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Abbotsford—South Langley

Latest update: January 11, 2026
C
MP: Sukhman Singh Gill
British Columbia
CPC likely

Recent electoral history | Abbotsford—South Langley


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 43% ± 8% 48.3% 45.6% 43.1% LPC 32% ± 7% 23.6% 26.0% 33.9% IND 16% ± 7% 0.0% 0.0% 17.4% NDP 6% ± 3% 17.6% 18.2% 3.8% GPC 3% ± 2% 7.6% 3.1% 1.0% PPC 1% ± 2% 2.2% 7.0% 0.8%

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338Canada Abbotsford—South Langley projection

Latest update: January 11, 2026

338Canada projection for Abbotsford—Langley-Sud


Abbotsford—South Langley 35% 50% 43% ± 8% CPC 25% 38% 32% ± 7% LPC 9% 23% 16% ± 7% IND 3% 10% 6% ± 3% NDP 0% 5% 3% ± 2% GPC CPC 2025 43.1% 338Canada vote projection | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Abbotsford—South Langley 98%▼ CPC 2%▲ LPC <1% INDOdds of winning | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Abbotsford—South Langley

LPC 32% ± 7% CPC 43% ± 8% NDP 6% ± 3% IND 16% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Abbotsford—South Langley 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 40% CPC 40% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 44% LPC 33% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 44% LPC 33% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 43% LPC 33% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 43% LPC 33% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 42% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 42% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 41% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 41% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 41% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 42% LPC 33% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 42% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 42% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 42% LPC 33% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 42% LPC 33% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 42% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 41% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 41% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 41% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 42% LPC 34% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 42% LPC 33% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 43% LPC 32% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 43% LPC 32% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 44% LPC 31% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 43% LPC 31% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 43% LPC 31% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 43% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 43% LPC 31% NDP 6% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 43% LPC 32% NDP 6% GPC 3% 2026-01-11

Odds of winning | Abbotsford—South Langley

LPC 2% CPC 98% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2026-01-11