingsway 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver Kingsway

LPC 30% ± 7% CPC 22% ± 6% NDP 44% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver Kingsway 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 40% NDP 39% CPC 19% GPC 2% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 40% NDP 39% CPC 19% GPC 2% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 40% LPC 39% CPC 19% GPC 2% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 37% LPC 37% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 37% LPC 37% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 37% LPC 37% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 37% LPC 37% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 37% LPC 37% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 37% LPC 36% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 39% LPC 35% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 23% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 23% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 40% LPC 36% CPC 23% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 22% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 23% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 23% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 39% LPC 35% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 23% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 23% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 23% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 NDP 37% LPC 36% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 NDP 37% LPC 36% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP 40% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP 42% LPC 32% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP 43% LPC 32% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 44% LPC 30% CPC 23% GPC 2% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 44% LPC 30% CPC 23% GPC 2% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 44% LPC 30% CPC 22% GPC 2% 2026-01-11

Odds of winning | Vancouver Kingsway

LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 53% NDP 47% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% NDP 45% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 58% LPC 42% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 56% LPC 44% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 56% LPC 44% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 53% LPC 47% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 58% LPC 42% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 67% LPC 33% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 70% LPC 29% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 67% LPC 33% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 69% LPC 31% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 NDP 61% LPC 39% CPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 NDP 57% LPC 43% CPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 NDP 52% LPC 48% CPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 NDP 57% LPC 43% CPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 72% LPC 28% CPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 68% LPC 32% CPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 69% LPC 31% CPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 65% LPC 35% CPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 72% LPC 28% CPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 59% LPC 41% CPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 NDP 63% LPC 37% CPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 NDP 66% LPC 34% CPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 NDP 62% LPC 38% CPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 NDP 58% LPC 42% CPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 NDP 54% LPC 46% CPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 NDP 57% LPC 43% CPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 NDP 56% LPC 44% CPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 NDP 57% LPC 43% CPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 NDP 60% LPC 40% CPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 NDP 60% LPC 40% CPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP 83% LPC 17% CPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP 93% LPC 7% CPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2026-01-11