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Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby

Latest update: January 11, 2026
L
MP: Gregor Robertson
British Columbia
LPC likely

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 47% ± 7% 34.0% 42.3% 52.3% CPC 36% ± 7% 32.4% 21.9% 35.7% NDP 14% ± 5% 26.4% 31.1% 9.8%

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338Canada Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby projection

Latest update: January 11, 2026

338Canada projection for Vancouver Fraserview—Burnaby-Sud


Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby 39% 54% 47% ± 7% LPC 29% 43% 36% ± 7% CPC 8% 19% 14% ± 5% NDP 0% 5% 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2025 52.3% 338Canada vote projection | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby 98%▲ LPC 2%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby

LPC 47% ± 7% CPC 36% ± 7% NDP 14% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 55% CPC 30% NDP 13% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% CPC 30% NDP 13% GPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 12% GPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 51% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 53% CPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 53% CPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 54% CPC 34% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 54% CPC 34% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 53% CPC 34% NDP 11% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 53% CPC 34% NDP 11% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 53% CPC 34% NDP 11% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 53% CPC 34% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 11% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 53% CPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 53% CPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 53% CPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 53% CPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 53% CPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 53% CPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 53% CPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 10% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 50% CPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 11% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 48% CPC 38% NDP 12% GPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 14% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 14% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 14% GPC 3% 2026-01-11

Odds of winning | Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby

LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2026-01-11