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Burnaby Central

Latest update: January 11, 2026
L
MP: Wade Wei Lin Chang
British Columbia
Toss up LPC/CPC

Recent electoral history | Burnaby Central


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 38% ± 7% 25.3% 31.2% 42.2% CPC 36% ± 7% 28.7% 22.2% 38.6% NDP 24% ± 7% 37.5% 39.8% 18.2% PPC 1% ± 2% 1.7% 3.4% 1.0%

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338Canada Burnaby Central projection

Latest update: January 11, 2026

338Canada projection for Burnaby Central


Burnaby Central 30% 45% 38% ± 7% LPC 29% 43% 36% ± 7% CPC 17% 31% 24% ± 7% NDP LPC 2025 42.2% 338Canada vote projection | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burnaby Central 60%▲ LPC 40%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Burnaby Central

LPC 38% ± 7% CPC 36% ± 7% NDP 24% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Burnaby Central 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 39% CPC 32% NDP 28% GPC 0% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 39% CPC 33% NDP 28% GPC 0% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 38% CPC 33% NDP 28% GPC 0% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 18% GPC 0% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 18% GPC 0% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 18% GPC 0% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 18% GPC 0% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 18% GPC 0% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 18% GPC 0% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 41% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 44% CPC 37% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 20% GPC 0% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 43% CPC 36% NDP 20% GPC 0% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 20% GPC 0% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 19% GPC 0% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 18% GPC 0% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 18% GPC 0% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 18% GPC 0% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 20% GPC 0% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 39% CPC 38% NDP 21% GPC 0% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 39% CPC 38% NDP 22% GPC 0% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 37% CPC 36% NDP 24% GPC 1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 37% CPC 36% NDP 24% GPC 1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 38% CPC 36% NDP 24% GPC 1% 2026-01-11

Odds of winning | Burnaby Central

LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 82% CPC 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 84% CPC 15% NDP 2% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 75% CPC 22% NDP 3% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% 2026-01-11