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Cariboo—Prince George

Latest update: January 11, 2026
C
MP: Todd Doherty
British Columbia
CPC safe

Recent electoral history | Cariboo—Prince George


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 59% ± 7% 54.0% 51.2% 60.3% LPC 28% ± 6% 19.6% 16.3% 30.4% NDP 9% ± 4% 14.5% 20.4% 6.2% GPC 3% ± 3% 9.1% 3.5% 1.8% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.1% 8.2% 0.7%

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338Canada Cariboo—Prince George projection

Latest update: January 11, 2026

338Canada projection for Cariboo—Prince George


Cariboo—Prince George 51% 66% 59% ± 7% CPC 22% 34% 28% ± 6% LPC 5% 13% 9% ± 4% NDP 0% 6% 3% ± 3% GPC CPC 2025 60.3% 338Canada vote projection | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cariboo—Prince George >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Cariboo—Prince George

LPC 28% ± 6% CPC 59% ± 7% NDP 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Cariboo—Prince George 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 53% LPC 36% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 54% LPC 36% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 54% LPC 36% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 61% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 61% LPC 29% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 61% LPC 29% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 61% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 59% LPC 32% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 58% LPC 32% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 58% LPC 32% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 60% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 60% LPC 31% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 59% LPC 32% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 61% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 61% LPC 30% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 62% LPC 29% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 61% LPC 29% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 61% LPC 28% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 59% LPC 27% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 59% LPC 27% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2026-01-11

Odds of winning | Cariboo—Prince George

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-11